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    Electronic structure and orbital polarization of LaNiO3_3 with a reduced coordination and under strain: first-principles study

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    First-principles density functional theory calculations have been performed to understand the electronic structure and orbital polarization of LaNiO3_3 with a reduced coordination and under strain. From the slab calculation to simulate [001] surface, it is found that d3z2βˆ’r2d_{3z^2-r^2} orbital occupation is significantly enhanced relative to dx2βˆ’y2d_{x^2-y^2} occupation owing to the reduced coordination along the perpendicular direction to the sample plane. Furthermore, the sign of the orbital polarization does not change under external strain. The results are discussed in comparison to the bulk and heterostructure cases, which sheds new light on the understanding of the available experimental data.Comment: Phys. Rev. B (in press

    Time series properties of ARCH processes with persistent covariates

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    We consider ARCH processes with persistent covariates and provide asymptotic theories that explain how such covariates affect various characteristics of volatility. Specifically, we propose and study a volatility model, named ARCH-NNH model, that is an ARCH(1) process with a nonlinear function of a persistent, integrated or nearly integrated, explanatory variable. Statistical properties of time series given by this model are investigated for various volatility functions. It is shown that our model generates time series that have two prominent characteristics: high degree of volatility persistence and leptokurtosis. Due to persistent covariates, the time series generated by our model has the long memory property in volatility that is commonly observed in high frequency speculative returns. On the other hand, the sample kurtosis of the time series generated by our model either diverges or has a well-defined limiting distribution with support truncated on the left by the kurtosis of the innovation, which successfully explains the empirical finding of leptokurtosis in financial time series. We present two empirical applications of our model. It is shown that the default premium (the yield spread between Baa and Aaa corporate bonds) predicts stock return volatility, and the interest rate differential between two countries accounts for exchange rate return volatility. The forecast evaluation shows that our model generally performs better than GARCH(1,1) and FIGARCH at relatively lower frequencies.ARCH; nonstationarity; nonlinearity; NNH; volatility persistence; leptokurtosis
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