Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in Ankylosing Spondylitis: From Traditional Scores to Machine Learning Assessment

Abstract Introduction The performance of seven cardiovascular (CV) risk algorithms is evaluated in a multicentric cohort of ankylosing spondylitis (AS) patients. Performance and calibration of traditional CV predictors have been compared with the novel paradigm of machine learning (ML). Methods A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from an AS cohort has been performed. The primary outcome was the first CV event. The discriminatory ability of the algorithms was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), which is like the concordance-statistic (c-statistic). Three ML techniques were considered to calculate the CV risk: support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN). Results Of 133 AS patients enrolled, 18 had a CV event. c-statistic scores of 0.71, 0.61, 0.66, 0.68, 0.66, 0.72, and 0.67 were found, respectively, for SCORE, CUORE, FRS, QRISK2, QRISK3, RRS, and ASSIGN. AUC values for the ML algorithms were: 0.70 for SVM, 0.73 for RF, and 0.64 for KNN. Feature analysis showed that C-reactive protein (CRP) has the highest importance, while SBP and hypertension treatment have lower importance. Conclusions All of the evaluated CV risk algorithms exhibit a poor discriminative ability, except for RRS and SCORE, which showed a fair performance. For the first time, we demonstrated that AS patients do not show the traditional ones used by CV scores and that the most important variable is CRP. The present study contributes to a deeper understanding of CV risk in AS, allowing the development of innovative CV risk patient-specific models

Pain catastrophizing negatively impacts drug retention rate in patients with Psoriatic Arthritis and axial Spondyloarthritis: results from a 2-years perspective multicenter GIRRCS (Gruppo Italiano di Ricerca in Reumatologia Clinica) study

Background: Chronic pain and inflammation are common features of rheumatic conditions such as Psoriatic Arthritis (PsA) and Axial Spondyloarthritis (axSpA), often needing prolonged medication treatment for effective management. Maintaining drug retention is essential for both achieving disease control and improving patients' quality of life. This study investigates the influence of pain catastrophizing, a psychological response to pain, on the drug retention rates of PsA and axSpA patients. Methods: A two-year prospective multicenter observational study involved 135 PsA and 71 axSpA patients. Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS) was employed to assess pain catastrophizing. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were utilized to identify factors associated with drug retention. Results: In the PsA group, patients early discontinuing therapy showed higher baseline disease activity as well as higher incidence of comorbid fibromyalgia. Notably, pain catastrophizing, specifically the domains of Helplessness, Magnification, and Rumination, were significantly elevated in PsA patients who interrupted the treatment. Multivariable analysis confirmed pain catastrophizing as an independent predictor of drug suspension within two years. In axSpA, drug discontinuation was associated with female gender, shorter disease duration, higher baseline disease activity as well as elevated levels of pain catastrophizing. Univariable analysis supported the role of pain catastrophizing, including its domains, as predictors of treatment interruption. However, limited events in axSpA patients precluded a multivariate analysis. Conclusion: This prospective study emphasizes the impact of pain catastrophizing on drug retention in patients with PsA and axSpA

Experimental and Investigational Pharmacotherapy for Psoriatic Arthritis: Drugs of the Future

In recent years, different studies have shown in psoriatic arthritis (PsA), the pathogenetic role of multiple cytokines other than tumor necrosis factor-α, such as interleukin-17 (IL-17), and IL-23 and dysfunction of Janus kinase (JAK)-signal family pathway. These molecules also represent the target of recently developed biologic (bDMARDs) and targeted synthetic disease modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) (tsDMARDs) currently investigated in several Phase II and III randomized controlled trials (RCTs). This review examines the therapeutic efficacy and safety of most recent developed IL-17, IL-23 and JAK inhibitors and highlights how these new PsA therapies are going to revolutionize the management of PsA in the next few years. Ongoing RCTs of these molecules in PsA are also described. Available literature on new anti-IL-17 and anti-IL-23 agents and JAK inhibitors demonstrates the potential role of these molecules as effective therapeutic strategies across multiple PsA clinical domains, along with an acceptable tolerability and safety profile, thus expanding the treatment options available for PsA patients. Of note, other molecules are under investigation, and among those, potential therapeutic strategies seem to be represented by single antibodies blocking simultaneously two cytokines, the agents inhibiting mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR), receptor retinoic acid receptor-related orphan receptor gamma (RORγt), A3 adenosine receptor (A3 AR), and K+ channel voltage channel inhibitors. Remarkable progress has been made in PsA pharmacotherapy, and novel bDMARDs targeting IL17A and tsDMARDs (JAK-inhibitors) represent promising therapies. More clinical trials are needed to better characterize the efficacy and safety profile of these therapeutic agents in PsA treatment

Erythema Multiforme Induced by Secukinumab: Clinical, Dermoscopic, and Histological Features

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Performances of five risk algorithms in predicting cardiovascular events in patients with Psoriatic Arthritis: An Italian bicentric study

INTRODUCTION:In patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) an increased cardiovascular (CV) risk has been observed. Recently, a EULAR taskforce suggested to use a multiplication by the factor of 1.5 of CV risk algorithms in patients with inflammatory arthritis. This study aims to evaluate the performance of five original and adapted according to EULAR recommendations CV risk algorithms in PsA: SCORE, CUORE, Framingham Risk Score (FRS), QRISK2, and Reynold's Risk Score (RRS). METHODS:Prospectively collected data from two Italian cohorts were used. Discriminatory ability for CV risk prediction was evaluated by the area under the ROC curves. Calibration between predicted and observed events was assessed by Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) tests. Sensibility and specificity were calculated for low-to-intermediate and intermediate-to-high risk cut-offs. RESULTS:One hundred fifty-five patients were enrolled with an observation of 1550 patient/years. Area under the ROC were 0.7679 (95% CI 0.64768 to 0.88812), 0.864 (95% CI 0.79675 to 0.93278), 0.7575 (95% CI 0.65784 to 0.85708), 0.8660 (95% CI 0.79428 to 0.93772), and 0.7183 (95% CI 0.57795 to 0.85862) for SCORE, CUORE, FRS, QRSIK2, and RRS, respectively. HL tests demonstrated poor model fit (p<0.05) for SCORE, CUORE, and RRS. Discriminative ability and calibration were not improved by adaption of the algorithms according to EULAR recommendations. Up to 80% of CV events occurred in patients at "low risk" and up to 93% of CV events in patients at "low-intermediate risk". CONCLUSIONS:Adaption of the CV risk algorithms according to EULAR indications did not provide improvement in discriminative ability and calibration in patients with PsA

2-Arachidonoylglycerol Reduces the Production of Interferon-Gamma in T Lymphocytes from Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Background: the endocannabinoid 2-arachidonoylglycerol (2-AG) plays a pivotal role in immune cells regulation. The plasma levels of 2-AG are increased in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and correlate with disease activity. Moreover, in plasmacytoid dendritic cells from SLE patients, 2-AG is able to control the production of type 1 interferon (IFN) through CB2 activation. The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential role of 2-AG on T lymphocytes from SLE patients. Methods: peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from SLE participants and age- and sex-matched healthy donors (HD) were isolated by Ficoll–Hypaque density-gradient centrifugation. The PBMCs were treated with increasing concentrations of 2-AG, and AM251 and AM630 were used to antagonize CB1 and CB2, respectively. Flow cytometry was used to assess the expression of CD3, CD4, CD8, CD25, IFN-ɣ, IL-4, and IL-17A. Results: 2-AG (1 μM) decreased IFN-ɣ expression (p = 0.0005) in the Th1 lymphocytes of SLE patients. 2-AG did not modulate the cytokine expression of any other T lymphocyte population from either SLE or HD. Treatment with both 2-AG and AM630 increased the IFN-ɣ expression in Th1 lymphocytes of SLE patients (p = 0.03). Discussion: 2-AG is able to modulate type 2 IFN production from CD4+ T lymphocytes from SLE patients through CB2 activation

Retention rates and identification of factors associated with anti-TNFα, anti-IL17, and anti-IL12/23R agents discontinuation in psoriatic arthritis patients: results from a real-world clinical setting

Introduction Biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) play a pivotal role in the treatment of psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Despite this, their discontinuation due to inefficacy or adverse events is often observed. The aims of this study are to describe retention rates and treatment trends of anti-TNF alpha, anti-IL17, and anti-IL12/23R agents in patients with PsA and to identify factors associated with bDMARDs discontinuation in a real-world clinical setting. Methods A retrospective cohort study based on the analysis of the three Italian prescription cohorts of patients with PsA has been performed. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional-hazards model. Results During the follow up, which lasted 25.5 (12-60) months, 68 patients discontinued a bDMARD: 13 for primary failure, 12 for secondary failure, 15 for adverse events, 5 for remission, 12 because of lost at follow-up, and 11 for other causes. Cox proportional-hazards demonstrated that a shorter disease duration (HR 0.994991, 95% CI 0.9910336-0.9989647, p = 0.014) and first-line bDMARD (HR 0.5090986, 95% CI 0.3073519-0.8432722, p = 0.009) have a protective role on bDMARD retention rate, while the multivariable analysis failed in demonstrating an independent protective role of male sex on drug retention rate (p = 0.083). No significant differences in retention rate have been found regarding biologic drugs, combination therapy or monotherapy, and class of bDMARD (anti-TNF alpha or anti-pIL12/23R and anti-IL-17). Conclusions This study shows that a shorter disease duration and treatment with a first-line bDMARD are predictors of bDMARDs retention rate, further highlighting the importance of early diagnosis of PsA

Increased Prevalence of Headaches and Migraine in Patients with Psoriatic Arthritis and Axial Spondyloarthritis: Insights from an Italian Cohort Study

Background: Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) are inflammatory diseases with shared genetic backgrounds and clinical comorbidities. Headache, a common global health issue, affects over 50% of adults and encompasses various types, including migraine, tension-type, and cluster headaches. Migraine, the most prevalent, recurrent, and disabling type, is often associated with other medical conditions such as depression, epilepsy, and psoriasis, but little is known about the relationship between autoimmune disease and the risk of migraine. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted from July to November 2022, enrolling 286 participants, including 216 with PsA, 70 with axSpA, and 87 healthy controls. Results: Headache prevalence was significantly higher in the PsA (39.81%) and axSpA (45.71%) patients compared to the healthy controls. The prevalence of migraine without aura was also significantly higher in both the PsA (18.52%) and axSpA (28.57%) groups compared to the healthy controls. Conclusions: These findings underscore the high burden of headache and migraine in PsA and axSpA participants, highlighting the need for improved management and treatment strategies for these patients