The effect of the USPSTF PSA screening recommendation on prostate cancer incidence patterns in the USA

Guidelines conflict regarding recommendations for prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening for early detection of prostate cancer. The United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) assigned a grade of D (recommending against screening) for men 75 and older in 2008 and for men of all ages in 2012. We reviewed temporal trends in rates of screening before and after the 2012 recommendation based on a literature search for studies published between 2011/01/01–2016/10/03 on PSA utilization patterns, changes in prostate cancer incidence and biopsy patterns, and how the recommendation has shaped physician and patient attitudes about PSA screening and subsequent ordering of other screening tests. Rates of PSA screening decreased by 3–10 percentage points among all age groups and within most U.S. geographic regions. Rates of prostate biopsy and prostate cancer incidence have declined in unison, with a notable shift towards higher grade, stage and risk upon detection. Despite the recommendation, some physicians reported ongoing willingness to screen appropriately selected men, and men largely reported intending to continue to ask for the PSA test. In the coming years, we expect to have a better picture of whether these decreased rates of screening will impact prostate cancer metastasis and mortality