The verification of prediction and classification ability of selected Slovak prediction models and their emplacement in forecasts of financial health of a company in aspect of globalization

Predicting financial health of a company is in this global world necessary for each business entity, especially for the international ones, as it´s very important to know financial stability. Forecasting business failure is a worldwide known term, in a global notion, and there is a lot of prediction models constructed to compute financial health of a company and, by that, state whether a company inclines to financial boom or bankruptcy. Globalized prediction models compute financial health of companies, but the vast majority of models predicting business failure are constructed solely for the conditions of a particular country or even just for a specific sector of a national economy. Field of financial predictions regarding to international view consists of elementary used models, for example, such as Altman´s Z-score or Beerman´s index, which are globally know and used as basic of many other modificated models. Following article deals with selected Slovak prediction models designed to Slovak conditions, states how these models stand in this global world, what is their international connection to the worldwide economies, and also states verification of their prediction ability in a specific sector. The verification of predictive ability of the models is defined by ROC analysis and through results the paper demonstrates the most suitable prediction models to use in the selected sector

Prediction of Financial Health of Business Entities of Selected Sector Using Balance Analysis II. by Rudolf Doucha and Verification of Its Predictive Ability through ROC

Forecasting business failure is a worldwide known term, in a global notion, and there is a lot of prediction models constructed to compute financial health of a company and, by that, state whether a company inclines to financial boom or bankruptcy. A healthy financial management of a business entity is very important for the proper operation of the business, and it is therefore very important to know how to assess financial health and to anticipate possible problems that will be easier to eliminate in advance. Globalized prediction models compute financial health of companies, but the vast majority of models predicting business failure are constructed solely for the conditions of a particular country or even just for a specific sector of a national economy. Predictive models can indicate whether an entity tends to prosper or bankruptcy, and so we can assess the financial health of the business. This paper provides a description of the balance analysis II. by Rudolf Doucha, discusses its application to a sample of 266 Slovak subjects and points to its prediction in the given field. The verification of the ability to forecast bankruptcy or financial stability has been evaluated through ROC analysis

The usage of economic profit and other forms of profit as a part of prediction models to forecast the financial stability of business entities in the context of globalization

Research background: Predicting financial health of a company is in this global world necessary for each business entity, especially for the international ones, as it´s very important to know financial stability. Forecasting business failure is a worldwide known term, in a global notion, and there is a lot of prediction models constructed to compute financial health of a company and, by that, state whether a company inclines to financial boom or bankruptcy. In the current global world of uncertainty and continuous change, it is in each business’s interest to improve its performance. Businesses have to adapt to changing market conditions and keep moving to maintain their, either local or global, market position. In the past, entities preferred to increase primary accounting profit forms. The global modern goal of enterprises, value creation, is achieved through the concept of economic profit. Purpose of the article: The aim of this article was to find out the connection between two very important terms for the global economy, namely prediction models and economic profit. Methods: We focused on the research of both areas and looked for a common connection through how often different forms of profit, and especially the form of economic profit, are used in individual prediction models among the examined sample. Findings & Value added: The output of the whole article is the finding the division of the use of economic and accounting profit in the sample of models and the importance of economic profit for mathematical constructions of prediction models

Sensitivity analysis of Economic Value Added as a dominant indicator of concept of economic profit

Research background: The modern goal of enterprises, value creation, is achieved through the concept of economic profit. Profit, as part of profit or loss, is one of the most important flows, pointing to how efficiently corporate capital is used in an entity (Coatney & Poliak, 2020). The article deals with the difference between accounting and economic profit, the selected form of economic profit - the EVA indicator. The economic value added (EVA) indicator is one of the best-known modern indicators of a company's performance (Siekelova et al., 2019). It shows whether the given entity increases its value or only earns for its economic survival. The benefit of this indicator is the valuation of equity and taking into account the risk. It is difficult to express the economic profit itself, therefore the article also addresses the issue of its calculation (Shah et al., 2016). The company needs to know its financial status and the direction it is heading, so we decided to calculate a selected form of economic profit. Purpose of the article: The company needs to know its financial status and the direction it is heading, so we decided to calculate a selected form of economic profit. When expressing the value of the economic value added indicator, it is also important to know the items and components of the calculation that have the strongest meaning and effect on the possible amount of the indicator. Given this, we decided to use a sensitivity analysis, which points to the effect of individual variables that participate in the construction of the EVA calculation. Methods: In this work, the methods of induction, deduction, and comparison were used to obtain a true picture of the subject issue. Methods of synthesis and analysis of the researched issues were also used. Findings & Value added: In the paper there is pointed out the intensity of the impact of individual variables that entered into the calculation of the economic value added indicator as a dominant indicator of concept of economic profit