Mexico's ageing future : turning points and policy options; a look towards 2040 and beyond

The size of working age groups will peak in 2031 for ages 20-39 and in 2051 for ages 40-59. In the short term, population ageing favors Argentine productivity, and the fiscal support ratio is projected to grow until 2033 with a projected peak in 2018. This ratio indicates a potential “demographic dividend” – surplus generated by the economy that, if invested in health, education, and infrastructure, can move the economy to a path of higher production and living standards. Policy options for a declining workforce include: delaying retirement to maintain productivity; closing the gender gap; and increasing taxes to maintain fiscal balance

Costa Rica's ageing future : turning points and policy options; a look towards 2040 and beyond

The size of the working age groups will peak in 2022 for ages 20-39 and in 2042 for ages 40-59. The fiscal support ratio drops steadily after 2024. This is the ratio of taxpayers to beneficiaries. The age structure of the population favored taxpayers over beneficiaries most strongly in 2012. Some policy options to deal with a declining workforce are: delaying retirement to maintain productivity; closing the gender gap to maintain productivity; and increasing taxes to maintain fiscal balance

Colombia's ageing future : turning points and policy options; a look towards 2040 and beyond

The size of the working age groups will peak in 2033 for ages 20-39 and in 2056 for ages 40-59. The fiscal support ratio drops steadily after 2024. This is the ratio of producers to consumers and an indicator of a potential “demographic dividend” – surplus generated by the economy that, if invested in health, education, and infrastructure, can move the economy permanently to a path of higher production, consumption and living standards. Some policy options to deal with a declining workforce are: delaying retirement to maintain productivity; closing the gender gap to maintain productivity; and increasing taxes to maintain fiscal balance

Uruguay's ageing future : turning points and policy options; a look towards 2040 and beyond

The size of working age groups will peak in 2026 for ages 20-39 and in 2046 for ages 40-59. 2019 is projected to mark the end of the youth society in Uruguay as youth will no longer be the dominant demographic group. This brief suggests some policy options to deal with a declining workforce: delaying retirement to maintain productivity; closing the gender gap to maintain productivity; and increasing taxes to maintain fiscal balance

Argentina's ageing future : turning points and policy options; a look towards 2040 and beyond

The largest cohort of Argentines has already been born (around 1993). 2030 is projected to mark the end of the youth society in Argentina as youth will no longer be the dominant demographic group. Policy options for an ageing future include closing the gender gap to maintain productivity, and increasing taxes to maintain fiscal balance. The paper is written by members of the National Transfer Account Network which brings together researchers from different regions of the world. National Transfer Accounts (NTAs) is a new methodology that represents disaggregation of National Accounts by age, gender, and socioeconomic status

El envejecimiento de la población, las transferencias intergeneracionales y el crecimiento económico: América Latina en el contexto mundial

Incluye BibliografíaEn este artículo se abordan algunas de las consecuencias económicas de la transición demográfica en cinco países de América Latina que forman parte del proyecto sobre cuentas nacionales de transferencias. En este proyecto, se considera de manera integral y congruente el conjunto de transferencias intergeneracionales públicas y privadas que caracterizan a la economía generacional, lo que permite realizar comparaciones entre regiones y países. En este documento se examina la forma en que los modelos de transferencias intergeneracionales interactúan con los cambios demográficos que tienen lugar durante la transición demográfica, prestando especial atención a la fase de envejecimiento de la población

Six Ways Population Change Will Affect the Global Economy

New estimates of economic flows by age combined with population projections show that in the coming decades (1) global GDP growth could be slower by about 1 percentage point per year, declining more sharply than population growth; (2) GDP will shift toward sub-Saharan Africa more than population trends suggest; (3) living standards of working-age adults may be squeezed by high spending on children and seniors; (4) changing population age distribution will raise living standards in many lower-income nations; (5) changing economic life cycles will amplify the economic effects of population aging in many higher income economies; and (6) population aging will likely push public debt, private assets, and perhaps productivity higher. Population change will have profound implications for national, regional, and global economies