Evaluation of Six Satellite-Based Precipitation Products and Their Ability for Capturing Characteristics of Extreme Precipitation Events over a Climate Transition Area in China

Extreme precipitation has received much attention because of its implications for hazard assessment and risk management. However, accurate precipitation information for extreme precipitation research from dense rain gauges is still difficult to obtain in developing countries or mountainous regions. Satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) with high spatial and temporal resolution offer a new way of supplementing data from gauge-based observations. This study aims to evaluate the precision of six SPPs in detail at multiple temporal and spatial scales and explore their ability to capture the characteristics of extreme precipitation from 2009 to 2014 over a semi-arid to semi-humid climate transition area (Wei River basin) in China. The six products are TRMM 3B42RT, TRMM 3B42V7, PERSIANN, PERSIANN CDR, CMORPH RAW, and CRORPH CRT. China gauge-based daily precipitation analysis (CGDPA) provided by the China Meteorological Administration is used as the benchmark reference data. Various statistical evaluation techniques and extreme precipitation indices are used to evaluate and compare the performance of the selected products. The results show that the post real-time products (TRMM 3B42V7, PERSIANN CDR, and CMORPH CRT) agreed better with the reference data than PERSIANN and CMORPH RAW. On a daily scale, TRMM 3B42V7, PERSIANN CDR, and CMORPH CRT displayed similarly good performance. However, at the monthly or annual scale, TRMM 3B42V7 was superior to the other products. With regard to the spatial distribution of precipitation, the datasets performed better over plains and were disappointing over mountainous areas. Additionally, TRMM 3B42V7 provided higher precision and less spatial uncertainty when monitoring extreme precipitation. This study provides a basis for selecting alternative precipitation data for climate transition basins

Multi-Scenario Integration Comparison of CMADS and TMPA Datasets for Hydro-Climatic Simulation over Ganjiang River Basin, China

The lack of meteorological observation data limits the hydro-climatic analysis and modeling, especially for the ungauged or data-limited regions, while satellite and reanalysis products can provide potential data sources in these regions. In this study, three daily products, including two satellite products (Tropic Rainfall Measuring Mission Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis, TMPA 3B42 and 3B42RT) and one reanalysis product (China Meteorological Assimilation Driving Datasets for the SWAT Model, CMADS), were used to assess the capacity of hydro-climatic simulation based on the statistical method and hydrological model in Ganjiang River Basin (GRB), a humid basin of southern China. CAMDS, TMPA 3B42 and 3B42RT precipitation were evaluated against ground-based observation based on multiple statistical metrics at different temporal scales. The similar evaluation was carried out for CMADS temperature. Then, eight scenarios were constructed into calibrating the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model and simulating streamflow, to assess their capacity in hydrological simulation. The results showed that CMADS data performed better in precipitation estimation than TMPA 3B42 and 3B42RT at daily and monthly scales, while worse at the annual scale. In addition, CMADS can capture the spatial distribution of precipitation well. Moreover, the CMADS daily temperature data agreed well with observations at meteorological stations. For hydrological simulations, streamflow simulation results driven by eight input scenarios obtained acceptable performance according to model evaluation criteria. Compared with the simulation results, the models driven by ground-based observation precipitation obtained the most accurate streamflow simulation results, followed by CMADS, TMPA 3B42 and 3B42RT precipitation. Besides, CMADS temperature can capture the spatial distribution characteristics well and improve the streamflow simulations. This study provides valuable insights for hydro-climatic application of satellite and reanalysis meteorological products in the ungauged or data-limited regions

Three-dimensional meteorological drought characteristics and associated risk in China

Drought as a hazardous natural disaster has been widely studied based on various drought indices. However, the characteristics of droughts have not been robustly explored considering its dual nature in space and time across China in the past few decades. Here, we characterized meteorological drought events from a three-dimensional perspective for the 1961–2018 period in the mainland of China, and attributed the variation of drought intensity to its influencing factors. We further assessed associated drought risk with socioeconomic data for the 2002–2018 period. We found that drought events with high intensity, large area, and long duration are mainly distributed in western and northern China, especially in Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Tibet, and Qinghai. The drought intensity and affected area anomalies present a six-phase pattern of ‘negative-positive-negative-positive-negative-positive’ during 1961–2018. The intensity of drought events showed a decreasing trend but the affected area and duration showed an increasing trend in 2009–2018. Over the decades, the centers of high drought intensity and long duration tend to move eastward and northeastward, respectively. The PET variations contributes larger than precipitation variations to drought intensity variations in the arid regions while being opposite in the humid southern regions. Drought risk assessment further indicates that high drought risk areas are concentrated in northern China, including Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Gansu, Sichuan, Hebei, and Heilongjiang. Increasing trends in drought risk for the 2002–2018 period are detected in Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Sichuan, Henan, Gansu, Hunan, Shanxi, Qinghai. Our findings provide scientific guidance for policymakers to develop adaptive disaster prevention measures

Global increase in future compound heat stress-heavy precipitation hazards and associated socio-ecosystem risks

Abstract Compound extremes of lethal heat stress-heavy precipitation events (CHPEs) seriously threaten social and ecological sustainability, while their evolution and effects at the global scale under climate warming remain unclear. Here we develop the global picture of projected changes in CHPEs under various scenarios and investigate their socioeconomic and ecosystem risks combining hazard, exposure, and vulnerability through the composite indicator approach. We find a high percentage of heat stress is followed by heavy precipitation, probably driven by atmospheric conditions. Global average frequency and intensity of CHPEs are projected to increase in the future under high-emission scenarios. Joint return periods of CHPEs are projected to decrease globally, predominantly driven by changes in heat stress extremes. In the long-term future, over half of the population, gross domestic product, and gross primary productivity may face high risk in most regions, with developed regions facing the highest risks under SSP5-8.5 and developing regions facing the highest risks under SSP3-7.0

Comprehensive Disease Identification and 3D Geological Modeling of Rock Mass Based on Elastic Wave CT and GPR

Taking the rock slope of the subway deep foundation pit as the research object, elastic wave CT is used to preliminarily judge the type and spatial distribution of rock mass diseases in foundation pit, which is then verified by geological radar. Furtherly the a watershed algorithm is adopted to analyze the wave velocity distribution obtained by elastic wave CT in order to extract the detailed sound velocity change at the rock cave and delineate its range. On this basis, based on the coordinate information of elastic wave CT three-dimensional spatial wave velocity database, combined with the spatial coordinate information obtained by watershed algorithm, the modeling database is constructed, after imported into GOCAD software, the three-dimensional geological visualization model is established after processing and analysis. The rock mass disease model established in this paper is highly consistent with geological drilling, peephole imaging and field observation. The proposed rock disease identification method and modeling technology can not only provide an important reference for rock mass support but also provide a basis for water disaster prevention of urban underground engineering

A Summary of China’s Water Security Status and Issues from a Special Issue

Affected by global climate change and rapid socio-economic development, China faces serious water security issues, especially in terms of water shortages, flood disasters, and water-related ecological and environmental problems [...

Analysis of Drought Characteristic of Sichuan Province, Southwestern China

Drought is a widespread and destructive natural hazard and is projected to occur more frequently and intensely, with more severe impacts in a changing environment. In this study, we used the standardized precipitation index (SPI) at various time scales (i.e., 3, 6, and 12 months) to provide an overall view of drought conditions across Sichuan Province, southwestern China, from 1961 to 2016. Then, the relationship between the SPI and the soil moisture anomalies was analyzed. Furthermore, the causes of SPI drought from the perspective of large-scale atmospheric circulation were assessed in the study area. The results showed that most stations with decreasing trends were located in the eastern part of Sichuan Province, while most stations with increasing trends were located in the northwestern part, indicating that the eastern region presented a drying trend, while the northwestern part exhibited a wetting trend. The specific analysis focused on extreme drought indicated an increasing occurrence the probability of extreme drought events, which could induce a high potential drought risk in the study area. The SPI values had a strong relationship with the soil moisture anomalies, and the linear correlation coefficients decreased as the time scale increased. This result indicated that SPI3 (3-month SPI) could be regarded as a good predictor of soil moisture drought. The cross wavelet analysis revealed that the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) had statistically significant correlations with the SPIs in Sichuan Province. The results of this study are useful for assessing the change in local drought events, which will help reduce the losses caused by drought disasters in Sichuan Province

Melatonin Improves the Quality of <i>In Vitro</i> Produced (IVP) Bovine Embryos: Implications for Blastocyst Development, Cryotolerance, and Modifications of Relevant Gene Expression

<div><p>To evaluate the potential effects of melatonin on the kinetics of embryo development and quality of blastocyst during the process of <i>in vitro</i> bovine embryo culture. Bovine cumulus–oocyte complexes (COCs) were fertilized after <i>in vitro</i> maturation. The presumed zygotes were cultured in <i>in vitro</i> culture medium supplemented with or without 10⁻⁷ M melatonin. The cleavage rate, 8-cell rate and blastocyst rate were examined to identify the kinetics of embryo development. The hatched blastocyst rate, mortality rate after thawing and the relevant transcript abundance were measured to evaluate the quality of blastocyst. The results showed that melatonin significantly promoted the cleavage rate and 8-cell embryo yield of <i>in vitro</i> produced bovine embryo. In addition, significantly more blastocysts were observed by Day 7 of embryo culture at the presence of melatonin. These results indicated that melatonin accelerated the development of <i>in vitro</i> produced bovine embryos. Following vitrification at Day 7 of embryo culture, melatonin (10⁻⁷ M) significantly increased the hatched blastocyst rate from 24 h to 72 h and decreased the mortality rate from 48 h to 72 h after thawing. The presence of melatonin during the embryo culture resulted in a significant increase in the gene expressions of <i>DNMT3A</i>, <i>OCC</i>, <i>CDH1</i> and decrease in that of <i>AQP3</i> after thawing. In conclusion, melatonin not only promoted blastocyst yield and accelerated <i>in vitro</i> bovine embryo development, but also improved the quality of blastocysts which was indexed by an elevated cryotolerance and the up-regulated expressions of developmentally important genes.</p></div

Primers used in this study.

<p>Primers used in this study.</p