Measuring Weak Sustainability for the future: Calculating Genuine Saving with population change by an integrated assessment model

This paper presents a future figure of Genuine Saving with population growth (GSn). This was enabled by using an integrated assessment model, similar to the RICE model by Nordhaus. The model consists of sub-models that evaluate various kinds of mineral resources and environmental impacts. Results indicates that GSn is positive i) in OECD during the 21st century, ii) in World and the former Soviet Union and East Europe after 2030, and iii) in Asia and the Middle East and Africa after 2050. GSn is negative in Latin America during the 21st century.Genuine Saving, population change, sustainability, integrated assessment model, impact assessment model, growth model

Measuring Weak Sustainability for the future: Calculating Genuine Saving with population change by an integrated assessment model

This paper presents a future figure of Genuine Saving with population growth (GSn). This was enabled by using an integrated assessment model, similar to the RICE model by Nordhaus. The model consists of sub-models that evaluate various kinds of mineral resources and environmental impacts. Results indicates that GSn is positive i) in OECD during the 21st century, ii) in World and the former Soviet Union and East Europe after 2030, and iii) in Asia and the Middle East and Africa after 2050. GSn is negative in Latin America during the 21st century

Consistent characterisation factors at midpoint and endpoint relevant to agricultural water scarcity arising from freshwater consumption

ABSTRACT: Purpose The shortage of agricultural water from freshwater sources is a growing concern because of the relatively large amounts needed to sustain food production for an increasing population. In this context, an impact assessment methodology is indispensable for the identification and assessment of the potential consequences of freshwater consumption in relation to agricultural water scarcity. This paper reports on the consistent development of midpoint and endpoint characterisation factors (CFs) for assessing these impacts. Methods Midpoint characterisation factors focus specifically on shortages in food production resulting from agricultural water scarcity. These were calculated by incorporating country-specific compensation factors for physical availability of water resources and socio-economic capacity in relation to the irrigation water demand for agriculture. At the endpoint, to reflect the more complex impact pathways from food production losses to malnutrition damage from agricultural water scarcity, international food trade relationships and economic adaptation capacity were integrated in the modelling with measures of nutritional vulnerability for each country. Results and discussion The inter-country variances of CFs at the midpoint revealed by this study were larger than those derived using previously developed methods, which did not integrate compensation processes by food stocks. At the endpoint level, both national and trade-induced damage through international trade were quantified and visualised. Distribution of malnutrition damage was also determined by production and trade balances for commodity groups in water-consuming countries, as well as dependency on import ratios for importer countries and economic adaptation capacity in each country. By incorporating the complex relationships between these factors, estimated malnutrition damage due to freshwater consumption at the country scale showed good correlation with total reported nutritional deficiency damage. Conclusions The model allows the establishment of consistent CFs at the midpoint and endpoint for agricultural water scarcity resulting from freshwater consumption. The complex relationships between food production supply and nutrition damage can be described by considering the physical and socio-economic parameters used in this study. Developed CFs contribute to a better assessment of the potential impacts associated with freshwater consumption in global supply chains and to life cycle assessment and water footprint assessments

Environmental and Health-Related Lifecycle Impact Assessment of Reduced-Salt Meals in Japan

To achieve sustainable development goals, meals should promote environmental protection and good health. The excessive salt intake of the Japanese people is one cause of lifestyle diseases. This study evaluated the impact of reducing salt intake on the environment and human health. Over one week, this study compared the lifecycle of a model meal based on a Japanese person’s average food intake with a reduced-salt meal, by replacing seasoning/salt with low-salt substitutes. We conducted an inventory assessment of the carbon and water consumption footprints based on the items used in the ingredient and cooking stages. The impact on climate and water consumption was determined using the results of the inventory assessment of the damage factors. We took the global burden of disease result as the health impact of salt intake. The decreased health impact of reduced salt was based on the results of a previous study. The health impact of the ingredient stage of both meals was almost the same. Regarding the assessment of the health impact, the value of the reduced-salt meal was 30% lower than that of the model meal because the salt intake was reduced by 2.8 g per day. We found that the reduced-salt meal could decrease the overall human health impact by 20% because of the reduced incidence of salt-intake-related diseases, despite a small increase in the health impact of reduced-salt seasonings