1 research outputs found
Rohlin Distance and the Evolution of Influenza A virus: Weak Attractors and Precursors
The evolution of the hemagglutinin amino acids sequences of Influenza A virus
is studied by a method based on an informational metrics, originally introduced
by Rohlin for partitions in abstract probability spaces. This metrics does not
require any previous functional or syntactic knowledge about the sequences and
it is sensitive to the correlated variations in the characters disposition. Its
efficiency is improved by algorithmic tools, designed to enhance the detection
of the novelty and to reduce the noise of useless mutations. We focus on the
USA data from 1993/94 to 2010/2011 for A/H3N2 and on USA data from 2006/07 to
2010/2011 for A/H1N1 . We show that the clusterization of the distance matrix
gives strong evidence to a structure of domains in the sequence space, acting
as weak attractors for the evolution, in very good agreement with the
epidemiological history of the virus. The structure proves very robust with
respect to the variations of the clusterization parameters, and extremely
coherent when restricting the observation window. The results suggest an
efficient strategy in the vaccine forecast, based on the presence of
"precursors" (or "buds") populating the most recent attractor.Comment: 13 pages, 5+4 figure