Nocturnal blood pressure decline based on different time intervals and long-term cardiovascular risk: the Ohasama Study

<p>A diminished nocturnal decline in blood pressure (BP) represents a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. To define daytime and nighttime ambulatory BP, clock time-dependent methods are used when information on diary-based sleeping time is unavailable. We aimed to compare fixed-clock intervals with diary records to identify nocturnal BP declines as a predictor of long-term cardiovascular risk among the general population. Data were obtained from 1714 participants with no history of cardiovascular disease in Ohasama, Japan (mean age, 60.6 years; 64.9% women). We defined extreme dippers, dippers, non-dippers, and risers as nocturnal systolic BP decline ≥20%, 10–19%. 0–9%, and <0%, respectively. Over a mean follow-up period of 17.0 years, 206 cardiovascular deaths occurred. Based on diary records, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for cardiovascular death compared with dippers were 1.24 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82–1.87) in extreme dippers, 1.21 (0.87–1.69) in non-dippers, and the highest HR of 2.31 (1.47–3.62) was observed in risers. Using a standard fixed-clock interval (daytime 09:00–21:00; nighttime 01:00–06:00), a nighttime 2 h-early shifted fixed-clock (daytime 09:00–21:00; nighttime 23:00–04:00), or a nighttime 2 h-late shifted fixed-clock (daytime 09:00–21:00; nighttime 03:00–08:00), the HR (95%CI) in risers compared with dippers was 1.57 (1.08–2.27), 2.02 (1.33–3.05), or 1.29 (0.86–1.92), respectively. Although use of diary records remains preferable, the standard and nighttime 2 h-early shifted fixed-clock intervals appear feasible for population-based studies.</p

Adiposity and risk of decline in glomerular filtration rate: meta-analysis of individual participant data in a global consortium

OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the associations between adiposity measures (body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-to-height ratio) with decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and with all cause mortality. DESIGN:Individual participant data meta-analysis. SETTING:Cohorts from 40 countries with data collected between 1970 and 2017. PARTICIPANTS:Adults in 39 general population cohorts (n=5 459 014), of which 21 (n=594 496) had data on waist circumference; six cohorts with high cardiovascular risk (n=84 417); and 18 cohorts with chronic kidney disease (n=91 607). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:GFR decline (estimated GFR decline ≥40%, initiation of kidney replacement therapy or estimated GFR <10 mL/min/1.73 m2) and all cause mortality. RESULTS:Over a mean follow-up of eight years, 246 607 (5.6%) individuals in the general population cohorts had GFR decline (18 118 (0.4%) end stage kidney disease events) and 782 329 (14.7%) died. Adjusting for age, sex, race, and current smoking, the hazard ratios for GFR decline comparing body mass indices 30, 35, and 40 with body mass index 25 were 1.18 (95% confidence interval 1.09 to 1.27), 1.69 (1.51 to 1.89), and 2.02 (1.80 to 2.27), respectively. Results were similar in all subgroups of estimated GFR. Associations weakened after adjustment for additional comorbidities, with respective hazard ratios of 1.03 (0.95 to 1.11), 1.28 (1.14 to 1.44), and 1.46 (1.28 to 1.67). The association between body mass index and death was J shaped, with the lowest risk at body mass index of 25. In the cohorts with high cardiovascular risk and chronic kidney disease (mean follow-up of six and four years, respectively), risk associations between higher body mass index and GFR decline were weaker than in the general population, and the association between body mass index and death was also J shaped, with the lowest risk between body mass index 25 and 30. In all cohort types, associations between higher waist circumference and higher waist-to-height ratio with GFR decline were similar to that of body mass index; however, increased risk of death was not associated with lower waist circumference or waist-to-height ratio, as was seen with body mass index. CONCLUSIONS:Elevated body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-to-height ratio are independent risk factors for GFR decline and death in individuals who have normal or reduced levels of estimated GFR