A Versatile and Efficient Novel Approach for Mendelian Randomization Analysis with Application to Assess the Causal Effect of Fetal Hemoglobin on Anemia in Sickle Cell Anemia

Mendelian randomization (MR) is increasingly employed as a technique to assess the causation of a risk factor on an outcome using observational data. The two-stage least-squares (2SLS) procedure is commonly used to examine the causation using genetic variants as the instrument variables. The validity of 2SLS relies on a representative sample randomly selected from a study cohort or a population for genome-wide association study (GWAS), which is not always true in practice. For example, the extreme phenotype sequencing (EPS) design is widely used to investigate genetic determinants of an outcome in GWAS as it bears many advantages such as efficiency, low sequencing or genotyping cost, and large power in detecting the involvement of rare genetic variants in disease etiology. In this paper, we develop a novel, versatile, and efficient approach, namely MR analysis under Extreme or random Phenotype Sampling (MREPS), for one-sample MR analysis based on samples drawn through either the random sampling design or the nonrandom EPS design. In simulations, MREPS provides unbiased estimates for causal effects, correct type I errors for causal effect testing. Furthermore, it is robust under different study designs and has high power. These results demonstrate the superiority of MREPS over the widely used standard 2SLS approach. We applied MREPS to assess and highlight the causal effect of total fetal hemoglobin on anemia risk in patients with sickle cell anemia using two independent cohort studies. A user-friendly Shiny app web interface was implemented for professionals to easily explore the MREPS

Hydroxyurea treatment of sickle cell disease: towards a personalized model-based approach

Hydroxyurea is a commonly used drug for the treatment of sickle cell disease. Several studies have demonstrated the efficacy of hydroxyurea in ameliorating disease pathophysiology. However, a lack of consensus on optimal dosing and the need for ongoing toxicity monitoring for myelosuppression limits its utilization. Pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) studies describe drug-body interactions, and hydroxyurea PK-PD studies have reported wide inter-patient variability. This variability can be explained by a mathematical model taking into consideration different sources of variation such as genetics, epigenetics, phenotypes, and demographics. A PK-PD model provides us with a tool to capture these variant responses of patients to a given drug. The development of an integrated population PK-PD model that can predict individual patient responses and identify optimal dosing would maximize efficacy, limit toxicity, and increase utilization. In this review, we discuss various treatment challenges associated with hydroxyurea. We summarize existing population PK-PD models of hydroxyurea, the gap in the existing models, and the gap in the mechanistic understanding. Lastly, we address how mathematical modeling can be applied to improve our understanding of hydroxyurea’s mechanism of action and to tackle the challenge of inter-patient variability, dose optimization, and non-adherence

Leveraging mathematical modeling to analyze nonadherence for hydroxyurea therapy in sickle cell disease

Abstract Nonadherence is common in individuals with sickle cell disease (SCD) on hydroxyurea therapy and can be observed with waning improvements in hematologic parameters or biomarkers like mean cell volume and fetal hemoglobin level over time. We modeled the impact of hydroxyurea nonadherence on longitudinal biomarker profiles. We estimated the potential nonadherent days in individuals exhibiting a drop in biomarker levels by modifying the dosing profile using a probabilistic approach. Incorporating additional nonadherence using our approach besides existing ones in the dosing profile improves the model fits. We also studied how different patterns in adherence give rise to various physiological profiles of biomarkers. The key finding is consecutive days of nonadherence are less favorable than when nonadherence is interspersed. These findings improve our understanding of nonadherence and how appropriate intervention strategies can be applied for individuals with SCD susceptible to the severe impacts of nonadherence

The impact of quality and duration of enoxaparin therapy on recurrent venous thrombosis in children

Background: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) and recurrent venous thromboembolism (rVTE) are rare, but significant problems in pediatrics. Current recommendations for anticoagulant therapy arise from adult literature, and there is little data on clinical outcomes following therapeutic low-molecular-weight heparin in children. Method: All patients \u3c19 years of age that were diagnosed with a VTE or right atrial thrombus via standard imaging methods at St. Jude Children\u27s Research Hospital were retrospectively identified from January 2004 through August 2008. Demographic characteristics, coexisting clinic conditions, description of anticoagulant therapy, and record of rVTE were chronicled following a comprehensive chart review. Descriptive statistics of clinical characteristics and anticoagulation are presented. Results: Venous thrombosis was identified in 149 children with 21% (31/149) developing a rVTE. Coexisting clinical conditions were identified in 93% of children at initial diagnosis with 48% (71/149) of patients having a coexisting malignancy. Seventy-seven percent (114/149) of children received anticoagulant therapy with UFH (10/114) or enoxaparin (104/114). Neither duration of enoxaparin therapy (\u3e6, 3-6, \u3c3 months) (P=0.61), nor quality of therapy (≥75% of time on anticoagulation spent with an anti-FXa of 0.5-1.0U/ml) (P=1.0) were found to be protective against rVTE. Conclusion: Anticoagulation with enoxaparin based on adult literature may be suboptimal in preventing rVTE in pediatric populations. Future prospective randomized controlled trials in pediatrics using clinical outcomes with anticoagulant therapy are urgently needed. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc

Mathematical Modeling of Hydroxyurea Therapy in Individuals with Sickle Cell Disease

Sickle cell disease (SCD) is a chronic hemolytic anemia affecting millions worldwide with acute and chronic clinical manifestations and early mortality. While hydroxyurea (HU) and other treatment strategies managed to ameliorate disease severity, high inter-individual variability in clinical response and a lack of an ability to predict those variations need to be addressed to maximize the clinical efficacy of HU. We developed pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) models to study the dosing, efficacy, toxicity, and clinical response of HU treatment in more than eighty children with SCD. The clinical PK parameters were used to model the HU plasma concentration for a 24 h period, and the estimated daily average HU plasma concentration was used as an input to our PD models with approximately 1 to 9 years of data connecting drug exposure with drug response. We modeled the biomarkers mean cell volume and fetal hemoglobin to study treatment efficacy. For myelosuppression, we modeled red blood cells and absolute neutrophil count. Our models provided excellent fits for individuals with known or correctly inferred adherence. Our models can be used to determine the optimal dosing regimens and study the effect of non-adherence on HU-treated individuals

Safe use of low-molecular-weight heparin in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia and lymphoma around lumbar punctures

Children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia or lymphoma (ALL) undergo multiple lumbar punctures (LPs) and frequently require low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) for thromboembolic complications. We evaluated if withholding LMWH 24 hours before and after LPs prevented bleeding complications. Children (n=133) with ALL from who were: (1) treated at St. Jude Children\u27s Research Hospital, (2) received LMWH (2×/day of 1 mg/kg) between January 2004 until December 2012, and (3) underwent a LP were analyzed. Spinal hematoma was defined as a clinical suspicion leading to diagnostic imaging. Traumatic LP was defined as ≥10 red blood cells per microliter of cerebrospinal fluid. In 1708 LPs, no hematomas occurred. For each child treated with LMWH, the probability of experiencing a spinal hematoma during the entire ALL treatment course was 0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.0%-2.7%), and in each LP, assuming no intrapatient correlation, the probability of spinal hematoma was 0% (95% CI, 0.0%-0.2%). Traumatic LPs were more common when performed when children were not receiving LMWH therapy (odds ratio [OR], 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.2) which may be explained by clinician optimization of known risk factors for traumatic cerebrospinal fluid before the procedures. Withholding LMWH for 24 hours before and after LPs in children being treated for ALL is safe

Improved hydroxyurea effect with the use of text messaging in children with sickle cell anemia

Background: In children with sickle cell anemia (SCA), hydroxyurea reduces morbidity, but adherence is frequently suboptimal. Because most families of children with SCA have access to cellular telephone services, we assessed the impact of text messaged reminders as a tool to improve adherence to hydroxyurea. Procedure: All patients \u3c19 years of age with HbSS or HbSβ0thalassemia who were treated with hydroxyurea at a maximal tolerated dosage (MTD) at St. Jude Children\u27s Research Hospital Comprehensive Pediatric Sickle Cell Program and who received automated text message reminders (SIMON®) were retrospectively identified. Laboratory parameters, hospitalizations, and medication possession ratios (MPR) prior to and after initiation of SIMON® were compared to assess the impact of SIMON®. Results: Of the 97.3% of families with access to a cell phone, 91% elected to receive text message reminders. Among 55 children receiving hydroxyurea at MTD, laboratory parameters reflected waning medication compliance during the 12 months prior to SIMON®. Following initiation of SIMON®, children had higher mean corpuscular volumes, hemoglobin levels and fetal hemoglobin percentages and lower absolute reticulocyte counts and bilirubin levels, suggesting improved medication adherence. Hospitalizations were uncommon before and after SIMON®, and medication possession ratios (MPRs) were high before and after SIMON®, neither was significantly changed. Conclusions: SIMON® was feasible and improved hematologic parameters in children with SCA receiving hydroxyurea at a MTD. Future work will include extension of this technology to children with other chronic medical conditions who require daily use of medication

Vaso-occlusive crisis as a predictor of symptomatic avascular necrosis in children with sickle cell disease

Avascular necrosis (AVN) is a chronic bone complication of sickle cell disease (SCD) resulting in significant morbidity. Understanding associated risk factors can facilitate risk-based screening, earlier identification, and prompt intervention. Between 1998 and 2014, 26 symptomatic cases with imaging evidence of AVN were compared 1:5 with age- and SCD genotype-matched controls (n = 128). Patients with 1–5 vaso-occlusive crisis (VOC) (OR 11.9, 95% CI, 1.4–99.9; P = 0.02) and more than 5 VOC (OR 53.6, 95% CI, 5.5–520.2; P = 0.0006) in a 5-year period were more likely to have AVN. Symptomatic patients with more than five VOC in 5 years may benefit from radiologic screening for AVN

Protection from sickle cell retinopathy is associated with elevated HbF levels and hydroxycarbamide use in children

Elevated foetal haemoglobin (HbF) levels are protective against some manifestations of sickle cell anaemia but the impact on retinopathy is unknown. We report on 123 children with HbSS, 10·6% of whom developed retinopathy. Independent of hydroxycarbamide, children with a HbF \u3c15% had 7·1-fold (95% confidence interval, 1·5-33·6) higher odds of developing retinopathy. In children treated with hydroxycarbamide, those with retinopathy had lower HbF levels compared to children without retinopathy (9% vs. 16%; P = 0·005). We report a protective benefit of elevated HbF regarding retinopathy, and our data suggests induction of HbF with hydroxycarbamide may prevent retinopathy in children. © 2013 Blackwell Publishing Ltd