Are Pink Slips Better Than Flu Shots? The Effects of Employment on Influenza Rates

The seasonal influenza virus afflicts between five and twenty percent of the U.S. population each year, imposing significant costs on those who fall ill, their families, employers, and the health care system. The flu is transmitted via droplet spread or close contact, and certain environments, such as schools or offices, promote transmission. In this paper, we examine whether increases in labor market activities are associated with an increased incidence of the flu. Flu data come from the Centers for Disease Control. We check the robustness of our results using unique data from Google Flu Trends. Using a first-difference two stage least squares estimation approach, we find that a one percentage point increase in the employment rate increases the number of influenza related doctor visits by about 8.1 additional flu-related doctor visits per 1000 doctor visits for all causes. To put this in perspective, on average, 33 additional people out of every 100,000 new employees will have a flu-related doctor visit. The results are robust across several specifications.

The Effects of E-Cigarette Taxes on E-Cigarette Prices and Tobacco Product Sales: Evidence from Retail Panel Data

We explore the effect of e-cigarette taxes enacted through 2017 in eight states and two large counties on e-cigarette prices, e-cigarette sales, and sales of other tobacco products. We use the Nielsen Retail Scanner data for the years 2011 to 2017, comprising approximately 35,000 retailers nationally. We calculate a Herfindahl–Hirschman Index of 0.251 for retail-based purchases of e-cigarettes, indicating high market concentration. We estimate a tax-to-price pass-through of 1.55 (p \u3c 0.01) and an e-cigarette own-price elasticity of -2.6 (p \u3c 0.01) for the average e-cigarette tax. We also estimate a positive cross-price elasticity of demand for e-cigarettes and traditional cigarettes of roughly 1.1 for the average tax, suggesting that e-cigarettes and traditional cigarettes are economic substitutes. Our results suggest that higher e-cigarette taxes would increase e-cigarette prices and reduce e-cigarette sales, with an unintended effect of increasing traditional cigarette sales. We simulate that for every one standard e-cigarette pod (a device that contains liquid nicotine in e-cigarettes) of 0.7 ml no longer purchased as a result of an e-cigarette tax, the same tax increases traditional cigarettes purchased by 6.2 extra packs

Torture in Counterterrorism: Agency Incentives and Slippery Slopes

Abstract We develop a model of counterterrorism to analyze the effects of allowing a government agency to torture terrorist suspects. We find that legalizing torture in high evidence cases has offsetting effects on agency incentives to counter terrorism by means other than torture. It increases these incentives because other efforts may increase the probability of having high enough evidence to warrant the use of torture if other efforts fail. However, it also lowers these incentives because the agency might come to rely on torture to avert attacks. If the latter effect dominates, legalizing torture in high evidence cases can reduce security and increase the probability of terrorist attack. Moreover, it can increase agency incentives to torture even in low evidence cases, leading to a "slippery slope." (JEL K4, D8, H1

Innovations in Evaluating Statin Benefit and Efficacy in <i>Staphylococcus aureus</i> Intracellular Infection Management

An emerging therapeutic approach in the treatment of infectious disease is to augment the host response through repurposing of well-tolerated, non-antibiotic, host-directed therapeutics. Earlier retrospective studies identify a positive association between statin use and a decreased risk of death due to sepsis or bacteremia. However, more recent randomized control trials fail to detect a therapeutic benefit in these complex infection settings. It is postulated that unrecognized biases in certain observational studies may have led to an overestimation of benefit and that statin use is instead a marker for health status, wealth, and demographic characteristics which may separately affect death due to infection. What remains unresolved is that in vitro and in vivo evidence reproducibly indicates that statin pharmacology limits infection and augments immunomodulatory responses, suggesting that therapeutic benefits may be attainable in certain infection settings, such as intracellular infection by S. aureus. Carefully considering the biological mechanisms capable of driving the relationship between statins and infections and constructing a methodology to avoid potential biases in observational studies would enable the examination of protective effects against infection and limit the risk of underestimating statin efficacy. Such an approach would rely on the examination of statin use in defined infection settings based on an underlying mode-of-action and pharmacology, where the inhibition of HMG-CoA-reductase at the rate-limiting step in cholesterol biosynthesis diminishes not only cholesterol levels but also isoprenoid intermediates central to host cell invasion by S. aureus. Therapeutic benefit in such settings, if existent, may be of clinical importance

Don\u27t Just Like Me, Promote Me: How Attachment and Attitude Influence Brand Related Behaviors on Social Media

As social media marketing becomes more pervasive, questions continue to emerge regarding utilizing the medium strategically to maximize positive brand-related outcomes. Marketers are increasingly seeking guidance for targeting consumers who will interact and behave in ways that are meaningful to the brand on social media. Understanding how individual differences among consumers can influence social media behaviors linked to valuable organizational outcomes is crucial for managers seeking to justify social media marketing expenditures. This research addresses that issue by applying Attachment Theory to social media. In Study 1, we examine the roles of two individual difference factors, attitude toward social media and attachment to social media (ASM), in predicting token and meaningful behaviors on social media. We find that while attitude toward social media and ASM are both related to token behaviors, only ASM predicts meaningful behaviors. In Study 2, we investigate attachment and attitude toward the brand and social media as predictors of offline and social media brand advocacy and demonstrate that individuals who are attached to or have a positive attitude toward the brand are more likely to engage in offline advocacy. Further, ASM adds incremental explanatory power, beyond attitude and attachment to the brand, in predicting advocacy via social media. In Study 3, we examine likelihood of advocating for a brand via social media as a moderator and find that even consumers who are not likely to be offline advocates are more likely to advocate for the brand on social media if they are strongly attached to social media. In sum, the results indicate that ASM is an important predictor of meaningful social media behaviors and is a new means by which marketers can identify consumers who are more likely to perform meaningful behaviors for brands via social media

Torture in Counterterrorism: Agency Incentives and Slippery Slopes

Abstract We develop a model of counterterrorism to analyze the effects of allowing a government agency to torture terrorist suspects. Legalizing torture in high evidence cases has offsetting effects on agency incentives to counter terrorism by means other than torture. It increases these incentives because other efforts may increase the probability of having high enough evidence to warrant the use of torture if other efforts fail. However, it also lowers these incentives because the agency might come to rely on torture to avert attacks. If the latter effect dominates, legalizing torture in high evidence cases can reduce security and increase agency incentives to torture even in low evidence cases, leading to a &quot;slippery slope.&quot; JEL Codes: K4, D8, H1