Individualized assessment predictive models for risk and overall survival in elderly patients of primary kidney cancer with bone metastases: A large population-based study

BackgroundElderly people are at high risk of metastatic kidney cancer (KC), and, the bone is one of the most common metastatic sites for metastatic KC. However, studies on diagnostic and prognostic prediction models for bone metastases (BM) in elderly KC patients are still vacant. Therefore, it is necessary to establish new diagnostic and prognostic nomograms.MethodsWe downloaded the data of all KC patients aged more than 65 years during 2010–2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to study independent risk factors of BM in elderly KC patients. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis for the study of independent prognostic factors in elderly KCBM patients. Survival differences were studied using Kaplan–Meier (K–M) survival analysis. The predictive efficacy and clinical utility of nomograms were assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultsA final total of 17,404 elderly KC patients (training set: n = 12,184, validation set: n = 5,220) were included to study the risk of BM. 394 elderly KCBM patients (training set: n = 278, validation set: n = 116) were included to study the overall survival (OS). Age, histological type, tumor size, grade, T/N stage and brain/liver/lung metastasis were identified as independent risk factors for developing BM in elderly KC patients. Surgery, lung/liver metastasis and T stage were identified as independent prognostic factors in elderly KCBM patients. The diagnostic nomogram had AUCs of 0.859 and 0.850 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The AUCs of the prognostic nomogram in predicting OS at 12, 24 and 36 months were: training set (0.742, 0.775, 0.787), and validation set (0.721, 0.827, 0.799), respectively. The calibration curve and DCA also showed excellent clinical utility of the two nomograms.ConclusionTwo new nomograms were constructed and validated to predict the risk of developing BM in elderly KC patients and 12-, 24-, and 36-months OS in elderly KCBM patients. These models can help surgeons provide more comprehensive and personalized clinical management programs for this population

A review of the therapeutic role of the new third-generation TKI olverembatinib in chronic myeloid leukemia

Several tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) have been developed as targeted therapies to inhibit the oncogenic activity of several tyrosine kinases in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), acute lymphoid leukemia (ALL), gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST), and other diseases. TKIs have significantly improved the overall survival of these patients and changed the treatment strategy in the clinic. However, approximately 50% of patients develop resistance or intolerance to imatinib. For second-generation TKIs, approximately 30%–40% of patients need to change therapy by 5 years when they are used as first-line treatment. Clinical study analysis showed that the T315I mutation is highly associated with TKI resistance. Developing new drugs that target the T315I mutation will address the dilemma of treatment failure. Olverembatinib, as a third-generation TKI designed for the T315I mutation, is being researched in China. Preliminary clinical data show the safety and efficacy in treating CML patients harboring the T315I mutation or who are resistant to first- or second-line TKI treatment. Herein, we review the characteristics and clinical trials of olverembatinib. We also discuss its role in the management of CML patients

Clinical characteristic–assisted surgical benefit stratification for resection of primary tumor in patients with advanced primary malignant bone neoplasms: a population-based propensity score–matched analysis

BackgroundPrimary tumor resection (PTR) is the standard treatment for patients with primary malignant bone neoplasms (PMBNs). However, it remains unclear whether patients with advanced PMBNs still benefit from PTR. This study aimed to develop a prediction model to estimate the beneficial probability of PTR for this population.MethodsThis study extracted data from patients diagnosed with advanced PMBNs, as recorded in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, with the period from 2004 to 2015. The patient cohort was then bifurcated into two groups: those who underwent surgical procedures and the non-surgery group. Propensity score matching (PSM) was utilized to mitigate any confounding factors in the study. The survival rates of patients from both the surgical and non-surgery groups were evaluated using Kaplan–Meier (K-M) curves analysis. Moreover, the study used this method to assess the capacity of the nomogram to distinguish patients likely to derive benefits from surgical intervention. The study was grounded in the hypothesis that patients who underwent PTR and survived beyond the median overall survival (OS) time would potentially benefit from the surgery. Subsequently, logistic regression analysis was performed to ascertain significant predictors, facilitating the development of a nomogram. This nomogram was subjected to both internal and external validation using receiver operating characteristic curves, area under the curve analysis, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis.ResultsThe SEER database provided a total of 839 eligible patients for the study, among which 536 (63.9%) underwent PTR. Following a 2:1 PSM analysis, patients were classified into two groups: 364 patients in the surgery group and 182 patients in the non-surgery group. Both K-M curves and multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that patients who received PTR had a longer survival duration, observed both before and after PSM. Crucial factors such as age, M stage, and tumor size were identified to be significantly correlated with surgical benefits in patients with advanced PMBNs. Subsequently, a nomogram was developed that uses these independent predictors. The validation of this predictive model confirmed its high accuracy and excellent discrimination ability of the nomogram to distinguish patients who would most likely benefit from surgical intervention.ConclusionIn this study, we devised a user-friendly nomogram to forecast the likehood of surgical benefits for patients diagnosed with advanced PMBNs. This tool facilitates the identification of the most suitable candidates for PTR, thus promoting more discerning and effective use of surgical intervention in this patient population

/UV Synergistic Aging of Polyester Polyurethane Film Modified by Composite UV Absorber

The pure polyester polyurethane (TPU) film and the modified TPU (M-TPU) film containing 2.0 wt.% inorganic UV absorbers mixture (nano-ZnO/CeO2 with weight ratio of 3 : 2) and 0.5 wt.% organic UV absorbers mixture (UV-531/UV-327 with weight ratio of 1 : 1) were prepared by spin-coating technique. The accelerated aging tests of the films exposed to constant UV radiation of 400 ± 20 µW/cm2 (313 nm) with an ozone atmosphere of 100 ± 2 ppm were carried out by using a self-designed aging equipment at ambient temperature and relative humidity of 20%. The aging resistance properties of the films were evaluated by UV-Vis spectra, Fourier transform infrared spectra (FT-IR), photooxidation index, and carbonyl index analysis. The results show that the composite UV absorber has better protection for TPU system, which reduces distinctly the degradation of TPU film. O3/UV aging of the films increases with incremental exposure time. PI and CI of TPU and M-TPU films increase with increasing exposure time, respectively. PI and CI of M-TPU films are much lower than that of TPU film after the same time of exposure, respectively. Distinct synergistic aging effect exists between ozone aging and UV aging when PI and CI are used as evaluation index, respectively. Of course, the formula of these additives needs further improvement for industrial application

Global Carbon Budget 2023

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe and synthesize data sets and methodology to quantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties. Fossil CO2 emissions (EFOS) are based on energy statistics and cement production data, while emissions from land-use change (ELUC), mainly deforestation, are based on land-use and land-use change data and bookkeeping models. Atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly, and its growth rate (GATM) is computed from the annual changes in concentration. The ocean CO2 sink (SOCEAN) is estimated with global ocean biogeochemistry models and observation-based f CO2 products. The terrestrial CO2 sink (SLAND) is estimated with dynamic global vegetation models. Additional lines of evidence on land and ocean sinks are provided by atmospheric inversions, atmospheric oxygen measurements, and Earth system models. The resulting carbon budget imbalance (BIM), the difference between the estimated total emissions and the estimated changes in the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere, is a measure of imperfect data and incomplete understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. All uncertainties are reported as ±1σ. For the year 2022, EFOS increased by 0.9 % relative to 2021, with fossil emissions at 9.9 ± 0.5 Gt C yr−1 (10.2 ± 0.5 Gt C yr−1 when the cement carbonation sink is not included), and ELUC was 1.2 ± 0.7 Gt C yr−1, for a total anthropogenic CO2 emission (including the cement carbonation sink) of 11.1 ± 0.8 Gt C yr−1 (40.7±3.2 Gt CO2 yr−1). Also, for 2022, GATM was 4.6±0.2 Gt C yr−1 (2.18±0.1 ppm yr−1; ppm denotes parts per million), SOCEAN was 2.8 ± 0.4 Gt C yr−1, and SLAND was 3.8 ± 0.8 Gt C yr−1, with a BIM of −0.1 Gt C yr−1 (i.e. total estimated sources marginally too low or sinks marginally too high). The global atmospheric CO2 concentration averaged over 2022 reached 417.1 ± 0.1 ppm. Preliminary data for 2023 suggest an increase in EFOS relative to 2022 of +1.1 % (0.0 % to 2.1 %) globally and atmospheric CO2 concentration reaching 419.3 ppm, 51 % above the pre-industrial level (around 278 ppm in 1750). Overall, the mean of and trend in the components of the global carbon budget are consistently estimated over the period 1959–2022, with a near-zero overall budget imbalance, although discrepancies of up to around 1 Gt C yr−1 persist for the representation of annual to semi-decadal variability in CO2 fluxes. Comparison of estimates from multiple approaches and observations shows the following: (1) a persistent large uncertainty in the estimate of land-use changes emissions, (2) a low agreement between the different methods on the magnitude of the land CO2 flux in the northern extra-tropics, and (3) a discrepancy between the different methods on the strength of the ocean sink over the last decade. This living-data update documents changes in methods and data sets applied to this most recent global carbon budget as well as evolving community understanding of the global carbon cycle. The data presented in this work are available at https://doi.org/10.18160/GCP-2023 (Friedlingstein et al., 2023)

Modeling and analysis for coupled flexural-torsional spinning beams with unsymmetrical cross sections

The structural modeling and dynamic properties of a spinning beam with an unsymmetrical cross section are studied. Due to the eccentricity and spinning, transverse deflections along the two principal directions and the torsional motion about the longitudinal axis are coupled. The structural model of the beam is established based on the Hamilton principle and by incorporating the torsional inertia. Moreover, because of its significant influence on characteristics for the non-circular cross-sectional beam, the warping effect is considered in the formulation. The proposed model is effectively validated in two cases: the spinning beam with a symmetric cross section and the cantilevered beam with an unsymmetrical cross section. Then the effects of the spinning speed on natural frequencies and mode shapes are investigated. Numerical results reveal that the critical speed is altered with respect to noncoincidence of the centroid and the shear center. For the beams with strong warping rigidities, the warping effect cannot be neglected due to significant influence on natural frequencies