More on the Cohort-Component Model of Population Projection in the Context of HIV/AIDS: A Leslie Matrix Representation and New Estimates

This article presents an extension of the cohort component model of population projection (CCMPP) first formulated by Heuveline that is capable of modeling a population affected by HIV. We extend this work by developing the Leslie matrix representation of the CCMPP that greatly facilitates implementation of the model for parameter estimation and projecting. The Leslie matrix also contains information about the stable tendencies of the corresponding population, such as the stable age distribution and time to stability. We validate our reformulation of the model by comparing parameter estimates obtained through maximum likelihood and bootstrap methods to those presented by Heuveline.Africa, AIDS/HIV, cohort component method, estimation, incidence, Leslie matrices, model, prevalence

Comparing Powers of Edge Ideals

Given a nontrivial homogeneous ideal $I\subseteq k[x_1,x_2,\ldots,x_d]$, a problem of great recent interest has been the comparison of the $r$th ordinary power of $I$ and the $m$th symbolic power $I^{(m)}$. This comparison has been undertaken directly via an exploration of which exponents $m$ and $r$ guarantee the subset containment $I^{(m)}\subseteq I^r$ and asymptotically via a computation of the resurgence $\rho(I)$, a number for which any $m/r > \rho(I)$ guarantees $I^{(m)}\subseteq I^r$. Recently, a third quantity, the symbolic defect, was introduced; as $I^t\subseteq I^{(t)}$, the symbolic defect is the minimal number of generators required to add to $I^t$ in order to get $I^{(t)}$. We consider these various means of comparison when $I$ is the edge ideal of certain graphs by describing an ideal $J$ for which $I^{(t)} = I^t + J$. When $I$ is the edge ideal of an odd cycle, our description of the structure of $I^{(t)}$ yields solutions to both the direct and asymptotic containment questions, as well as a partial computation of the sequence of symbolic defects.Comment: Version 2: Revised based on referee suggestions. Lemma 5.12 was added to clarify the proof of Theorem 5.13. To appear in the Journal of Algebra and its Applications. Version 1: 20 pages. This project was supported by Dordt College's undergraduate research program in summer 201

The Dynamical Mordell-Lang problem

Let X be a Noetherian space, let f be a continuous self-map on X, let Y be a closed subset of X, and let x be a point on X. We show that the set S consisting of all nonnegative integers n such that f^n(x) is in Y is a union of at most finitely many arithmetic progressions along with a set of Banach density zero. In particular, we obtain that given any quasi-projective variety X, any rational self-map map f on X, any subvariety Y of X, and any point x in X whose orbit under f is in the domain of definition for f, the set S is a finite union of arithmetic progressions together with a set of Banach density zero. We prove a similar result for the backward orbit of a point

THE NEW WAVE OF REGIONALISM: DOES OUTSIDER/INSIDER STATUS AFFECT THE COMPETITIVENESS OF U.S. AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS?

The degree to which countries are pursuing regional trade agreements (RTAs) has been nothing short of extraordinary. The topic of regional integration is “breeding concern” among academics and policymakers as to the intra- and extra-regional effects of these agreements. This study constructs and uses an updated database of agricultural trade flows from 1992-2008 to shed light on the degree to which insider and outsiders status affects U.S. agricultural exporters and its competing suppliers. Regarding outsider status, we modify the existing approach by incorporating region-specific extra-bloc trade flow variables to examine the degree to which RTAs divert trade from specific regions of the world. The results are quite illuminating. While RTAs may not be trade diverting on net, all RTAs considered exhibit trade diversion with respect to at least some regions. The results have important policy implications for nations that are not actively participating in the latest wave of regionalism.International Relations/Trade,

A contact process with mutations on a tree

Consider the following stochastic model for immune response. Each pathogen gives birth to a new pathogen at rate $\lambda$. When a new pathogen is born, it has the same type as its parent with probability $1 - r$. With probability $r$, a mutation occurs, and the new pathogen has a different type from all previously observed pathogens. When a new type appears in the population, it survives for an exponential amount of time with mean 1, independently of all the other types. All pathogens of that type are killed simultaneously. Schinazi and Schweinsberg (2006) have shown that this model on $\Z^d$ behaves rather differently from its non-spatial version. In this paper, we show that this model on a homogeneous tree captures features from both the non-spatial version and the $\Z^d$ version. We also obtain comparison results between this model and the basic contact process on general graphs

Extending General Equilibrium to the Tariff Line: U.S. Dairy in the Doha Development Agenda

International Relations/Trade,

Naturalizing Supersymmetry with a Two-Field Relaxion Mechanism

We present a supersymmetric version of a two-field relaxion model that naturalizes tuned versions of supersymmetry. This arises from a relaxion mechanism that does not depend on QCD dynamics and where the relaxion potential barrier height is controlled by a second axion-like field. During the cosmological evolution, the relaxion rolls with a nonzero value that breaks supersymmetry and scans the soft supersymmetric mass terms. Electroweak symmetry is broken after the soft masses become of order the supersymmetric Higgs mass term and causes the relaxion to stop rolling for superpartner masses up to $\sim 10^9$ GeV. This can explain the tuning in supersymmetric models, including split-SUSY models, while preserving the QCD axion solution to the strong CP problem. Besides predicting two very weakly-coupled axion-like particles, the supersymmetric spectrum may contain an extra Goldstino, which could be a viable dark matter candidate.Comment: 33 pages, 3 figures; v2: bounds and figures correcte

A New Direction in Dark-Matter Complementarity: Dark-Matter Decay as a Complementary Probe of Multi-Component Dark Sectors

In single-component theories of dark matter, the $2\to 2$ amplitudes for dark-matter production, annihilation, and scattering can be related to each other through various crossing symmetries. These crossing relations lie at the heart of the celebrated complementarity which underpins different existing dark-matter search techniques and strategies. In multi-component theories of dark matter, by contrast, there can be many different dark-matter components with differing masses. This then opens up a new, "diagonal" direction for dark-matter complementarity: the possibility of dark-matter decay from heavier to lighter dark-matter components. In this work, we discuss how this new direction may be correlated with the others, and demonstrate that the enhanced complementarity which emerges can be an important ingredient in probing and constraining the parameter spaces of such models.Comment: 11 pages, LaTeX, 4 figure