Modernization of Epi Surveillance in Kazakhstan: Transition to Risk Assessment and Real-Time Monitoring Based on Situational Center

The paper presents a concept for sanitary-epidemiological monitoring system reinforcement in Kazakhstan based on the deployed electronic surveillance system, risk assessment and management approach, and establishment of a Situational Center. It outlines the internal and external information sources for their further analysis and formulates tasks to implement proposed concept

Methodology of Epidemic Risk Management in Kazakhstan with Open-Source EIDSS

In order to transition the forecasting, estimation and management of epidemic risks to individual administrative areas, the Agency for Consumer Rights Protection of Kazakhstan has developed the Regional Sanitary-Epidemiological Passport (RSEP). The RSEP will contain information on the infectious incidence rate dynamics according to the main infections (7 nosologies) with a forecast for 2-3 years, and natural and soil foci GIS maps for especially dangerous pathogens with their activity forecast for 3-5 years. Approbation of RSEP was conducted for the Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever. Planned work includes estimation method adjustment, retrospective databank formation, GIS archive creation and Open-source EIDSS system application

Modernization of Epi Surveillance in Kazakhstan: Transition to Risk Assessment and Real-Time Monitoring Based on Situational Center

The paper presents a concept for sanitary-epidemiological monitoring system reinforcement in Kazakhstan based on the deployed electronic surveillance system, risk assessment and management approach, and establishment of a Situational Center. It outlines the internal and external information sources for their further analysis and formulates tasks to implement proposed concept

Accuracy of EIDSS Software Prognosis on CCHF Natural Foci Activity in Kazakhstan

Based on the actual situation in the CCHF natural foci of Kazakhstan for the first half of 2013, the authors, using EIDSS version 4, evaluated the accuracy of the earlier prognosis of situation development in the CCHF natural foci of Kazakhstan for 2013 (EIDSS Application for CCHF Foci Activity Epi-Analysis and Prediction in Kazakhstan). The prognosis of situation development in 2013 for 11 districts of Kazakhstan (estimated in 2012 as the districts with a high risk of CCHF) proved to be accurate in 90.9% of cases.

EIDSS Application for CCHF Foci Activity Epi-Analysis and Prediction in Kazakhstan

Electronic Integrated Disease Surveillance System (EIDSS) was used to applied epi-analysis and prediction capabilities for situation in CCHF foci in Kazakhstan. Three indicators were used: population density in the CCHF-disadvantaged area; tick infection rate; human incidence rate. Maps generated in EIDSS allowed visualizing information and conducting a milti-factor epi-analysis. The CCHF outbreaks risk areas were identified. EIDSS software is easy to use, available for practical epidemiologists and can be used for analysis and prediction of vector-borne virus infections foci. EIDSS can serve as a basic working tool for field epidemiologists and the basis for managerial decision-making by the concerned ministries

Accuracy of EIDSS Software Prognosis on CCHF Natural Foci Activity in Kazakhstan

Based on the actual situation in the CCHF natural foci of Kazakhstan for the first half of 2013, the authors, using EIDSS version 4, evaluated the accuracy of the earlier prognosis of situation development in the CCHF natural foci of Kazakhstan for 2013 (EIDSS Application for CCHF Foci Activity Epi-Analysis and Prediction in Kazakhstan). The prognosis of situation development in 2013 for 11 districts of Kazakhstan (estimated in 2012 as the districts with a high risk of CCHF) proved to be accurate in 90.9% of cases.