815 research outputs found

    The cause of universality in growth fluctuations

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    Phenomena as diverse as breeding bird populations, the size of U.S. firms, money invested in mutual funds, the GDP of individual countries and the scientific output of universities all show unusual but remarkably similar growth fluctuations. The fluctuations display characteristic features, including double exponential scaling in the body of the distribution and power law scaling of the standard deviation as a function of size. To explain this we propose a remarkably simple additive replication model: At each step each individual is replaced by a new number of individuals drawn from the same replication distribution. If the replication distribution is sufficiently heavy tailed then the growth fluctuations are Levy distributed. We analyze the data from bird populations, firms, and mutual funds and show that our predictions match the data well, in several respects: Our theory results in a much better collapse of the individual distributions onto a single curve and also correctly predicts the scaling of the standard deviation with size. To illustrate how this can emerge from a collective microscopic dynamics we propose a model based on stochastic influence dynamics over a scale-free contact network and show that it produces results similar to those observed. We also extend the model to deal with correlations between individual elements. Our main conclusion is that the universality of growth fluctuations is driven by the additivity of growth processes and the action of the generalized central limit theorem.Comment: 18 pages, 4 figures, Supporting information provided with the source files

    Neutrinos from beta processes in a presupernova: probing the isotopic evolution of a massive star

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    We present a new calculation of the neutrino flux received at Earth from a massive star in the ∼24\sim 24 hours of evolution prior to its explosion as a supernova (presupernova). Using the stellar evolution code MESA, the neutrino emissivity in each flavor is calculated at many radial zones and time steps. In addition to thermal processes, neutrino production via beta processes is modeled in detail, using a network of 204 isotopes. We find that the total produced νe\nu_{e} flux has a high energy spectrum tail, at E≳3−4E \gtrsim 3 - 4 MeV, which is mostly due to decay and electron capture on isotopes with A=50−60A = 50 - 60. In a tentative window of observability of E≳0.5E \gtrsim 0.5 MeV and t<2t < 2 hours pre-collapse, the contribution of beta processes to the νe\nu_{e} flux is at the level of ∼90%\sim90\% . For a star at D=1D=1 kpc distance, a 17 kt liquid scintillator detector would typically observe several tens of events from a presupernova, of which up to ∼30%\sim 30\% due to beta processes. These processes dominate the signal at a liquid argon detector, thus greatly enhancing its sensitivity to a presupernova.Comment: 14 pages, 5 figure

    Determination of energy barrier profiles for high-k dielectric materials utilizing bias-dependent internal photoemission

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    We utilize bias-dependent internal photoemission spectroscopy to determine the metal/dielectric/silicon energy barrier profiles for Au/HfO2/Si and Au/Al2O3/Si structures. The results indicate that the applied voltage plays a large role in determining the effective barrier height and we attribute much of the variation in this case to image potential barrier lowering in measurements of single layers. By measuring current at both positive and negative voltages, we are able to measure the band offsets from Si and also to determine the flatband voltage and the barrier asymmetry at 0 V. Our SiO2 calibration sample yielded a conduction band offset value of 3.03+/-0.1 eV. Measurements on HfO2 give a conduction band offset value of 2.7+/-0.2 eV (at 1.0 V) and Al2O3 gives an offset of 3.3+/-0.1 (at 1.0 V). We believe that interfacial SiO2 layers may dominate the electron transport from silicon for these films. The Au/HfO2 barrier height was found to be 3.6+/-0.1 eV while the Au/Al2O3 barrier is 3.5+/-0.1 eV

    Late Holocene sea level variability and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

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    Pre-twentieth century sea level (SL) variability remains poorly understood due to limits of tide gauge records, low temporal resolution of tidal marsh records, and regional anomalies caused by dynamic ocean processes, notably multidecadal changes in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). We examined SL and AMOC variability along the eastern United States over the last 2000 years, using a SL curve constructed from proxy sea surface temperature (SST) records from Chesapeake Bay, and twentieth century SL-sea surface temperature (SST) relations derived from tide gauges and instrumental SST. The SL curve shows multidecadal-scale variability (20–30 years) during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and Little Ice Age (LIA), as well as the twentieth century. During these SL oscillations, short-term rates ranged from 2 to 4 mm yr−1, roughly similar to those of the last few decades. These oscillations likely represent internal modes of climate variability related to AMOC variability and originating at high latitudes, although the exact mechanisms remain unclear. Results imply that dynamic ocean changes, in addition to thermosteric, glacio-eustatic, or glacio-isostatic processes are an inherent part of SL variability in coastal regions, even during millennial-scale climate oscillations such as the MCA and LIA and should be factored into efforts that use tide gauges and tidal marsh sediments to understand global sea level rise

    NASA Sea Ice Validation Program for the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program Special Sensor Microwave Imager

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    The history of the program is described along with the SSM/I sensor, including its calibration and geolocation correction procedures used by NASA, SSM/I data flow, and the NASA program to distribute polar gridded SSM/I radiances and sea ice concentrations (SIC) on CD-ROMs. Following a discussion of the NASA algorithm used to convert SSM/I radiances to SICs, results of 95 SSM/I-MSS Landsat IC comparisons for regions in both the Arctic and the Antarctic are presented. The Landsat comparisons show that the overall algorithm accuracy under winter conditions is 7 pct. on average with 4 pct. negative bias. Next, high resolution active and passive microwave image mosaics from coordinated NASA and Navy aircraft underflights over regions of the Beaufort and Chukchi seas in March 1988 were used to show that the algorithm multiyear IC accuracy is 11 pct. on average with a positive bias of 12 pct. Ice edge crossings of the Bering Sea by the NASA DC-8 aircraft were used to show that the SSM/I 15 pct. ice concentration contour corresponds best to the location of the initial bands at the ice edge. Finally, a summary of results and recommendations for improving the SIC retrievals from spaceborne radiometers are provided

    The production and persistence of ΣRONO2 in the Mexico City plume

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    Alkyl and multifunctional nitrates (RONO2, ΣANs) have been observed to be a significant fraction of NOy in a number of different chemical regimes. Their formation is an important free radical chain termination step ending production of ozone and possibly affecting formation of secondary organic aerosol. ΣANs also represent a potentially large, unmeasured contribution to OH reactivity and are a major pathway for the removal of nitrogen oxides from the atmosphere. Numerous studies have investigated the role of nitrate formation from biogenic compounds and in the remote atmosphere. Less attention has been paid to the role ΣANs may play in the complex mixtures of hydrocarbons typical of urban settings. Measurements of total alkyl and multifunctional nitrates, NO2, total peroxy nitrates (ΣPNs), HNO3 and a representative suite of hydrocarbons were obtained from the NASA DC-8 aircraft during spring of 2006 in and around Mexico City and the Gulf of Mexico. ΣANs were observed to be 10–20% of NOy in the Mexico City plume and to increase in importance with increased photochemical age. We describe three conclusions: (1) Correlations of ΣANs with odd-oxygen (Ox) indicate a stronger role for ΣANs in the photochemistry of Mexico City than is expected based on currently accepted photochemical mechanisms, (2) ΣAN formation suppresses peak ozone production rates by as much as 40% in the near-field of Mexico City and (3) ΣANs play a significant role in the export of NOy from Mexico City to the Gulf Region

    Juror Perceptions of Trial Testimony as a Function of the Method of Presentation: A Comparison of Live, Color Video, Black-and-White Video, Audio, and Transcript Presentations

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    Summary of Contents I. Introduction A. Uses of videotape in the litigation process 1. Prelitigation videotape uses 2. Videotaped depositions 3. Electronic trial records 4. Electronic presentation of evidence B. A review of the research literature II. The Research Design: Rationale and Description A. The need to assess the impact of videotape in the litigation process B. The live trial as a standard of comparison C. Description of the research design 1. The stimulus trial 2. The trial participants 3. The physical setting 4. A description of the different trial procedures 5. The questionnaire III. Research Results A. Juror perceptions of the trial participants as rated on the bipolar adjective scales 1. Competency 2. Honesty 3. Friendliness 4. Appearance 5. Objectivity 6. Additional adjective pairs B. The amount of compensation awarded the landowner C. The relationship of the dollar awards to juror ratings of trial participants D. Juror preferences for the trial participants E. Juror reactions to the trials IV. Discussion of the Results A. Comparative merits of deposition presentation methods 1. Read transcript 2. Audiotape 3. Black-and-white videotape 4. Color videotape 5. Conclusion B. An evaluation of the use of videotape to present all testimony at trial C. Recommendations for future researc

    Juror Perceptions of Trial Testimony as a Function of the Method of Presentation: A Comparison of Live, Color Video, Black-and-White Video, Audio, and Transcript Presentations

    Get PDF
    Summary of Contents I. Introduction A. Uses of videotape in the litigation process 1. Prelitigation videotape uses 2. Videotaped depositions 3. Electronic trial records 4. Electronic presentation of evidence B. A review of the research literature II. The Research Design: Rationale and Description A. The need to assess the impact of videotape in the litigation process B. The live trial as a standard of comparison C. Description of the research design 1. The stimulus trial 2. The trial participants 3. The physical setting 4. A description of the different trial procedures 5. The questionnaire III. Research Results A. Juror perceptions of the trial participants as rated on the bipolar adjective scales 1. Competency 2. Honesty 3. Friendliness 4. Appearance 5. Objectivity 6. Additional adjective pairs B. The amount of compensation awarded the landowner C. The relationship of the dollar awards to juror ratings of trial participants D. Juror preferences for the trial participants E. Juror reactions to the trials IV. Discussion of the Results A. Comparative merits of deposition presentation methods 1. Read transcript 2. Audiotape 3. Black-and-white videotape 4. Color videotape 5. Conclusion B. An evaluation of the use of videotape to present all testimony at trial C. Recommendations for future researc
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