Planning Graph Heuristics for Belief Space Search

Some recent works in conditional planning have proposed reachability heuristics to improve planner scalability, but many lack a formal description of the properties of their distance estimates. To place previous work in context and extend work on heuristics for conditional planning, we provide a formal basis for distance estimates between belief states. We give a definition for the distance between belief states that relies on aggregating underlying state distance measures. We give several techniques to aggregate state distances and their associated properties. Many existing heuristics exhibit a subset of the properties, but in order to provide a standardized comparison we present several generalizations of planning graph heuristics that are used in a single planner. We compliment our belief state distance estimate framework by also investigating efficient planning graph data structures that incorporate BDDs to compute the most effective heuristics. We developed two planners to serve as test-beds for our investigation. The first, CAltAlt, is a conformant regression planner that uses A* search. The second, POND, is a conditional progression planner that uses AO* search. We show the relative effectiveness of our heuristic techniques within these planners. We also compare the performance of these planners with several state of the art approaches in conditional planning

Design and Development of a Laboratory-Scale Ice Adhesion Testing Device

When an aircraft traverses through clouds containing supercooled water droplets, in-flight icing can occur that negatively affects vehicle performance by increasing weight and drag leading to loss of lift. Super-cooled water droplets present in clouds that impact vehicle surfaces can lead to inflight icing any time during the year.1 Most events occur at temperatures ranging from 0 to -20degC. Ice generated on the aircraft can vary between clear/glaze, rime, and mixed (Fig. 1) depending on air temperature (-5 to -20degC), liquid water content (0.3-0.6 g/m3), and droplet size (median volumetric diameter of 15-40 m). Current strategies to remove ice are based on active technologies such as pneumatic boots, heated surfaces, and deicing agents (i.e., ethylene- and propylene-based glycols). The latter have potential environmental concerns. A passive approach to mitigate accreting ice that is actively being investigated are protective coatings. An ice mitigating coating could potentially be used as a stand-alone material, but more likely in combination with an active approach. In the latter scenario, potential reduction in power consumption by the active approach may be realized. To determine the ice adhesion strength of impact ice that is representative of the aircraft environment is not a trivial matter. Test methods utilizing slowly formed ice (i.e., freezer ice) do not accurately simulate this environment. Likewise, some testing methodologies involve sample relocation from the icing environment to the test chamber that can result in thermal shock to the sample, thus affecting the results. The Adverse Environment Rotor Test Stand (AERTS) located at Pennsylvania State University (PSU) has been demonstrated to simulate impact icing conditions within the icing envelope for the determination of ice adhesion shear strength (IASS) without removal/relocation of the sample.2 Due to the confidence in results obtained from AERTS, this instrument is in high demand and requires a significant amount of lead time and capital investment to obtain IASS results. As a solution for quickly and economically screening coatings in a controlled manner under impact icing conditions, a laboratory-scale ice adhesion test and dead blades were then removed from the rotor/blade assembly to obtain the final mass. The IASS of the live blade was determined from the difference in mass (before and after testing) of the live and dead blades, the ice shed area, and the rpm of the shed event. The same live blade sample was tested in triplicate at all three test temperatures. Surface roughness was determined using a Bruker Dektak XT Stylus Profilometer. Measurements were conducted using a 12.5 m tip at a vertical range of 65.5 m with an applied force of 3 mg. Data were collected over a 1.0 mm length at a resolution of 0.056 m/point. Five single line scans at different locations were collected and processed using a two-point leveling subtraction. The resultant Ra (arithmetic roughness) and Rq (root mean square roughness) average values were calculated

Hepatitis C Virus Testing and Linkage to Care in North Carolina and South Carolina Jails, 2012–2014

We evaluated a hepatitis C virus (HCV) testing and linkage-to-care post-release program among detainees of small- to medium-sized jails in North Carolina and South Carolina as part of the Hepatitis Testing and Linkage to Care initiative

Associations of cancer and other chronic medical conditions with SF-6D preference-based scores in Medicare beneficiaries

Documenting the impact of different types of cancer on daily functioning and well-being is important for understanding burden relative to other chronic medical conditions. This study examined the impact of 10 different cancers and 13 other chronic medical conditions on health-related quality of life

Duration of shedding of respiratory syncytial virus in a community study of Kenyan children

Background: Our understanding of the transmission dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection will be better informed with improved data on the patterns of shedding in cases not limited only to hospital admissions. Methods: In a household study, children testing RSV positive by direct immunofluorescent antibody test (DFA) were enrolled. Nasal washings were scheduled right away, then every three days until day 14, every 7 days until day 28 and every 2 weeks until a maximum of 16 weeks, or until the first DFA negative RSV specimen. The relationship between host factors, illness severity and viral shedding was investigated using Cox regression methods. Results: From 151 families a total of 193 children were enrolled with a median age of 21 months (range 1-164 months), 10% infants and 46% male. The rate of recovery from infection was 0.22/person/day (95% CI 0.19-0.25) equivalent to a mean duration of shedding of 4.5 days (95%CI 4.0-5.3), with a median duration of shedding of 4 days (IQR 2-6, range 1-14). Children with a history of RSV infection had a 40% increased rate of recovery i.e. shorter duration of viral shedding (hazard ratio 1.4, 95% CI 1.01-1.86). The rate of cessation of shedding did not differ significantly between males and females, by severity of infection or by age. Conclusion: We provide evidence of a relationship between the duration of shedding and history of infection, which may have a bearing on the relative role of primary versus re-infections in RSV transmission in the community

Does Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Youth Anxiety Outperform Usual Care in Community Clinics? An Initial Effectiveness Test

Objective: Most tests of cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) for youth anxiety disorders have shown beneficial effects, but these have been efficacy trials with recruited youths treated by researcher-employed therapists. One previous (nonrandomized) trial in community clinics found that CBT did not outperform usual care (UC). The present study used a more stringent effectiveness design to test CBT versus UC in youths referred to community clinics, with all treatment provided by therapists employed in the clinics. Method: A randomized controlled trial methodology was used. Therapists were randomized to training and supervision in the Coping Cat CBT program or UC. Forty-eight youths (56% girls, 8 to 15 years of age, 38% Caucasian, 33% Latino, 15% African-American) diagnosed with DSM-IV anxiety disorders were randomized to CBT or UC. Results: At the end of treatment more than half the youths no longer met criteria for their primary anxiety disorder, but the groups did not differ significantly on symptom (e.g., parent report, eta-square = 0.0001; child report, eta-square = 0.09; both differences favoring UC) or diagnostic (CBT, 66.7% without primary diagnosis; UC, 73.7%; odds ratio 0.71) outcomes. No differences were found with regard to outcomes of comorbid conditions, treatment duration, or costs. However, youths receiving CBT used fewer additional services than UC youths (χ21 = 8.82, p = .006). Conclusions: CBT did not produce better clinical outcomes than usual community clinic care. This initial test involved a relatively modest sample size; more research is needed to clarify whether there are conditions under which CBT can produce better clinical outcomes than usual clinical care.Psycholog

Requirements and expectations of high-quality biomarkers for atopic dermatitis and psoriasis in 2021-a two-round Delphi survey among international experts

Background Chronic inflammatory skin diseases such as atopic dermatitis (AD) and psoriasis (PSO) present major challenges in health care. Thus, biomarkers to identify disease trajectories and response to treatments to improve the lives of affected individuals warrant great research consideration. The requirements that these biomarkers must fulfil for use as practical clinical tools have not yet been adequately investigated. Aim To identify the core elements of high-quality AD and PSO biomarkers to prepare recommendations for current biomarker research. Method A cross-sectional two-round Delphi survey was conducted from August to October 2019 and October to November 2020. All participants were members of the BIOMAP project, an EU-funded consortium of clinicians, researchers, patient organizations and pharmaceutical industry partners. The first round consisted of three open-ended questions. Responses were qualitatively analysed, and 26 closed statements were developed. For the second round, 'agreement' was assumed when the responses of >= 70% of the participants were >= 5 points on a 7-point Likert scale for each statement. Priority classification was based on mean scores (60th percentile = high). Results Twenty-one and twenty-six individuals participated in rounds one and two, respectively. From 26 statements that were included in round 2, 18 achieved agreement (8 concerning the performance, 8 for the purpose and 2 on current obstacles). Seven statements were classified as high priority, e.g. those concerning reliability, clinical validity, a high positive predictive value, prediction of the therapeutic response and disease progression. Another seven statements were assigned medium priority, e.g. those about analytical validity, prediction of comorbidities and therapeutic algorithm. Low priority included four statements, like those concerning cost effectiveness and prediction of disease flares. Conclusion The core requirements that experts agreed on being essential for high-quality AD and PSO biomarkers require rapid validation. Biomarkers can therefore be assessed based on these prioritized requirements.Peer reviewe

Radio source calibration for the VSA and other CMB instruments at around 30 GHz

Accurate calibration of data is essential for the current generation of CMB experiments. Using data from the Very Small Array (VSA), we describe procedures which will lead to an accuracy of 1 percent or better for experiments such as the VSA and CBI. Particular attention is paid to the stability of the receiver systems, the quality of the site and frequent observations of reference sources. At 30 GHz the careful correction for atmospheric emission and absorption is shown to be essential for achieving 1 percent precision. The sources for which a 1 percent relative flux density calibration was achieved included Cas A, Cyg A, Tau A and NGC7027 and the planets Venus, Jupiter and Saturn. A flux density, or brightness temperature in the case of the planets, was derived at 33 GHz relative to Jupiter which was adopted as the fundamental calibrator. A spectral index at ~30 GHz is given for each. Cas A,Tau A, NGC7027 and Venus were examined for variability. Cas A was found to be decreasing at $0.394 \pm 0.019$ percent per year over the period March 2001 to August 2004. In the same period Tau A was decreasing at $0.22\pm 0.07$ percent per year. A survey of the published data showed that the planetary nebula NGC7027 decreased at $0.16\pm 0.04$ percent per year over the period 1967 to 2003. Venus showed an insignificant ($1.5 \pm 1.3$ percent) variation with Venusian illumination. The integrated polarization of Tau A at 33 GHz was found to be $7.8\pm 0.6$ percent at pa $= 148^\circ \pm 3^\circ$.}Comment: 13 pages, 15 figures, submitted to MNRA

The Cost-Effectiveness of Birth-Cohort Screening for Hepatitis C Antibody in U.S. Primary Care Settings

In the United States, hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is most prevalent among adults born from 1945 through 1965, and approximately 50% to 75% of infected adults are unaware of their infection