89 research outputs found

    The future of the subsurface chlorophyll-a maximum in the Canada Basin-A model intercomparison

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    Six Earth system models and three ocean-ice-ecosystem models are analyzed to evaluate magnitude and depth of the subsurface Chl-a maximum (SCM) in the Canada Basin and ratio of surface to subsurface Chl-a in a future climate scenario. Differences in simulated Chl-a are caused by large intermodel differences in available nitrate in the Arctic Ocean and to some extent by ecosystem complexity. Most models reproduce the observed SCM and nitracline deepening and indicate a continued deepening in the future until the models reach a new state with seasonal ice-free waters. Models not representing a SCM show either too much nitrate and hence no surface limitation or too little nitrate with limited surface growth only. The models suggest that suppression of the nitracline and deepening of the SCM are caused by enhanced stratification, likely driven by enhanced Ekman convergence and freshwater contributions with primarily large-scale atmospheric driving mechanisms. The simulated ratio of near-surface Chl-a to depth-integrated Chl-a is slightly decreasing in most areas of the Arctic Ocean due to enhanced contributions of subsurface Chl-a. Exceptions are some shelf areas and regions where the continued ice thinning leaves winter ice too thin to provide a barrier to momentum fluxes, allowing winter mixing to break up the strong stratification. Results confirm that algorithms determining vertically integrated Chl-a from surface Chl-a need to be tuned to Arctic conditions, but likely require little or no adjustments in the future

    Parenting through grief: A cross-sectional study of recently bereaved adults with minor children

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    Background: Grieving adults raising parentally-bereaved minor children experience persistently elevated symptoms of depression and grief. However, the factors associated with their mental health outcomes are not well understood. Aim: To investigate the psychosocial and demographic characteristics associated with grief distress and depressive symptom severity in bereaved adults with minor children. Design: Cross-sectional, web-based survey. Setting/participants: Eight hundred forty-five bereaved adults raising minor (age <18 years) children who had experienced the death of a co-parent. Primary outcomes were grief distress (Prolonged Grief Disorder-13), depressive symptoms (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System-Depression), and widowed parenting self-efficacy (WPSES). Results: Mean grief scores were 33.5; mean depression scores were 58.3. Among the 690 individuals more than 6 months bereaved, 132 (19.3%) met criteria for prolonged grief disorder. In adjusted models, participants reporting higher grief scores were more recently bereaved, identified as mothers, non-Caucasian, had lower education and income, and had not anticipated their co-parent’s death. The statistical modeling results for depression scores were similar to grief scores except that depression was not associated with anticipation of co-parent death. Parents reporting lower WPSES scores had higher grief and depression scores. Retrospective assessments of more intense parenting worries at the time of co-parent death were also associated with higher grief and depression scores. Conclusions: For bereaved adults with minor children, unanticipated co-parent death was linked with higher grief distress but not symptoms of depression. Addressing parenting concerns may represent a common pathway for improving the mental health of parentally-bereaved families

    Changing Natural History of HER2–Positive Breast Cancer Metastatic to the Brain in the Era of New Targeted Therapies

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    Patients with breast cancer brain metastases historically have a poor prognosis. In this single-institution cohort study of patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer brain metastases, we found no improvement in survival after brain recurrence over time despite wide adoption of HER2–targeted therapies. This highlights the importance of continued development of novel brain penetrant therapies for patients with HER2–positive metastatic disease to extend survival and improve quality of life. Background: Given the wide adoption of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-targeted therapies for advanced HER2–positive breast cancer, we studied the natural history of patients with HER2–positive breast cancer brain metastases (BCBM) over time. Patients and Methods: Patients with HER2–positive BCBM identified from a prospectively maintained database at the University of North Carolina were divided into 3 cohorts by year of BCBM diagnosis. Cohorts were selected by year of HER2–targeted therapy US Food and Drug Administration approval. Overall survival (OS), time to first metastasis, time to BCBM, and BCBM survival were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Associations between OS after BCBM and clinical variables were assessed by Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: One hundred twenty-three patients were identified. Median age was 51 years, and 58% were white and 31% African American. OS from initial breast cancer diagnosis improved over time: 3.6 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.8-6.1) in the 1998-2007 cohort, 6.6 years (95% CI, 4.5-8.6) in the 2008-2012 cohort, and 7.6 years (95% CI, 4.4-9.6) in the 2013-2015 cohort (P =.05). While time from initial diagnosis to first metastasis did not differ (P =.12), time to BCBM increased over time (2.6 years [95% CI, 1.3-3.5] for 1998-2007; 2.6 years [95% CI, 2.1-4.3] for 2008-2012, and 3.3 years [95% CI, 2.2-6] for 2013-2015; P =.05). Although OS from BCBM did not significantly differ by cohort, patients who received HER2–targeted therapy after BCBM had a prolonged OS (2.1 years [95% CI, 1.6-2.6] vs. 0.65 years [95% CI, 0.4-1.3]; P =.001). Conclusion: OS from initial breast cancer diagnosis significantly improved over time for patients with HER2–positive breast cancer who develop BCBM, now exceeding 7 years; survival from BCBM diagnosis may now exceed 2 years

    The Sudbury Neutrino Observatory

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    The Sudbury Neutrino Observatory is a second generation water Cherenkov detector designed to determine whether the currently observed solar neutrino deficit is a result of neutrino oscillations. The detector is unique in its use of D2O as a detection medium, permitting it to make a solar model-independent test of the neutrino oscillation hypothesis by comparison of the charged- and neutral-current interaction rates. In this paper the physical properties, construction, and preliminary operation of the Sudbury Neutrino Observatory are described. Data and predicted operating parameters are provided whenever possible.Comment: 58 pages, 12 figures, submitted to Nucl. Inst. Meth. Uses elsart and epsf style files. For additional information about SNO see http://www.sno.phy.queensu.ca . This version has some new reference

    Mudança organizacional: uma abordagem preliminar

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