The application of FRAX in Ecuador

Introduction: intervention thresholds for the treatment of osteoporosis have been based historically on the measurement of bone mineral density. The development of FRAX® has permitted more accurate assessment of fracture risk. The aim of the present study was to explore treatment paths and characteristics of women eligible for treatment in Ecuador based on FRAX.Methods: a total of 2367 women aged 60–94 years were selected from the National Health, Welfare and Aging Survey (SABE) conducted in Ecuador. Probabilities of major osteoporotic and hip fracture were computed using the Ecuadorian FRAX model. The proportion of women eligible for treatment and bone mineral density assessment was determined based on age-specific intervention thresholds and a hybrid threshold was fixed from age 75 years.Results: a total of 87 women (3.7%) had a prior fragility fracture and would be eligible for treatment for this reason. An additional 49 women were eligible for treatment in that MOF probabilities lay above the upper assessment threshold using age-specific thresholds. An BMD test would be recommended in 1131 women (48%) so that FRAX could be recalculated with the inclusion of femoral neck BMD. With the hybrid threshold, an additional 170 women were eligible for treatment and an BMD test recommended in 1218 women.Conclusion: the hybrid threshold identifies more women eligible for treatment than age-specific thresholds. Although age-specific thresholds identify women at higher risk of fracture, the lower number of women identified results in fewer identified fracture cases

Assessing the risk of osteoporotic fractures: the Ecuadorian FRAX model

Summary: The FRAX tool incorporates data on the incidence of fractures and mortality in each country. The epidemiology of fractures changes over time, this makes it necessary to update the specific FRAX model of each population. It is shown that there are differences between old and new FRAX models in older individuals. Purpose: A new FRAX® model for Ecuador was released online in April 2019. This paper describes the data used to build the revised model, its characteristics, and how intervention and assessment thresholds were constructed. Methods: The national rates of hip fracture incidence standardized by age and sex from the age of 40 years for 2016 were used to synthesize a FRAX model for Ecuador. For other major fractures, Ecuadorian incidence rates were calculated using ratios obtained in Malmö, Sweden, for other major osteoporotic fractures. The new FRAX model was compared with the previous model released in 2012. Assessment and intervention thresholds were based on age-specific probabilities of a major osteoporotic fracture equivalent to women with a previous fracture. Results: Fracture incidence rates increase with age. The probability of hip or major fractures at 10 years increased in patients with a clinical risk factor, lower BMI, female sex, a higher age, and a lower BMD T-score. Compared to the previous model, the new FRAX model gave similar 10-year fracture probabilities in men and women age less than70 years but substantially higher above this age. Notwithstanding, there were very close correlations in fracture probabilities between the two models (&gt; 0.99) so that the revision had little impact on the rank order of risk. Conclusions: The FRAX tool provides a country-specific fracture prediction model for Ecuador. This update of the model is based on the original FRAX methodology, which has been validated externally in several independent cohorts. The FRAX model is an evolving tool that is being continuously refined, as the databases of each country are updated with more epidemiological information.</p

An assessment of intervention thresholds for high fracture risk in Chile

Summary Assessment and treatment pathways using FRAX-based intervention thresholds in Chile can be used to identify patients at high risk of fracture and avoid unnecessary treatment in those at low fracture risk. Purpose The aim of the present study was to explore treatment paths and characteristics of women eligible for treatment in Chile based on major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) probabilities derived from FRAX®. Methods Intervention and assessment thresholds were derived using methods adopted by the National Osteoporosis Guideline Group for FRAX-based guidelines in the UK but based on the epidemiology of fracture and death in Chile. Age-dependent and hybrid assessment and intervention thresholds were applied to 1998 women and 1122 men age 50 years or more drawn from participants in the National Health Survey 2016–2017. Results Approximately 12% of men and women had a prior fragility fracture and would be eligible for treatment for this reason. Using age-dependent thresholds, an additional 2.6% of women (0.3% of men) were eligible for treatment in that MOF probabilities lay above the upper assessment threshold. A BMD test would be recommended in 5% of men and 38% of women. With hybrid thresholds, an additional 13% of women (3.6% of men) were eligible for treatment and BMD recommended in 11% of men and 42% of women. Conclusion The application of hybrid intervention thresholds ameliorates the disparity in fracture probabilities seen with age-dependent thresholds. Probability-based assessment of fracture risk, including the use of the hybrid intervention thresholds for Chile, is expected to help guide decisions about treatment