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    Predictive value of preoperative albumin-bilirubin score and other risk factors for short-term outcomes after open pancreatoduodenectomy

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    Background: Pancreatoduodenectomy represents a complex procedure involving extensive organ resection and multiple alimentary reconstructions. It is still associated with high morbidity, even in high-volume centres. Prediction tools including preoperative patient-related factors to preoperatively identify patients at high risk for postoperative complications could enable tailored perioperative management and improve patient outcomes. Aim: To evaluate the clinical significance of preoperative albumin-bilirubin score and other risk factors in relation to short-term postoperative outcomes in patients after open pancreatoduodenectomy. Methods: This retrospective study included all patients who underwent open pancreatic head resection (pylorus-preserving pancreatoduodenectomy or Whipple resection) for various pathologies during a five-year period (2017-2021) in a tertiary care setting at University Medical Centre Ljubljana, Slovenia and Cattinara Hospital, Trieste, Italy. Short-term postoperative outcomes, namely, postoperative complications, postoperative pancreatic fistula, reoperation, and mortality, were evaluated in association with albumin-bilirubin score and other risk factors. Multiple logistic regression models were built to identify risk factors associated with these short-term postoperative outcomes. Results: Data from 347 patients were collected. Postoperative complications, major postoperative complications, postoperative pancreatic fistula, reoperation, and mortality were observed in 52.7%, 22.2%, 23.9%, 21.3%, and 5.2% of patients, respectively. There was no statistically significant association between the albumin-bilirubin score and any of these short-term postoperative complications based on univariate analysis. When controlling for other predictor variables in a logistic regression model, soft pancreatic texture was statistically significantly associated with postoperative complications [odds ratio (OR): 2.09; 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.19-3.67]; male gender (OR: 2.12; 95%CI: 1.15-3.93), soft pancreatic texture (OR: 3.06; 95%CI: 1.56-5.97), and blood loss (OR: 1.07; 95%CI: 1.00-1.14) were statistically significantly associated with major postoperative complications; soft pancreatic texture was statistically significantly associated with the development of postoperative pancreatic fistula (OR: 5.11; 95%CI: 2.38-10.95); male gender (OR: 1.97; 95%CI: 1.01-3.83), soft pancreatic texture (OR: 2.95; 95%CI: 1.42-6.11), blood loss (OR: 1.08; 95%CI: 1.01-1.16), and resection due to duodenal carcinoma (OR: 6.58; 95%CI: 1.20-36.15) were statistically significantly associated with reoperation. Conclusion: The albumin-bilirubin score failed to predict short-term postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy. However, other risk factors seem to influence postoperative outcomes, including male sex, soft pancreatic texture, blood loss, and resection due to duodenal carcinoma
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