An investigation of the perceived consequences to employees of reducing employment related trip end choices in Cape Town

Paper presented at the 33rd Annual Southern African Transport Conference 7-10 July 2014 "Leading Transport into the Future", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.In South Africa, the bench mark for transport expenditure is 10% of monthly income. In the global South “transport poverty” is not a foreign concept considering that most individuals use more than 10% of their income on transport. The driver of these high transport costs is the positioning of economic activities relative to residential areas. Additionally, concerns over Peak Oil and its impact on fuel price means transport will become even more unaffordable in the future. Using Cape Town as a study area, this paper explores the concept of “too much” choice in a job choice framework to investigate the hypothesis that, the provision of a large catchment area from which individuals seek jobs does not continue to yield an increase in utility, but that there is a point beyond which benefits from having more choice are negligible. The results suggest that in a job choice framework, an increase in catchment size does not result in an increase in utility, instead as the catchment size increases utility decreases. It is therefore concluded that there is an amount of accessibility that cities can provide that can be considered to be “sufficient” and still enable individuals to attain positive utility. From the findings in this study, providing “sufficient” accessibility can be achieved by locating future urban growth thereby reducing home to work distances which may translate to a reduction in transport costs.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material was published using Adobe Acrobat 10.1.0 Technology. The original CD ROM was produced by CE Projects cc. Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: [email protected]

The role of bus rapid transit in improving public transport levels of service, particulary for the urban poor users of public transport: a case of Cape Town, South Africa

Paper presented at the 31st Annual Southern African Transport Conference 9-12 July 2012 "Getting Southern Africa to Work", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.The current level of service provision of public transport in Cape Town, as in other cities in South Africa, is inadequate and ineffective in meeting user needs. The ‘current (very limited, modally fragmented) commuter based service’ is characterized by poor performance in terms of travel times, reliability, capacity, safety and security. The aim of this paper is to describe the study to assess the potential role of BRT in improving public transport levels of service, particularly for the urban poor users of public transport in Cape Town. A comparative analysis of current levels of public transport services versus predicted BRTbased IRT service levels was carried out to establish the changes that can be brought about to public transport level of service through changing to the BRT-based IRT system. The level of service measures that were examined include: walking, in-vehicle and trip distance; walking, waiting, in-vehicle and trip time; in-vehicle and trip speed; fare cost; and transfer requirement. The results indicate that the BRT-based IRT system is not clearly beneficial to the urban poor in the area of service levels improvements. While the poor commuters may benefit from more accessible, frequent and fast IRT services as well as reduced travel times, ironically, these will be more expensive and in some cases unaffordable to them and therefore of no benefit to them. In order for the urban poor users of public transport to reap the full potential benefits of BRT, it is recommended that appropriate measures to rationalize the BRT-based IRT system be adopted.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material was published using Adobe Acrobat 10.1.0 Technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: nigel@doctech URL: http://www.doctech.co.zadm201

Comparative analysis of public transport systems in African cities

Paper presented at the 31st Annual Southern African Transport Conference 9-12 July 2012 "Getting Southern Africa to Work", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.This paper discusses the application of an assessment methodology on three African cities; Cape Town, Nairobi and Dar es Salaam. The purpose of the methodology is to do a comprehensive study on the performance of public transport systems in these cities. The methodology is used to describe, discuss and evaluate the public transport systems. A set of components and characteristics are needed to describe a public transport system of a city. The public transport goals and objectives of the cities are used to create a set of key performance indicators that will be used to evaluate and compare the public transport systems of the cities. The evaluation and comparison of the key performance indicators of public transport systems makes it possible to find realistic values for public transport objectives and to also build a database of the performance results. These results can be compared across different years to evaluate whether there has been any improvement in performance and if the strategies implemented are achieving the expected results. In this paper, the characteristics of the public transport systems of Cape Town, Nairobi and Dar es Salaam are described in detail as well as the evaluation of the performance of the public transport systems for all three cities. The results from the assessment on the three cities are compared across each other to give a clear overview of the public transport systems of the case cities. The aim of this paper is to present the results from the application of the assessment methodology on the three case cities. The results will represent the current status quo and qualities of the public transport systems of the case cities.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material was published using Adobe Acrobat 10.1.0 Technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: nigel@doctech URL: http://www.doctech.co.zadm201

Improving the probability of corridor development

Paper presented at the 21st Annual South African Transport Conference 15 - 18 July 2002 "Towards building capacity and accelerating delivery", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material on the CD ROM was published using Adobe Acrobat technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: [email protected] URL: http://www.doctech.co.z

Development of a public transport cost model

Paper presented at the South African Transport Conference 17 - 20 July 2000 "Action in transport for the new millennium", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material on the CD ROM was published using Adobe Acrobat technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: [email protected] URL: http://www.doctech.co.z

Developing a cost model for running an airline service

Paper presented at the 23rd Annual Southern African Transport Conference 12 - 15 July 2004 "Getting recognition for the importance of transport", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa. From the NEPAD objective of partnership in the African continent, major connectivity within Africa as should be addressed through air transport. The paper involves, describing the nature of the airline industry, especially in the African situation with some of the issues being high airfares and poor accessibility within the continent. In order to address these problems however, an analysis of the minimal operating costs and key factors affecting route costs is carried out. The aim of the paper was to develop from first principles, a cost model to calculate operating costs along any route in the African continent and test its applicability. The costing of an airline service is reviewed through existing literature and a compilation of the structure, components and their equations and default values done. A model structure to calculate these operating costs on a route is set up, while data is analysed to provide databases and calculations to the model. The model is then calibrated by comparing costs calculated with fares of a given route within Africa, showing its applicability while proposals for further research in hubbing to consolidate traffic as a method of minimising costs for airlines.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material on the CD ROM was published using Adobe Acrobat technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: [email protected] URL: http://www.doctech.co.z

The regionalisation of public transport in Germany: can South African public transport benefit from the German experience?

Paper presented at the South African Transport Conference 17 - 20 July 2000 "Action in transport for the new millennium", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material on the CD ROM was published using Adobe Acrobat technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: [email protected] URL: http://www.doctech.co.z

Methodological problems in the analysis of changing habitual travel behaviour over time

Paper presented at the 25th Annual Southern African Transport Conference 10 - 13 July 2006 "2010: Will transport infrastructure and systems be ready?", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material on the CD ROM was published using Adobe Acrobat technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: [email protected] URL: http://www.doctech.co.z

The application of compensatory rules to model private sector and land use investment

Paper presented at the 22nd Annual Southern African Transport Conference 14 - 16 July 2003 "National issues affecting the movement of people and goods - strategic approaches", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa. ABSTRACT: There is a belief that private sector investment occurs in non-optimum locations in terms of the development of the city. If urban planners were able to understand private sector decision-making, they could plan to change investors current behaviour into investing at locations that are considered more optimal in terms of the city as a whole rather than the individual investor. This creates a need to predict the probability of private sector investment in a proposed development location, node or corridor. Decisions may be made in two stages: in the first stage, alternatives are screened by some non-compensatory process, and in the second stage, the remaining alternatives are evaluated in more detail, perhaps with a compensatory decision rule. In compensatory decision-making, the favoured option is selected by optimising a single objective function. It is reflected by multi-attribute utility models and is widely accepted as reflecting a rational procedure of choice This paper investigates the use of compensatory rules to model private sector land use investment. Stated preference interviews were used to collect data. Logit modeling was used to set up a model. It was found that developers have a specific mind-set on where they want to develop. It is however possible to change their location decisions by providing certain incentives. The study has been successful in providing guidelines as to the change and the amount of change needed in existing attributes to induce that the investment be made in specific areas.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material on the CD ROM was published using Adobe Acrobat technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: [email protected] URL: http://www.doctech.co.z

A methodology for comparative analysis of public transport systems in Africa cities

Paper presented at the 30th Annual Southern African Transport Conference 11-14 July 2011 "Africa on the Move", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.The large and mostly impoverished populations of African cities are dependant on public transport. In most African cities, private vehicle ownership and traffic is increasing rapidly, scheduled or formal public transport systems are declining or have disappeared altogether and the unscheduled or informal paratransit systems that have replaced them are unsafe and offer a low quality service. A problem with public transport planning in many African cities is that public transport is either poorly planned or not planned at all. This is due to the fact that there is a lack of adequate information and planning framework to guide decision makers and that they either select inappropriate systems based on those used in developed countries or allow private operators to decide. It is the responsibility of government to ensure that public transport systems meet the needs of the communities they serve and political decision-makers need to make the right decisions for the development of public transport. Precise and relevant performance indicators and statistics may give a clear overview of the public transport systems of cities and will help to monitor the benefits of implementing efficient systems. Therefore a need exits to develop a methodology to assess public transport systems in African cities. The aim of this paper is to set out a methodology to describe, discuss, and compare public transport systems in African cities. The paper will only discuss the assessment methodology, and the application of the methodology will be discussed in a future paper.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material was published using Adobe Acrobat 10.1.0 Technology. The original CD ROM was produced by Document Transformation Technologies Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: nigel@doctech URL: http://www.doctech.co.zaCD sponsored by TRANSNE