National trends in retreatment of HCV due to reinfection or treatment failure in Australia

Background & Aims: Population-level uptake of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, including retreatment, can be estimated through administrative pharmaceutical dispensation data. However, the reasons for retreatment are not captured in these data. We developed a machine learning model to classify retreatments as reinfection or treatment failure at a national level. Methods: Retreatment data from the REACH-C cohort (n = 10,843 treated with DAAs; n = 320 retreatments with known reason), were used to train a random forest model. Nested cross validation was undertaken to assess model performance and to optimise hyperparameters. The model was applied to data on DAA retreatment dispensed during 2016-2021 in Australia, to identify the reason for retreatment (treatment failure or reinfection). Results: Average predictive accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity and F1-score for the model were 96.3%, 96.5%, 96.3%, 96.3% and 96.3%, respectively. Nationally, 95,272 individuals initiated DAAs, with treatment uptake declining from 32,454 in 2016 to 6,566 in 2021. Of those treated, 6,980 (7%) were retreated. Our model classified 51.8% (95% CI 46.7–53.6%; n = 3,614) of cases as reinfection and 48.2% (95% CI 46.4–53.3%; n = 3,366) as treatment failure. Retreatment for reinfection increased steadily over the study period from 14 in 2016 to 1,092 in 2020, stabilising in 2021. Retreatment for treatment failure increased from 73 in 2016 to 1,077 in 2019, then declined to 515 in 2021. Among individuals retreated for treatment failure, 50% had discontinued initial treatment. Conclusions: We used a novel methodology with high classification accuracy to evaluate DAA retreatment patterns at a national level. Increases in retreatment uptake for treatment failure corresponded to the availability of pangenotypic and salvage regimens. Increasing retreatment uptake for reinfection likely reflects increasing reinfection incidence. Impact and implications: This study used machine learning methodologies to analyse national administrative data and characterise trends in HCV retreatment due to reinfection and treatment failure. Retreatment for reinfection increased over time, reflecting increasing numbers of people at risk for reinfection following HCV cure. Increased retreatment for treatment failure corresponded to the availability of pangenotypic and salvage DAA regimens. The findings of this study can be used by public health agencies and policy makers to guide and assess HCV elimination strategies, while the novel methodology for monitoring trends in HCV retreatment has the potential to be used in other settings, and health conditions

The effects of a tea tree oil-containing gel on plaque and chronic gingivitis

The document attached has been archived with permission from the Australian Dental Association. An external link to the publisher’s copy is included.Background: This clinical study assessed the effects of topically applied tea tree oil (TTO)-containing gel on dental plaque and chronic gingivitis. Methods: This was a double-blind, longitudinal, non-crossover study in 49 medically fit non-smokers (24 males and 25 females) aged 18–60 years with severe chronic gingivitis. Subjects were randomly assigned to three groups and given either TTO-gel (2.5 per cent), chlorhexidine (CHX) gel (0.2 per cent), or a placebo gel to apply with a toothbrush twice daily. Treatment effects were assessed using the Gingival Index (GI), Papillary Bleeding Index (PBI) and plaque staining score (PSS) at four and eight weeks. Results: No adverse reactions to any of the gels were reported. The data were separated into subsets by tooth (anterior and posterior) and tooth surface (buccal and lingual). The TTO group had significant reduction in PBI and GI scores. However, TTO did not reduce plaque scores, which tended to increase over the latter weeks of the study period. Conclusion: Although further studies are required, the anti-inflammatory properties of TTO-containing gel applied topically to inflamed gingival tissues may prove to be a useful non-toxic adjunct to chemotherapeutic periodontal therapy.S Soukoulis and R Hirsc

Computational instantaneous wave‐free ratio (IFR) for patient‐specific coronary artery stenoses using 1D network models

In this work, we estimate the diagnostic threshold of the instantaneous wave‐free ratio (iFR) through the use of a one‐dimensional haemodynamic framework. To this end, we first compared the computed fractional flow reserve (cFFR) predicted from a 1D computational framework with invasive clinical measurements. The framework shows excellent promise and utilises minimal patient data from a cohort of 52 patients with a total of 66 stenoses. The diagnostic accuracy of the cFFR model was 75.76%, with a sensitivity of 71.43%, a specificity of 77.78%, a positive predictive value of 60%, and a negative predictive value of 85.37%. The validated model was then used to estimate the diagnostic threshold of iFR. The model determined a quadratic relationship between cFFR and the ciFR. The iFR diagnostic threshold was determined to be 0.8910 from a receiver operating characteristic curve that is in the range of 0.89 to 0.9 that is normally reported in clinical studies

Accuracy of the discharge destination field in administrative data for identifying transfer to a long-term acute care hospital

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Long-term acute care hospitals (LTACs) provide specialized care for patients recovering from severe acute illness. In order to facilitate research into LTAC utilization and outcomes, we studied whether or not the discharge destination field in administrative data accurately identifies patients transferred to an LTAC following acute care hospitalization.</p> <p>Findings</p> <p>We used the 2006 hospitalization claims for United States Medicare beneficiaries to examine the performance characteristics of the discharge destination field in the administrative record, compared to the reference standard of directly observing LTAC transfers in the claims. We found that the discharge destination field was highly specific (99.7%, 95 percent CI: 99.7% - 99.8%) but modestly sensitive (77.3%, 95 percent CI: 77.0% - 77.6%), with corresponding low positive predictive value (72.6%, 95 percent CI: 72.3% - 72.9%) and high negative predictive value (99.8%, 95 percent CI: 99.8% - 99.8%). Sensitivity and specificity were similar when limiting the analysis to only intensive care unit patients and mechanically ventilated patients, two groups with higher rates of LTAC utilization. Performance characteristics were slightly better when limiting the analysis to Pennsylvania, a state with relatively high LTAC penetration.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>The discharge destination field in administrative data can result in misclassification when used to identify patients transferred to long-term acute care hospitals. Directly observing transfers in the claims is the preferable method, although this approach is only feasible in identified data.</p

Reduced order methods for parametric optimal flow control in coronary bypass grafts, toward patient-specific data assimilation

Coronary artery bypass grafts (CABG) surgery is an invasive procedure performed to circumvent partial or complete blood flow blockage in coronary artery disease. In this work, we apply a numerical optimal flow control model to patient-specific geometries of CABG, reconstructed from clinical images of real-life surgical cases, in parameterized settings. The aim of these applications is to match known physiological data with numerical hemodynamics corresponding to different scenarios, arisen by tuning some parameters. Such applications are an initial step toward matching patient-specific physiological data in patient-specific vascular geometries as best as possible. Two critical challenges that reportedly arise in such problems are: (a) lack of robust quantification of meaningful boundary conditions required to match known data as best as possible and (b) high computational cost. In this work, we utilize unknown control variables in the optimal flow control problems to take care of the first challenge. Moreover, to address the second challenge, we propose a time-efficient and reliable computational environment for such parameterized problems by projecting them onto a low-dimensional solution manifold through proper orthogonal decomposition-Galerkin

The egiin davaa prehistoric rupture, central mongolia: A large magnitude normal faulting earthquake on a reactivated fault with little cumulative slip located in a slowly deforming intraplate setting

The prehistoric Egiin Davaa earthquake rupture is well-preserved in late Quaternary deposits within the Hangay Mountains of central Mongolia. The rupture is expressed by a semicontinuous 80 km-long topographic scarp. Geomorphological reconstructions reveal a relatively constant scarp height of 4-4.5 m and a NW-directed slip vector. Previous researchers have suggested that the scarp's exceptional geomorphological preservation indicates that it may correspond to an earthquake that occurred in the region c. 500 years ago. However, we constrain the last rupture to have been at least 4 ka ago from morphological dating and < 7.4 ka ago based on radiocarbon dating from one of two palaeoseismic trenches. Our study shows that discrete earthquake ruptures, along with details such as the locations of partially infilled fissures, can be preserved for periods well in excess of 1000 years in the interior of Asia, providing an archive of fault movements that can be directly read from the Earth's surface over a timescale appropriate for the study of slowly deforming continental interiors. The Egiin Davaa rupture involved c. 8 m of slip which, along with the observations that it is largely unsegmented along its length and that the ratio of cumulative slip (c. 250 m) to fault length (c. 80 km) is small, suggests relatively recent reactivation of a pre-existing geological structure

Artificial Gravity Reveals that Economy of Action Determines the Stability of Sensorimotor Coordination

Background: When we move along in time with a piece of music, we synchronise the downward phase of our gesture with the beat. While it is easy to demonstrate this tendency, there is considerable debate as to its neural origins. It may have a structural basis, whereby the gravitational field acts as an orientation reference that biases the formulation of motor commands. Alternatively, it may be functional, and related to the economy with which motion assisted by gravity can be generated by the motor system

Internet-based self-help randomized trial for motor functional neurologic disorder (SHIFT).

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether self-rated health of patients with motor functional neurologic disorder (FND) can be improved by unguided Internet-based self-help and education. METHODS: In this nonblinded randomized controlled trial, patients were allocated 1:1 unbiased to an unguided education and self-help website in addition to usual care or usual care only. Patients over 17 years of age with a functional motor symptom that caused distress or disability were included. The primary outcome was self-rated health on the Clinical Global Improvement scale at 3 and 6 months. Secondary outcomes were severity of motor symptoms, other physical and psychiatric symptoms, physical functioning, quality of life, work and social adjustment, illness beliefs, and satisfaction with care. RESULTS: A total of 186 patients were randomized, with a follow-up rate of 87% at 6 months. There was no difference in improvement of self-rated health at 3 months (44% vs 40%, p = 0.899) or 6 months (42% vs 43%, p = 0.435). Secondary outcomes did not differ between groups, with a threshold of p < 0.01. Satisfaction was high, with 86% of patients recommending the website to other patients. CONCLUSION: We found no significant effect of the intervention added to usual care on self-rated health or secondary outcome measures, despite high patient satisfaction with the intervention. These results suggest that online education and nonguided self-help could be valuable additions to stepped care for motor FND, but are not effective treatments as interventions in their own right. CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER: NCT02589886. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that for patients with motor FND, online education and self-help intervention does not significantly improve self-rated health

Evaluation of rK39 rapid diagnostic tests for canine visceral leishmaniasis : longitudinal study and meta-analysis

Canine visceral leishmaniasis is a vector-borne disease caused by the intracellular parasite Leishmania infantum. It is an important veterinary disease, and dogs are also the main animal reservoir for human infection. The disease is widespread in the Mediterranean area, and parts of Asia and South and Central America, and is potentially fatal in both dogs and humans unless treated. Diagnosis of canine infections requires serological or molecular tests. Detection of infection in dogs is important prior to treatment, and in epidemiological studies and control programmes, and a sensitive and specific rapid diagnostic test would be very useful. Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) have been developed, but their diagnostic performance has been reported to be variable. We evaluated the sensitivity of a RDT based on serological detection of the rK39 antigen in a cohort of naturally infected Brazilian dogs. The sensitivity of the test to detect infection was relatively low, but increased with time since infection and the severity of infection. We then carried out a meta-analysis of published studies of rK39 RDTs, evaluating the sensitivity to detect disease and infection. The results suggest that rK39 RDTs may be useful in a veterinary clinical setting, but the sensitivity to detect infection is too low for operational control programmes