2,573 research outputs found
Accelerating Scientific Discovery by Formulating Grand Scientific Challenges
One important question for science and society is how to best promote
scientific progress. Inspired by the great success of Hilbert's famous set of
problems, the FuturICT project tries to stimulate and focus the efforts of many
scientists by formulating Grand Challenges, i.e. a set of fundamental, relevant
and hardly solvable scientific questions.Comment: To appear in EPJ Special Topics. For related work see
http://www.futurict.eu and http://www.soms.ethz.c
Macroscopic Dynamics of Multi-Lane Traffic
We present a macroscopic model of mixed multi-lane freeway traffic that can
be easily calibrated to empirical traffic data, as is shown for Dutch highway
data. The model is derived from a gas-kinetic level of description, including
effects of vehicular space requirements and velocity correlations between
successive vehicles. We also give a derivation of the lane-changing rates. The
resulting dynamic velocity equations contain non-local and anisotropic
interaction terms which allow a robust and efficient numerical simulation of
multi-lane traffic. As demonstrated by various examples, this facilitates the
investigation of synchronization patterns among lanes and effects of on-ramps,
off-ramps, lane closures, or accidents.Comment: For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.htm
Derivation, Properties, and Simulation of a Gas-Kinetic-Based, Non-Local Traffic Model
We derive macroscopic traffic equations from specific gas-kinetic equations,
dropping some of the assumptions and approximations made in previous papers.
The resulting partial differential equations for the vehicle density and
average velocity contain a non-local interaction term which is very favorable
for a fast and robust numerical integration, so that several thousand freeway
kilometers can be simulated in real-time. The model parameters can be easily
calibrated by means of empirical data. They are directly related to the
quantities characterizing individual driver-vehicle behavior, and their optimal
values have the expected order of magnitude. Therefore, they allow to
investigate the influences of varying street and weather conditions or freeway
control measures. Simulation results for realistic model parameters are in good
agreement with the diverse non-linear dynamical phenomena observed in freeway
traffic.Comment: For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.html and
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/treiber.htm
Gas-Kinetic-Based Traffic Model Explaining Observed Hysteretic Phase Transition
Recently, hysteretic transitions to `synchronized traffic' with high values
of both density and traffic flow were observed on German freeways [B. S. Kerner
and H. Rehborn, Phys. Rev. Lett. 79, 4030 (1997)]. We propose a macroscopic
traffic model based on a gas-kinetic approach that can explain this phase
transition. The results suggest a general mechanism for the formation of
probably the most common form of congested traffic.Comment: With corrected formula (3). For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.htm
Drift- or Fluctuation-Induced Ordering and Self-Organization in Driven Many-Particle Systems
According to empirical observations, some pattern formation phenomena in
driven many-particle systems are more pronounced in the presence of a certain
noise level. We investigate this phenomenon of fluctuation-driven ordering with
a cellular automaton model of interactive motion in space and find an optimal
noise strength, while order breaks down at high(er) fluctuation levels.
Additionally, we discuss the phenomenon of noise- and drift-induced
self-organization in systems that would show disorder in the absence of
fluctuations. In the future, related studies may have applications to the
control of many-particle systems such as the efficient separation of particles.
The rather general formulation of our model in the spirit of game theory may
allow to shed some light on several different kinds of noise-induced ordering
phenomena observed in physical, chemical, biological, and socio-economic
systems (e.g., attractive and repulsive agglomeration, or segregation).Comment: For related work see http://www.helbing.or
Generalized Force Model of Traffic Dynamics
Floating car data of car-following behavior in cities were compared to
existing microsimulation models, after their parameters had been calibrated to
the experimental data. With these parameter values, additional simulations have
been carried out, e.g. of a moving car which approaches a stopped car. It
turned out that, in order to manage such kinds of situations without producing
accidents, improved traffic models are needed. Good results have been obtained
with the proposed generalized force model.Comment: For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.htm
Pedestrian, Crowd, and Evacuation Dynamics
This contribution describes efforts to model the behavior of individual
pedestrians and their interactions in crowds, which generate certain kinds of
self-organized patterns of motion. Moreover, this article focusses on the
dynamics of crowds in panic or evacuation situations, methods to optimize
building designs for egress, and factors potentially causing the breakdown of
orderly motion.Comment: This is a review paper. For related work see http://www.soms.ethz.c
Empirical Traffic Data and Their Implications for Traffic Modeling
From single vehicle data a number of new empirical results about the temporal
evolution, correlation, and density-dependence of macroscopic traffic
quantities have been determined. These have relevant implications for traffic
modeling and allow to test existing traffic models.Comment: For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.htm
Structure and Instability of High-Density Equations for Traffic Flow
Similar to the treatment of dense gases, fluid-dynamic equations for the
dynamics of congested vehicular traffic are derived from Enskog-like kinetic
equations. These contain additional terms due to the anisotropic vehicle
interactions. The calculations are carried out up to Navier-Stokes order. A
linear instability analysis indicates an additional kind of instability
compared to previous macroscopic traffic models. The relevance for describing
granular flows is outlined.Comment: For related work see
http://www.theo2.physik.uni-stuttgart.de/helbing.htm
Analytical Investigation of Innovation Dynamics Considering Stochasticity in the Evaluation of Fitness
We investigate a selection-mutation model for the dynamics of technological
innovation,a special case of reaction-diffusion equations. Although mutations
are assumed to increase the variety of technologies, not their average success
("fitness"), they are an essential prerequisite for innovation. Together with a
selection of above-average technologies due to imitation behavior, they are the
"driving force" for the continuous increase in fitness. We will give analytical
solutions for the probability distribution of technologies for special cases
and in the limit of large times.
The selection dynamics is modelled by a "proportional imitation" of better
technologies. However, the assessment of a technology's fitness may be
imperfect and, therefore, vary stochastically. We will derive conditions, under
which wrong assessment of fitness can accelerate the innovation dynamics, as it
has been found in some surprising numerical investigations.Comment: For related work see http://www.helbing.or
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