6 research outputs found
Homogeneidade de séries climatológicas em Minas Gerais Homogeneity of climatological series in Minas Gerais
Os dados climáticos sĂŁo de extrema importância nas diversas atividades humanas, por fornecerem muitas informações relativas ao meio ambiente e aos impactos nele decorrentes. Portanto, há necessidade de informações meteorolĂłgicas estatisticamente homogĂŞneas visto que uma sĂ©rie temporal nĂŁo homogĂŞnea pode comprometer a análise e a interpretação desses dados. Assim, este trabalho teve como objetivo estudar metodologias para avaliar a homogeneidade de sĂ©ries de dados de temperaturas máximas e mĂnimas no Estado de Minas Gerais. A análise de homogeneidade foi feita por meio de trĂŞs testes de identificação de pontos de descontinuidade nas sĂ©ries temporais: Teste de Homogeneidade Normal PadrĂŁo (SNHT), teste de Pettitt e teste Buishand. Os testes apresentaram resultados muito similares sendo que a maior parte das sĂ©ries mensais de temperatura foi considerada homogĂŞnea. As heterogeneidades ocorreram na dĂ©cada de 1990, principalmente em torno de 1997.<br>Climatic data are extremely important in many human activities; they provide much information about the environment and its impacts. So there is a need for weather data information, statistically homogeneous, because heterogeneity can compromise any time series analysis and interpretations of such data. Thus, this work aimed to study methodologies for assessing the homogeneity of data sets of maximum and minimum temperatures in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil. The analysis of homogeneity was carried out by means of three tests for the identification of points of discontinuity in the series: Standard Normal Homogeneity Test (SNHT), Pettitt test and the Buishand test. The results of the tests were very similar, with most of the monthly series of temperature were considered homogeneous. Heterogeneities occurred in the 1990s, especially around 1997
Analysis of mid-twentieth century rainfall trends and variability over southwestern Uganda
A methodology has been applied to investigate
the spatial variability and trends existent in a mid-twentieth
century climatic time series (for the period 1943–1977)
recorded by 58 climatic stations in the Albert–Victoria water
management area in Uganda. Data were subjected to quality
checks before further processing. In the present work, temporal
trends were analyzed using Mann–Kendall and linear
regression methods. Heterogeneity of monthly rainfall was
investigated using the precipitation concentration index
(PCI). Results revealed that 53 % of stations have positive
trends where 25 % are statistically significant and 45 % of
stations have negative trends with 23 % being statistically
significant. Very strong trends at 99 % significance level
were revealed at 12 stations. Positive trends in January,
February, and November at 40 stations were observed. The
highest rainfall was recorded in April, while January, June,
and July had the lowest rainfall. Spatial analysis results
showed that stations close to Lake Victoria recorded high
amounts of rainfall. Average annual coefficient of variability
was 19 %, signifying low variability. Rainfall distribution is
bimodal with maximums experienced in March–April–May
and September–October–November seasons of the year.
Analysis also revealed that PCI values showed a moderate
to seasonal rainfall distribution. Spectral analysis of the time components reveals the existence of a major period around
3, 6, and 10 years. The 6- and 10-year period is a characteristic
of September–October–November, March–April–
May, and annual time series.http://link.springer.com/journal/704hb201