39 research outputs found
De la prévision à la prospective
6 pages, figuresQu'il s'agisse d'arrêter sa stratégie de développement (recherche,
production, emploi, investissements, exportations, prises de participation)
ou de réagir aux à-coups conjoncturels et aux changements
structurels, l'entreprise doit tenir compte de l'environnement futur dans lequel elle devra s'insérer ou se maintenir. Or l'évolution du
monde s'accélère, le changement s'étend, et la prévision s'avère de
plus en plus indispensable.
En effet, plus les changements politiques, économiques et technologiques
seront rapides, moins il faudra tarder pour anticiper leurs
conséquences, favorables ou non, et adapter les orientations prises
antérieurement. (...
Prospective de l'église : recherche d'éléments pertinents
Mémoire de cycle C en Prospective et Stratégie des Organisations - 58 pages, illustration
Crises are opportunities
160 p., fig., ref. bib. : ref. et notes dissem.The crises are only just beginning; international disorder, reinforced inequalities, worsened unemployment figures, new problems of insecurity, etc... The paradox is that, in our view, this seemingly dark horizon holds reason for hope: certain crises could point the way to social change and this is why we remain optimistic in the long term analysis, despite being pessimistic for the near future: crises and opportunities. In effect, thanks to new technology, a form of growth with better life environmental characteristics is within our grasp. From our standpoint, however, the success of this technological leap into the future can be impaired by the concomitant difficulties in overcoming the obstacles of the social changes needed. The foregoing idea is the main message this book tries to put over and in turn: - aims at presenting a better understanding of economic crises as the direct offspring of social and institutional rigidities accumulated over the recent decades; - takes apart certain myths related to development, to industrialization, to energy problems, to technology ... insofar as many notions that are bandied about cannot sustain a thorough perusal. - and, finally, sheds new light on future possible growth mechanisms and forms of employment, the seeds of which are hidden in today's crises