ЭКОНОМЕТРИЧЕСКОЕ ИССЛЕДОВАНИЕ ФАКТОРОВ РАЗВИТИЯ МАЛОГО ПРЕДПРИНИМАТЕЛЬСТВА В РЕГИОНАХ РОССИИ1

The article presents the methodological and methodical approaches to the analysis of socioeconomic factors affecting the development of small entrepreneurship in the regions of Russia. Aconstructed multiple linear regression model allowed to evaluate the impact on the small enterprises development of generalized factors that characterize different aspects of socio-economic development of the regions. It was proposed an approach based on the use of logistic regressionto assess the probability of hitting the region in the leading group by the level of small businessdevelopment (on the basis of a set of values formed by socio-economic characteristics). The comparative analysis of the correctness for the classification of the regions in terms of small business development through the application of discriminant analysis and logistic regression modelwas carried out. Taking into account the studied factors of small entrepreneurship development it is necessary to realize regional-differentiated policy for small business support and promotion.Встатьепредставленыметодологическиеиметодическиеподходыканализусоциально-экономическихфакторов, оказывающихвоздействиенаразвитиемалогопредпринимательства врегионахРоссии. Построенамножественнаялинейнаярегрессионнаямодель, позволившая оценитьвлияниенауровеньразвитиямалыхпредприятийобобщенныхфакторов, характеризующихразличныеаспектысоциально-экономическогоразвитиярегионов. Предложенподход, опирающийсянаприменениеаппараталогистическойрегрессии, коценкевероятности попаданиярегионавлидирующуюгруппупоуровнюразвитиямалогопредпринимательства на основе значений сформированного набора социально-экономических характеристик. Проведенсравнительныйанализкорректностиклассификациирегионовпоуровнюразвития малого бизнеса на основе применения дискриминантного анализа и построенной модели логистическойрегрессии. Учетвыявленныхвходеисследованияфакторовразвитиямалого предпринимательства будет способствовать реализации обоснованной регионально дифференцированной политики по его поддержке и стимулированию

ECONOMETRIC STUDY FOR FACTORS OF SMALL ENTREPRENEURSHIP DEVELOPMENT IN THE REGIONS OF RUSSIA

The article presents the methodological and methodical approaches to the analysis of socioeconomic factors affecting the development of small entrepreneurship in the regions of Russia. Aconstructed multiple linear regression model allowed to evaluate the impact on the small enterprises development of generalized factors that characterize different aspects of socio-economic development of the regions. It was proposed an approach based on the use of logistic regressionto assess the probability of hitting the region in the leading group by the level of small businessdevelopment (on the basis of a set of values formed by socio-economic characteristics). The comparative analysis of the correctness for the classification of the regions in terms of small business development through the application of discriminant analysis and logistic regression modelwas carried out. Taking into account the studied factors of small entrepreneurship development it is necessary to realize regional-differentiated policy for small business support and promotion