1 research outputs found
Entropy of the Nordic electricity market: anomalous scaling, spikes, and mean-reversion
The electricity market is a very peculiar market due to the large variety of
phenomena that can affect the spot price. However, this market still shows many
typical features of other speculative (commodity) markets like, for instance,
data clustering and mean reversion. We apply the diffusion entropy analysis
(DEA) to the Nordic spot electricity market (Nord Pool). We study the waiting
time statistics between consecutive spot price spikes and find it to show
anomalous scaling characterized by a decaying power-law. The exponent observed
in data follows a quite robust relationship with the one implied by the DEA
analysis. We also in terms of the DEA revisit topics like clustering,
mean-reversion and periodicities. We finally propose a GARCH inspired model but
for the price itself. Models in the context of stochastic volatility processes
appear under this scope to have a feasible description.Comment: 16 pages, 7 figure