CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE FORECASTING USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS BACKPROPAGATION METHOD

ABSTRACT Since 1997, the rupiah currency has a tendency to change at any time since the economic crisis that hit Indonesia. One of the currencies of the most widely traded on international exchange market is the U.S. dollar. This paper will forecast the exchange rate by using back propagation neural networks. Variables that affecting currency exchange rates is inflation, gross national product and interest rates. After performing data processing with the help of software VB.net forecasting results and forecasting program will be displayed online using PHP to construct the webpage. Keywords: currency exchange rates forecasting, back propagation, webpage desig

Perancangan Sistem Penunjang Keputusan Investasi Daerah Berbasis Webgis di Provinsi Sumatera Barat (Studi Kasus Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal Provinsi Sumatera Barat)

The implementation of decision support system will be applied to support the regional investment of West Sumatera by providing a feasibility study analysis; exclusively the aspects of economic and financial criteria. This research was carried out in West Sumatera Regional Investment Coordinating Board as the authorities of regional investment licensing and controlling. The first step in designing a decision support system is conducting Pre – Study. It consists of literature study and pre–design study related to the field of study. Next step is using Unified Modeling Language (UML) method to provide, represent and visualize the system. The basic model of the financial feasibility study is implemented by using the predetermined assumption as the scope of the best system performance. The system design which is implemented uses the Web and GIS concept. Otherwise, the expected result from the research is the application is able to calculate the basic data from financial feasibility aspect into needed information in order to analyze the feasibility of any investments. The result should be converted into Net Present Value, Benefit Cost Ratio, Internal Rate of Returns, and Payback Period value. The last step of the research is verification and validation in order to make sure the ability of application accommodating the pre -design system requirements. The result of verification and validation is able to accommodate the pre -designsystem requirements conclusively

Penentuan Sistem Kompensasi Berdasarkan Risk Assessment dan Performance Appraisal Karyawan (Studi Kasus: Petugas Operasional Pemadam Kebakaran Kota Padang)

Risk is a possibility of the occurrence that may affect the achievement of objectives. Risk can give positive or negative effect. One of the jobs that have a high risk is firefighter job. Furthermore, a firefighter who are disciplined, responsible, and good in team work, they must be given a reward for their motivation. Therefore, the compensation that they get is equal with the potential risk and working achievement. The compensation of the risk and achievement is included in the extra payment of dangerous work (hazard pay) and bonus based on working achievement of an employee (merit pay). Comparing to the old system, the compensation system will increase the firefighters' income from Rp 900.000 to Rp 1.297.280 every month. The addition will also increase the budget of Damkar from Rp 550.800.000 to Rp 793.935.156 every year

Aplikasi Penentuan Rute Distribusi LPG 3 Kg

PT IB. Sumberdaya Development is one of LPG agent partners of PT Pertamina. This company is assigned to distribute 3 kg LPG. The LPG shipment is carried out from Monday to Saturday. The shipment goes to 66 depots using agent vehicle which are registered in PT Pertamina. From the preliminary study, there were problems which related to the long-distance shipment, and the limitation of transportation and capacity.  In this research, the shipment routes of 3 kg LPG in PT IB is determined. Sumberdaya Development problems consist of the distance of the travel, the time of travel, and optimal transportation cost. Based on Clarke and Wright Savings Matrix algorithm, by considering the vehicle capacity, the distance can be minimized. The point of this algorithm is calculating the saving by measuring the available reduction of distance and time. It is done by linking the existing depots and making a route which is based on the largest saving value of the distance from the agent to the destination depot. Each route is optimized by WIN QSB software by using Branch and Bound method. A program to facilitate the determination of shipment routes by using PHP programming language is designed. The proposed route for the 3kg LPG shipment is 762.35km  with  33.58% saving, and the proposed time is 2929 minutes with 15.27% saving. The shipment schedule is designed from Monday to Saturday day to Saturday with each of 7 routes. This is better than the actual route used by the company

Pengendalian Persediaan Bahan Baku Vulkanisir Ban (Studi Kasus: PT. Gunung Pulo Sari)

The problem of raw materials is the most fundamental issue for a manufacturing company, because the raw material is something that is very important for a production process. Companies must be able to maintain optimal raw material inventory that the production process can run smoothly so as to achieve the production target set by the company and can meet the demand of consumers. PT. Gunung Pulo Sari is one of the manufacturing company engaged in tire retreading. Here there are two types of main raw material of the tire retreading process is the rubber cold rare steak to cook and cook to cook hot rubber. PT. Gunung Sari Pulo do not meet the criteria of good inventory management. So far the company in order raw materials only based on estimates only. We conducted this study in order PT. Gunung Sari Pulo can manage them inventory system by finding the optimum safety stock, determine the total cost of the minimum size of the buyer to use the dynamic method, and the reorder point. Based on the research that has been done then the obtained value of safety stock is 18 units, the total minimum cost is Rp. Rp. 133 991 672, and reordering time (Reorder point) is 93 units.Keywords: Safety Stock, Dynamic Method, Lot Sizing, Reorder Poin

The Design of Hotel Performance Management System in Padang

As a tourist place, Indonesia is supported by its beautiful natural scenaries and unique cultures. Actually most of Indonesia incomes came from tourism sectors. Padang as the administrative center of West Sumatra is one of tourism places in Indonesia. Unfortunately, all the facilities and touris actractions here need improvement, for example the hotels. Hotels in Padang need attention on the performance Hotels in Padang need attention on the performance This hotel depends on profit targets and classification of IHRA (Indonesian Hotel & Restaurant Association). For the increasement of this hotel, SWOT (Strength, Weakness, Opportunity, Threats) analysis and balanced scorecard method were applied. It began with the strategic information gathering based on interviewing the company, then continue processing it into a questionnaire which based on SWOT research. At this point, it is known that Premier Basko Hotel is in quadrant II (strength-threat) SWOT analysis diagram. So, this hotel needs to implement a diversification strategy. It also has 14 types of alternative strategies with strategic goals, 14 factors on Critical Success Factors (CSF), 38 indicators on Key Performance Indicators (KPI), and 38 pieces forms of performance management system. All of these are as the form of guidelines for the performance management system Premier Basko Hotel

Improving Service Quality towards Patients' Satisfaction at Stroke Hospitals in West Sumatera

The failure of PMK/05/2013 in evaluating service quality causes hospitals to create assessment. The assessment used to see the gap between perception and expectation and also dimensions. A research by distributing 135 questionnaires to Bukittinggi Stroke Hospital in Inpatient room level I, II, III, and Outpatient of neuro clinic and internal medicine clinic was carried out. Servqual and Customer Relationship Management (CRM) were applied for seeing the influence among the dimensions and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) for deciding the improvement priorities. The research shows that the gap between perception and expectation are -0.701 in Inpatient and -0.638 in Outpatient which means the service hasn't fulfilled the customers' desire. The dimension of assurance toward patients' desire is 4.283 and the dimension of empathy toward patient desire is 3.518. So, from SEM dimensions, it is identified that the most influential dimensions are empathy and assurance toward patients' desire. The caused hospitals must develop their staff skill, hospitality, and politeness. The credibility of patients, understandable information, and easy communication access are also needed to be upgraded

Decision Support System for Inventory Control of Raw Material

PT Suwarni Agro Mandiri Plant Pariaman is a company which produces fertilizer. This company has a problem related to raw material inventory. The inventory can be overstock or stock out. It is due to their working which is not guided by an information system. Therefore, this research proposes a decision support system for controlling the inventory of the raw material. The system uses Material Requirement Planning (MRP) approach and is designed in three sub-systems. They are OLTP database for managing the daily activities, MRP for determining the lot size and the raw material ordering time, and OLAP with data warehouse for analyzing the raw material data. Keywords-inventory; inventory control; online analytical processing; online transaction processin