Development and external validation study combining existing models and recent data into an up-to-date prediction model for evaluating kidneys from older deceased donors for transplantation

With a rising demand for kidney transplantation, reliable pre-transplant assessment of organ quality becomes top priority. In clinical practice, physicians are regularly in doubt whether suboptimal kidney offers from older donors should be accepted. Here, we externally validate existing prediction models in a European population of older deceased donors, and subsequently developed and externally validated an adverse outcome prediction tool. Recipients of kidney grafts from deceased donors 50 years of age and older were included from the Netherlands Organ Transplant Registry (NOTR) and United States organ transplant registry from 2006-2018. The predicted adverse outcome was a composite of graft failure, death or chronic kidney disease stage 4 plus within one year after transplantation, modelled using logistic regression. Discrimination and calibration were assessed in internal, temporal and external validation. Seven existing models were validated with the same cohorts. The NOTR development cohort contained 2510 patients and 823 events. The temporal validation within NOTR had 837 patients and the external validation used 31987 patients in the United States organ transplant registry. Discrimination of our full adverse outcome model was moderate in external validation (C-statistic 0.63), though somewhat better than discrimination of the seven existing prediction models (average C-statistic 0.57). The model's calibration was highly accurate. Thus, since existing adverse outcome kidney graft survival models performed poorly in a population of older deceased donors, novel models were developed and externally validated, with maximum achievable performance in a population of older deceased kidney donors. These models could assist transplant clinicians in deciding whether to accept a kidney from an older donor

Considerable Variability Among Transplant Nephrologists in Judging Deceased Donor Kidney Offers

Introduction: Transplant clinicians may disagree on whether or not to accept a deceased donor kidney offer. We investigated the interobserver variability between transplant nephrologists regarding organ acceptance and whether the use of a prediction model impacted their decisions.Methods: We developed an observational online survey with 6 real-life cases of deceased donor kidneys offered to a waitlisted recipient. Per case, nephrologists were asked to estimate the risk of adverse outcome and whether they would accept the offer for this patient, or for a patient of their own choice, and how certain they felt. These questions were repeated after revealing the risk of adverse outcome, calculated by a validated prediction model. Results: Sixty Dutch nephrologists completed the survey. The intraclass correlation coefficient of their estimated risk of adverse outcome was poor (0.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.08–0.62). Interobserver agreement of the decision on whether or not to accept the kidney offer was also poor (Fleiss kappa 0.13, 95% CI 0.129–0.130). The acceptance rate before and after providing the outcome of the prediction model was significantly influenced in 2 of 6 cases. Acceptance rates varied considerably among transplant centers. Conclusion: In this study, the estimated risk of adverse outcome and subsequent decision to accept a suboptimal donor kidney varied greatly among transplant nephrologists. The use of a prediction model could influence this decision and may enhance nephrologists’ certainty about their decision.</p

Hypokalaemia and subsequent hyperkalaemia in hospitalized patients

Background. The objective was to study the epidemiology of hypokalaemia [serum potassium concentration (SK) <3.5 mmol/l] in a general hospital population, specifically focusing on how often and why patients develop subsequent hyperkalaemia (SK<5.0 mmol/l). Methods. In a 3-month hospital-wide study we analysed factors contributing to hypokalaemia and subsequent hyperkalaemia. Results. From 1178 patients in whom SKwas measured, 140 patients (12%) with hypokalaemia were identified (SK3.0 ± 0.3 mmol/l). One hundred patients (71%) had hospital-acquired hypokalaemia. Common causes of hypokalaemia included gastrointestinal losses (67%), diuretics (36%) and haematological malignancies (9%). In 104 patients (74%), hypokalaemia was multifactorial. Hypokalaemia frequently coexisted with hyponatraemia (24%) and, when measured, hypomagnesaemia (61%). Twenty-three patients (16%) developed hyperkalaemia (highest SK5.7 ± 0.7 mmol/l) following hypokalaemia. In these patients, potassium suppletion was not more common (70 vs 59%, P = 0.5), but when potassium wa

Human mesenchymal stem cells are susceptible to lysis by CD8+ T cells and NK cells

There is growing interest in the use of mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) to improve the outcome of organ transplantation. The immunogenicity of MSCs is, however, unclear and is important for the efficacy of MSC therapy and for potential sensitization against donor antigens. We investigated the susceptibility of autolo- gous and allogeneic MSCs for lysis by CD8+ T-lymphocytes and NK cells in a kidney transplant setting. MSCs were derived from adipose tissue of human kidney donors and were CD90+, CD105+, CD166+, and HLA class I+. They showed differentiation ability and immunosuppressive capacity. Lysis of MSCs by peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs), FACS-sorted CD8+ T cells, and NK cells was measured by europium release assay. Allogeneic MSCs were susceptible for lysis by cytotoxic CD8+ T cells and NK cells, while autologous MSCs were lysed by NK cells only. NK cell-mediated lysis was inversely correlated with the expression of HLA class I on MSCs. Lysis of autologous MSCs was not dependent on culturing of MSCs in FBS, and MSCs in suspension as well as adherent to plastic were lysed by NK cells. Pretransplant recipient PBMCs did not lyse donor MSCs, but PBMCs isolated 3, 6, and 12 months after transplantation showed increasing lysing ability. After 12 months, CD8+ T-cell-mediated lysis of donor MSCs persisted, indicating there was no evidence for desensitization against donor MSCs. Lysis of MSCs is important to take into account when MSCs are considered for clinical application. Our results suggest that the HLA background of MSCs and timing of MSC administration are important for the efficacy of MSC therapy

Kidney utilization in the Netherlands - do we optimally use our donor organs?

BACKGROUND: To ensure optimal utilization of deceased donor kidneys, it is important to understand the precise reasons why kidneys are discarded. In this study, we aimed to obtain a comprehensive overview of kidney utilization and discard during the entire donation process in the Netherlands. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study we analyzed kidney utilization of 3856 kidneys in the Netherlands between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2020. For every kidney that was not transplanted, we determined the moment of and reason for discard through a unique case-by-case assessment. RESULTS: Kidney discard according to the traditional definition (procured but not transplanted) was 7.8%. However, when kidneys that seemed medically suitable at the beginning of the donation process were also included, many more potential donor kidneys were lost and the total non-utilization was 24.4%. Subjectively presumed impaired organ quality was responsible for 34.2% of all discarded kidneys. Two-thirds of kidneys discarded due to acute kidney injury (AKI), had only AKI stage 1 or 2. CONCLUSION: The classical definition of organ discard underestimates the non-utilization of deceased donor kidneys. Strategies to improve kidney utilization could be a revision of the maximum allowed agonal time in donation after circulatory death, careful consideration in reporting and accepting kidneys from donors with AKI, and a prospectively filled registry of detailed organ discard reasons, including the 'silent' non-utilization before procurement

Advancement of mesenchymal stem cell therapy in solid organ transplantation (MISOT)

There is evolving interest in the use of mesenchymal stem cells (MSC) in solid organ transplantation. Pre-clinical transplantation models show efficacy of MSC in prolonging graft survival and a number of clinical studies are planned or underway. At a recent meeting of the MISOT consortium (MSC In Solid Organ Transplantation) the advances of these studies were evaluated and mechanisms underlying the potential effects of MSC discussed. Continued discussion is required for definition of safety and eventually efficacy endpoints for MSC therapy in solid organ transplantation

Advancement of mesenchymal stem cell therapy in solid organ transplantation (MISOT)

There is evolving interest in the use of mesenchymal stem cells (MSC) in solid organ transplantation. Pre-clinical transplantation models show efficacy of MSC in prolonging graft survival and a number of clinical studies are planned or underway. At a recent meeting of the MISOT consortium (MSC In Solid Organ Transplantation) the advances of these studies were evaluated and mechanisms underlying the potential effects of MSC discussed. Continued discussion is required for definition of safety and eventually efficacy endpoints for MSC therapy in solid organ transplantation. © 2010 by Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.SCOPUS: sh.jinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishe