23 research outputs found

    Applying Spatial Copula Additive Regression to Breast Cancer Screening Data

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    Breast cancer is associated with several risk factors. Although genetics is an important breast cancer risk factor, environmental and sociodemographic characteristics, that may differ across populations, are also factors to be taken into account when studying the disease. These factors, apart from having a role as direct agents in the risk of the disease, can also influence other variables that act as risk factors. The age at menarche and the reproductive lifespan are considered by the literature as breast cancer risk factors so that, there are several studies whose aim is to analyze the trend of age at menarche and menopause along generations. Also, it is believed that these two moments in a woman’s life can be affected by environmental, social status, and lifestyles of women. Using the information of 278,282 registries of women which entered in the breast cancer screening program in Central Portugal, we developed a bivariate copula model to quantify the effect a woman’s year of birth in the association between age at menarche and a woman’s reproductive lifespan, in addition to explore any possible effect of the geographic location in these variables and their association. For this analysis we employ Copula Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape (CGAMLSS) models and the inference was carried out using the R package SemiParBIVProbit

    Analysis of paediatric visual acuity using Bayesian copula models with sinh-arcsinh marginal densities

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    We analyse paediatric ophthalmic data from a large sample of children aged between 3 and 8 years. We modify the Bayesian additive conditional bivariate copula regression model of Klein and Kneib [1] by using sinh-arcsinh marginal densities with location, scale and shape parameters that depend smoothly on a covariate. We perform Bayesian inference about the unknown quantities of our model using a specially tailored Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. We gain new insights about the processes which determine transformations in visual acuity with respect to age, including the nature of joint changes in both eyes as modelled with the age-related copula dependence parameter. We analyse posterior predictive distributions to identify children with unusual sight characteristics, distinguishing those who are bivariate, but not univariate outliers. In this way we provide an innovative tool that enables clinicians to identify children with unusual sight who may otherwise be missed. We compare our simultaneous Bayesian method with the two-step frequentist generalized additive modelling approach of Vatter and Chavez-Demoulin [2]
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