The impact of thrombosis on probabilities of death and disease progression in polycythemia vera: a multistate transition analysis of 1,545 patients

: We applied a parametric Markov five-state model, on a well-characterized international cohort of 1,545 patients with polycythemia vera (PV; median age 61 years; females 51%), in order to examine the impact of incident thrombosis on the trajectory of death or disease progression. At a median follow-up of 6.9 years, 347 (23%) deaths, 50 (3%) blast phase (BP), and 138 (9%) fibrotic (post-PV MF) transformations were recorded. Incident thrombosis occurred at a rate of 2.62% pt/yr (arterial 1.59% and venous 1.05%). The probability of death, in the first 10 years, for 280 (18%) patients who developed thrombosis during follow-up was 40%, which was two-fold higher than that seen in the absence of thrombosis or any other transition state (20%; p < 0.01); the adverse impact from thrombosis was more apparent for arterial (HR 1.74; p < 0.01) vs venous thrombosis (p=NS) and was independent of other fixed (i.e., age, prior venous thrombosis, leukocytosis) or time-dependent (i.e., progression to BP or MF) risk variables. The transition probability to post-PV MF increased over time, in a linear fashion, with a rate of 5% capped at 5 and 10 years, in patients with or without incident thrombosis, respectively. The impact of thrombosis on transition probability to death or post-PV MF tapered off beyond 10 years and appeared to reverse direction of impact on MF evolution at the 12-year time point. These observations suggest thrombosis in PV to be a marker of aggressive disease biology or a disease-associated inflammatory state that is consequential to both thrombosis and disease progression

Clinical significance of genetic aberrations in secondary acute myeloid leukemia

The study aimed to identify genetic lesions associated with secondary acute myeloid leukemia (sAML) in comparison with AML arising de novo (dnAML) and assess their impact on patients' overall survival (OS). High-resolution genotyping and loss of heterozygosity mapping was performed on DNA samples from 86 sAML and 117 dnAML patients, using Affymetrix Genome-Wide Human SNP 6.0 arrays. Genes TP53, RUNX1, CBL, IDH1/2, NRAS, NPM1, and FLT3 were analyzed for mutations in all patients. We identified 36 recurrent cytogenetic aberrations (more than five events). Mutations in TP53, 9pUPD, and del7q (targeting CUX1 locus) were significantly associated with sAML, while NPM1 and FLT3 mutations associated with dnAML. Patients with sAML carrying TP53 mutations demonstrated lower 1-year OS rate than those with wild-type TP53 (14.3% +/- 9.4% vs. 35.4% +/- 7.2%; P = 0.002), while complex karyotype, del7q (CUX1) and del7p (IKZF1) showed no significant effect on OS. Multivariate analysis confirmed that mutant TP53 was the only independent adverse prognostic factor for OS in sAML (hazard ratio 2.67; 95% CI: 1.335.37; P = 0.006). Patients with dnAML and complex karyotype carried sAML-associated defects (TP53 defects in 54.5%, deletions targeting FOXP1 and ETV6 loci in 45.4% of the cases). We identified several co-occurring lesions associated with either sAML or dnAML diagnosis. Our data suggest that distinct genetic lesions drive leukemogenesis in sAML. High karyotype complexity of sAML patients does not influence OS. Somatic mutations in TP53 are the only independent adverse prognostic factor in sAML. Patients with dnAML and complex karyotype show genetic features associated with sAML and myeloproliferative neoplasms. Am. J. Hematol., 2012

Genetic variation at MECOM, TERT, JAK2 and HBS1L-MYB predisposes to myeloproliferative neoplasms

Clonal proliferation in myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) is driven by somatic mutations in JAK2, CALR or MPL, but the contribution of inherited factors is poorly characterized. Using a three-stage genome-wide association study of 3,437 MPN cases and 10,083 controls, we identify two SNPs with genome-wide significance in JAK2V617F-negative MPN: rs12339666 (JAK2; meta-analysis P=1.27 × 10−10) and rs2201862 (MECOM; meta-analysis P=1.96 × 10−9). Two additional SNPs, rs2736100 (TERT) and rs9376092 (HBS1L/MYB), achieve genome-wide significance when including JAK2V617F-positive cases. rs9376092 has a stronger effect in JAK2V617F-negative cases with CALR and/or MPL mutations (Breslow–Day P=4.5 × 10−7), whereas in JAK2V617F-positive cases rs9376092 associates with essential thrombocythemia (ET) rather than polycythemia vera (allelic χ2 P=7.3 × 10−7). Reduced MYB expression, previously linked to development of an ET-like disease in model systems, associates with rs9376092 in normal myeloid cells. These findings demonstrate that multiple germline variants predispose to MPN and link constitutional differences in MYB expression to disease phenotype