Impact of the primordial stellar initial mass function on the 21-cm signal

Properties of the first generation of stars [referred to as the Population III (Pop III) stars], such as their initial mass function (IMF), are poorly constrained by observations and have yet to converge between simulations. The cosmological 21-cm signal of neutral hydrogen is predicted to be sensitive to Lyman-band photons produced by these stars, thus providing a unique way to probe the first stellar population. In this paper, we investigate the impacts of the Pop III IMF on the cosmic-dawn 21-cm signal via the Wouthuysen-Field effect, Lyman-Werner feedback, Ly alpha heating, and cosmic microwave background heating. We calculate the emission spectra of star-forming haloes for different IMFs by integrating over individual metal-free stellar spectra, computed from a set of stellar evolution histories and stellar atmospheres, and taking into account variability of the spectra with stellar age. Through this study, we therefore relax two common assumptions: that the zero-age main-sequence emission rate of a Pop III star is representative of its lifetime mean emission rate, and that Pop III emission can be treated as instantaneous. Exploring bottom-heavy, top-heavy, and intermediate IMFs, we show that variations in the 21-cm signal are driven by stars lighter than 20 M-circle dot. For the explored models, we find maximum relative differences of 59 per cent in the cosmic-dawn global 21-cm signal, and 131 per cent between power spectra. Although this impact is modest, precise modelling of the first stars and their evolution is necessary for accurate prediction and interpretation of the 21-cm signal.UK Research & Innovation (UKRI)Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC)Science and Technology Development Fund (STDF) ST/V506606/1AF's Royal Society University Research Fellowship 181073 180523UK Research & Innovation (UKRI)Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC) ST/R000603/1Max-Planck-Gesellschaft via the fellowship of the International Max Planck Research School for Astronomy and Cosmic Physics at the University of Heidelberg (IMPRS-HD)UK Research & Innovation (UKRI)Science & Technology Facilities Council (STFC) ST/R000603/1 ST/L003910/1Royal Society of LondonIsrael Science Foundation 2359/20Ambrose Monell FoundationInstitute for Advanced StudyVera Rubin Presidential Chair in AstronomyThe David & Lucile Packard Foundatio

Fully Bayesian Forecasts with Evidence Networks

Sensitivity forecasts inform the design of experiments and the direction of theoretical efforts. We argue that to arrive at representative results Bayesian forecasts should marginalize their conclusions over uncertain parameters and noise realizations rather than picking fiducial values. However, this is computationally infeasible with current methods. We thus propose a novel simulation-based forecasting methodology, which we find to be capable of providing expedient rigorous forecasts without relying on restrictive assumptions.Comment: 5 pages + references, 1 figure. Submitted to PR

On the Constraints on Superconducting Cosmic Strings from 21-cm Cosmology

Constraints on the potential properties of superconducting cosmic strings provide an indirect probe of physics beyond the standard model at energies inaccessible to terrestrial particle colliders. In this study, we perform the first joint Bayesian analysis to extract constraints on superconducting cosmic strings from current 21-cm signal measurements while accounting rigorously for the uncertainties in foregrounds and high redshift astrophysics. We include the latest publicly available 21-cm power spectrum upper limits from HERA, 21-cm global signal data from SARAS 3, and the synergistic probe of the unresolved X-ray background in our final analysis. This paper thus constitutes the first attempt to use 21-cm power spectrum data to probe cosmic strings. In contrast to previous works, we find no strong constraints can be placed on superconducting cosmic strings from current 21-cm measurements. This is because of uncertainties in the X-ray emission efficiency of the first galaxies, with X-ray emissivities greater than $3 \times 10^{40}$erg s$^{-1}$ M$_{\odot}^{-1}$ yr able to mask the presence of cosmic strings in the 21-cm signal. We conclude by discussing the prospects for future constraints from definitive 21-cm signal measurements and argue that the recently proposed soft photon heating should be cause for optimism due to its potential to break degeneracies that would have otherwise made the signatures of cosmic strings difficult to distinguish from those of astrophysical origin.Comment: 18 pages, 10 figures. Companion paper to arXiv:2312.08095. Accepted for publication in MNRAS, updated to accepted versio

Receiver design for the REACH global 21-cm signal experiment

We detail the the REACH radiometric system designed to enable measurements of the 21-cm neutral hydrogen line. Included is the radiometer architecture and end-to-end system simulations as well as a discussion of the challenges intrinsic to highly-calibratable system development. Following this, we share laboratory results based on the calculation of noise wave parameters utilising an over-constrained least squares approach demonstrating a calibration RMSE of 80 mK for five hours of integration on a custom-made source with comparable impedance to that of the antenna used in the field. This paper therefore documents the state of the calibrator and data analysis in December 2022 in Cambridge before shipping to South Africa.Comment: 30 pages, 19 figure

Fully Bayesian forecasts with evidence networks

Sensitivity forecasts inform the design of experiments and the direction of theoretical efforts. To arrive at representative results, Bayesian forecasts should marginalize their conclusions over uncertain parameters and noise realizations rather than picking fiducial values. However, this is typically computationally infeasible with current methods for forecasts of an experiment’s ability to distinguish between competing models. We thus propose a novel simulation-based methodology capable of providing expedient and rigorous Bayesian model comparison forecasts without relying on restrictive assumptions

Cosmic mysteries and the hydrogen 21-cm line: bridging the gap with lunar observations.

Peer reviewed: TruePublication status: PublishedThe hydrogen 21-cm signal is predicted to be the richest probe of the young Universe, including those eras known as the cosmic Dark Ages, the Cosmic Dawn (when the first star and black hole formed) and the Epoch of Reionization. This signal holds the key to deciphering processes that take place at the early stages of cosmic history. In this opinion piece, we discuss the potential scientific merit of lunar observations of the 21-cm signal and their advantages over more affordable terrestrial efforts. The Moon is a prime location for radio cosmology which will enable precision observations of the low-frequency radio sky. The uniqueness of such observations is that they will provide an unparalleled opportunity to test cosmology and the nature of dark matter using the Dark Ages 21-cm signal. No less enticing is the opportunity to obtain a much clearer picture of the Cosmic Dawn than that currently achievable from the ground, which will allow us to determine the properties of the first stars and black holes. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Astronomy from the Moon: the next decades (part 2)'

Signatures of Cosmic Ray Heating in 21-cm Observables

Abstract Cosmic rays generated by supernovae carry away a significant portion of the lifetime energy emission of their parent star, making them a plausible mechanism for heating the early universe intergalactic medium (IGM). Following a review of the existing literature on cosmic ray heating, we develop a flexible model of this heating mechanism for use in 3D semi-numerical 21-cm signal simulations and conduct the first investigations of the signatures it imprints on the 21-cm power spectrum and tomographic maps. We find that cosmic ray heating of the IGM is short-ranged, leading to heating clustered around star-forming sites, and a sharp contrast between heated regions of 21-cm emission and unheated regions of absorption. This contrast results in greater small-scale power for cosmic ray heated scenarios compared to what is found for X-ray heating, thus suggesting a way to test the nature of IGM heating with future 21-cm observations. Finally, we find an unexpectedly rich thermal history in models where cosmic rays can only escape efficiently from low-mass halos, such as in scenarios where these energetic particles originate from population III star supernovae remnants. The interplay of heating and the Lyman-Werner feedback in these models can produce a local peak in the IGM kinetic temperature and, for a limited parameter range, a flattened absorption trough in the global 21-cm signal.TGJ would like to thank the Science and Technology Facilities Council (UK) for their continued support through grant number ST/V506606/1. AF is supported by a Royal Society University Research Fellowship \#180523. EdLA acknowledges the support of the Science and Technology Facilities Council (UK) through a Rutherford Fellowship. WJH thanks the Royal Society for their support through a Royal Society University Research Fellowship. RB acknowledges the support of the Israel Science Foundation (grant No.\ 2359/20), the Ambrose Monell Foundation, the Institute for Advanced Study, the Vera Rubin Presidential Chair in Astronomy, and the Packard Foundation

On the constraints on superconducting cosmic strings from 21-cm cosmology

ABSTRACT Constraints on the potential properties of superconducting cosmic strings provide an indirect probe of physics beyond the standard model at energies inaccessible to terrestrial particle colliders. In this study, we perform the first joint Bayesian analysis to extract constraints on superconducting cosmic strings from current 21-cm signal measurements while accounting rigorously for the uncertainties in foregrounds and high redshift astrophysics. We include the latest publicly available 21-cm power spectrum upper limits from HERA, 21-cm global signal data from SARAS 3, and the synergistic probe of the unresolved X-ray background in our final analysis. This paper thus constitutes the first attempt to use 21-cm power spectrum data to probe cosmic strings. In contrast to previous works, we find no strong constraints can be placed on superconducting cosmic strings from current 21-cm measurements. This is because of uncertainties in the X-ray emission efficiency of the first galaxies, with X-ray emissivities greater than 3 × 1040 erg s−1 M$_{\odot }^{-1}$ yr able to mask the presence of cosmic strings in the 21-cm signal. We conclude by discussing the prospects for future constraints from definitive 21-cm signal measurements and argue that the recently proposed soft photon heating should be cause for optimism due to its potential to break degeneracies that would have otherwise made the signatures of cosmic strings difficult to distinguish from those of astrophysical origin.</jats:p

Constraining the properties of Population III galaxies with multiwavelength observations

ABSTRACT The early Universe, spanning 400 000 to 400 million years after the big bang (z ≈ 1100–11), has been left largely unexplored as the light from luminous objects is too faint to be observed directly. While new experiments are pushing the redshift limit of direct observations, measurements in the low-frequency radio band promise to probe early star and black hole formation via observations of the hydrogen 21-cm line. In this work, we explore synergies between 21-cm data from the HERA and SARAS 3 experiments and observations of the unresolved radio and X-ray backgrounds using multiwavelength Bayesian analysis. We use the combined data set to constrain properties of Population II and Population III stars as well as early X-ray and radio sources. The joint fit reveals a 68 percentile disfavouring of Population III star formation efficiencies $\gtrsim 5.7~{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$. We also show how the 21-cm and the X-ray background data synergistically constrain opposite ends of the X-ray efficiency prior distribution to produce a peak in the 1D posterior of the X-ray luminosity per star formation rate. We find (at 68 per cent confidence) that early galaxies were likely 0.3–318 times as X-ray efficient as present-day starburst galaxies. We also show that the functional posteriors from our joint fit rule out global 21-cm signals deeper than ≲−203 mK and power spectrum amplitudes at k = 0.34 h Mpc−1 greater than $\Delta _{21}^2 \gtrsim 946\ \mathrm{mK}^2$ with 3σ confidence.</jats:p