Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017

A double burden of malnutrition occurs when individuals, household members or communities experience both undernutrition and overweight. Here, we show geospatial estimates of overweight and wasting prevalence among children under 5 years of age in 105 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) from 2000 to 2017 and aggregate these to policy-relevant administrative units. Wasting decreased overall across LMICs between 2000 and 2017, from 8.4 (62.3 (55.1�70.8) million) to 6.4 (58.3 (47.6�70.7) million), but is predicted to remain above the World Health Organization�s Global Nutrition Target of <5 in over half of LMICs by 2025. Prevalence of overweight increased from 5.2 (30 (22.8�38.5) million) in 2000 to 6.0 (55.5 (44.8�67.9) million) children aged under 5 years in 2017. Areas most affected by double burden of malnutrition were located in Indonesia, Thailand, southeastern China, Botswana, Cameroon and central Nigeria. Our estimates provide a new perspective to researchers, policy makers and public health agencies in their efforts to address this global childhood syndemic. © 2020, The Author(s)

Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Background: Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mortality rates and life expectancy allow comparisons of the consequences of causes of death globally and over time, providing a nuanced understanding of the effect of these causes on global populations. Methods: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 cause-of-death analysis estimated mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) from 288 causes of death by age-sex-location-year in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations for each year from 1990 until 2021. The analysis used 56 604 data sources, including data from vital registration and verbal autopsy as well as surveys, censuses, surveillance systems, and cancer registries, among others. As with previous GBD rounds, cause-specific death rates for most causes were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model—a modelling tool developed for GBD to assess the out-of-sample predictive validity of different statistical models and covariate permutations and combine those results to produce cause-specific mortality estimates—with alternative strategies adapted to model causes with insufficient data, substantial changes in reporting over the study period, or unusual epidemiology. YLLs were computed as the product of the number of deaths for each cause-age-sex-location-year and the standard life expectancy at each age. As part of the modelling process, uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated using the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles from a 1000-draw distribution for each metric. We decomposed life expectancy by cause of death, location, and year to show cause-specific effects on life expectancy from 1990 to 2021. We also used the coefficient of variation and the fraction of population affected by 90% of deaths to highlight concentrations of mortality. Findings are reported in counts and age-standardised rates. Methodological improvements for cause-of-death estimates in GBD 2021 include the expansion of under-5-years age group to include four new age groups, enhanced methods to account for stochastic variation of sparse data, and the inclusion of COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality—which includes excess mortality associated with the pandemic, excluding COVID-19, lower respiratory infections, measles, malaria, and pertussis. For this analysis, 199 new country-years of vital registration cause-of-death data, 5 country-years of surveillance data, 21 country-years of verbal autopsy data, and 94 country-years of other data types were added to those used in previous GBD rounds. Findings: The leading causes of age-standardised deaths globally were the same in 2019 as they were in 1990; in descending order, these were, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and lower respiratory infections. In 2021, however, COVID-19 replaced stroke as the second-leading age-standardised cause of death, with 94·0 deaths (95% UI 89·2–100·0) per 100 000 population. The COVID-19 pandemic shifted the rankings of the leading five causes, lowering stroke to the third-leading and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease to the fourth-leading position. In 2021, the highest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 occurred in sub-Saharan Africa (271·0 deaths [250·1–290·7] per 100 000 population) and Latin America and the Caribbean (195·4 deaths [182·1–211·4] per 100 000 population). The lowest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 were in the high-income super-region (48·1 deaths [47·4–48·8] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania (23·2 deaths [16·3–37·2] per 100 000 population). Globally, life expectancy steadily improved between 1990 and 2019 for 18 of the 22 investigated causes. Decomposition of global and regional life expectancy showed the positive effect that reductions in deaths from enteric infections, lower respiratory infections, stroke, and neonatal deaths, among others have contributed to improved survival over the study period. However, a net reduction of 1·6 years occurred in global life expectancy between 2019 and 2021, primarily due to increased death rates from COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality. Life expectancy was highly variable between super-regions over the study period, with southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania gaining 8·3 years (6·7–9·9) overall, while having the smallest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 (0·4 years). The largest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 occurred in Latin America and the Caribbean (3·6 years). Additionally, 53 of the 288 causes of death were highly concentrated in locations with less than 50% of the global population as of 2021, and these causes of death became progressively more concentrated since 1990, when only 44 causes showed this pattern. The concentration phenomenon is discussed heuristically with respect to enteric and lower respiratory infections, malaria, HIV/AIDS, neonatal disorders, tuberculosis, and measles. Interpretation: Long-standing gains in life expectancy and reductions in many of the leading causes of death have been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, the adverse effects of which were spread unevenly among populations. Despite the pandemic, there has been continued progress in combatting several notable causes of death, leading to improved global life expectancy over the study period. Each of the seven GBD super-regions showed an overall improvement from 1990 and 2021, obscuring the negative effect in the years of the pandemic. Additionally, our findings regarding regional variation in causes of death driving increases in life expectancy hold clear policy utility. Analyses of shifting mortality trends reveal that several causes, once widespread globally, are now increasingly concentrated geographically. These changes in mortality concentration, alongside further investigation of changing risks, interventions, and relevant policy, present an important opportunity to deepen our understanding of mortality-reduction strategies. Examining patterns in mortality concentration might reveal areas where successful public health interventions have been implemented. Translating these successes to locations where certain causes of death remain entrenched can inform policies that work to improve life expectancy for people everywhere. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Author Correction: Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017 (Nature Medicine, (2020), 26, 5, (750-759), 10.1038/s41591-020-0807-6)

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper. © 2020, The Author(s)

Author Correction: Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017 (Nature Medicine, (2020), 26, 5, (750-759), 10.1038/s41591-020-0807-6)

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper. © 2020, The Author(s)

Bevacizumab in High-Risk Corneal Transplantation

To determine the efficacy of local (subconjunctival and topical) bevacizumab (Avastin) treatment in patients undergoing vascularized high-risk corneal transplantation.Pilot, prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted at 5 clinical centers in the United States, India, and Brazil.Patients aged > 18 years undergoing high-risk penetrating keratoplasty, defined as corneal neovascularization (NV) in 1 or more quadrants ≥2 mm from the limbus or extension of corneal NV to the graft-host junction in a previously failed graft.Patients were randomized to receive subconjunctival bevacizumab (2.5 mg/0.1 ml) or placebo at the time of surgery, followed by topical bevacizumab (10 mg/ml) or topical placebo, administered 4 times per day for 4 weeks.The 52-week endothelial immune rejection rate.Ninety-two patients were randomized to receive bevacizumab (n = 48) or control (n = 44). The 52-week endothelial rejection rate was 10% in the bevacizumab group and 19% in the control group (P = 0.20). Post hoc, extended follow-up at the lead study site showed an endothelial rejection rate of 3% in the bevacizumab group and 38% in the control group (P = 0.003). Treatment with bevacizumab was found to have a hazard ratio of 0.15 (95% confidence interval, 0.03–0.65, P = 0.01) in a post hoc Cox regression analysis.In patients undergoing vascularized high-risk corneal transplantation, there was no statistically significant difference in the rate of endothelial rejection at 1 year in the bevacizumab treatment group compared with the control group. This study may have been underpowered to detect a difference between treatment groups, and taken together, our data suggest that, in the current trial design, bevacizumab has a positive but not (yet) significant effect on endothelial rejection

Suppression of Neovascularization by Topical and Subconjunctival Bevacizumab After High-Risk Corneal Transplantation

Purpose: To assess the effectiveness of topical and subconjunctival bevacizumab in suppressing vascularization in graft and host bed after high-risk corneal transplantation. Design: Secondary analysis of prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled multicentric clinical trial. Participants: The study includes patients aged > 18 years who underwent high-risk penetrating keratoplasty, which was defined as corneal vascularization in ≥ 1 quadrants of the corneal graft and host bed, excluding the limbus. Methods: Patients were randomized to treatment and control groups. The patients in the treatment group received subconjunctival injection of bevacizumab (2.5 mg/0.1 ml) on the day of the procedure, followed by topical bevacizumab (10 mg/ml) 4 times per day for 4 weeks. The patients in control group received injection of vehicle (0.9% sodium chloride) on the day of procedure, followed by topical vehicle (carboxymethylcellulose sodium 1%) 4 times a day for 4 weeks. Main Outcome Measures: Vessel and invasion area of vessels in the corneal graft and host beds. Results: This study included 56 eyes of 56 patients who underwent high-risk corneal transplantation, with equal numbers in the bevacizumab and vehicle (control) treatment groups. The mean age of patients who received bevacizumab was 61.2 ± 15.9 years, and the mean age of those treated with vehicle was 60.0 ± 16.1 years. The vessel area at baseline was comparable in the bevacizumab (16.72% ± 3.19%) and control groups (15.48% ± 3.12%; P = 0.72). Similarly, the invasion areas were also similar in the treatment (35.60% ± 2.47%) and control (34.23% ± 2.64%; P = 0.9) groups at baseline. The reduction in vessel area was significantly higher in the bevacizumab-treated group (83.7%) over a period of 52 weeks compared with the control group (61.5%; P < 0.0001). In the bevacizumab-treated group, invasion area was reduced by 75.8% as compared with 46.5% in the control group. The vessel area was similar at 52 weeks postprocedure in cases of first (3.54% ± 1.21%) and repeat (3.80% ± 0.40%) corneal transplantation in patients who received bevacizumab treatment. In the vehicle-treated patients, the vessel area was significantly higher in repeat (9.76% ± 0.32%) compared with first (8.06% ± 1.02%; P < 0.0001) penetrating keratoplasty. In the bevacizumab treatment group, invasion areas at week 52 were comparable in first (11.70% ± 3.38%) and repeat (11.64% ± 1.74%) procedures, whereas invasion area was significantly higher in repeat (27.87% ± 2.57%) as compared with first (24.11% ± 2.17%) penetrating keratoplasty in vehicle-treated patients. Conclusions: In patients undergoing vascularized high-risk corneal transplantation, bevacizumab is efficacious in reducing vascularization of corneal graft and host bed, thereby reducing the risk of corneal graft rejection in vascularized host beds. Financial Disclosure(s): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article

Brazilian Flora 2020: Leveraging the power of a collaborative scientific network

International audienceThe shortage of reliable primary taxonomic data limits the description of biological taxa and the understanding of biodiversity patterns and processes, complicating biogeographical, ecological, and evolutionary studies. This deficit creates a significant taxonomic impediment to biodiversity research and conservation planning. The taxonomic impediment and the biodiversity crisis are widely recognized, highlighting the urgent need for reliable taxonomic data. Over the past decade, numerous countries worldwide have devoted considerable effort to Target 1 of the Global Strategy for Plant Conservation (GSPC), which called for the preparation of a working list of all known plant species by 2010 and an online world Flora by 2020. Brazil is a megadiverse country, home to more of the world's known plant species than any other country. Despite that, Flora Brasiliensis, concluded in 1906, was the last comprehensive treatment of the Brazilian flora. The lack of accurate estimates of the number of species of algae, fungi, and plants occurring in Brazil contributes to the prevailing taxonomic impediment and delays progress towards the GSPC targets. Over the past 12 years, a legion of taxonomists motivated to meet Target 1 of the GSPC, worked together to gather and integrate knowledge on the algal, plant, and fungal diversity of Brazil. Overall, a team of about 980 taxonomists joined efforts in a highly collaborative project that used cybertaxonomy to prepare an updated Flora of Brazil, showing the power of scientific collaboration to reach ambitious goals. This paper presents an overview of the Brazilian Flora 2020 and provides taxonomic and spatial updates on the algae, fungi, and plants found in one of the world's most biodiverse countries. We further identify collection gaps and summarize future goals that extend beyond 2020. Our results show that Brazil is home to 46,975 native species of algae, fungi, and plants, of which 19,669 are endemic to the country. The data compiled to date suggests that the Atlantic Rainforest might be the most diverse Brazilian domain for all plant groups except gymnosperms, which are most diverse in the Amazon. However, scientific knowledge of Brazilian diversity is still unequally distributed, with the Atlantic Rainforest and the Cerrado being the most intensively sampled and studied biomes in the country. In times of “scientific reductionism”, with botanical and mycological sciences suffering pervasive depreciation in recent decades, the first online Flora of Brazil 2020 significantly enhanced the quality and quantity of taxonomic data available for algae, fungi, and plants from Brazil. This project also made all the information freely available online, providing a firm foundation for future research and for the management, conservation, and sustainable use of the Brazilian funga and flora