Volatility in International Capital Movements

Conventional wisdom is that some capital flows are inherently more volatile than others. However, our investigation of the statistical properties of these flows shows that no regular relationships exist to suggest that the particular composition of capital flows can help to explain the overall stability of the external accounts. Instead, capital seems to come and go in different forms with few reliable patterns. We show that while industrialised economies have experienced a trend rise in the volatility of individual components in the capital account, this variability is largely offsetting. Such offsetting relationships appear less prevalent in emerging economies.capital flows; volatility; financial globalisation

LGBTI+ people living in International Protection Accommodation Services (IPAS) accommodation:Best practices & lived experiences

The Department of Children, Equality, Disability, Integration and Youth commissioned this report to develop recommendations in order to improve the support of international protection applicants who are members of the LGBTI+ community. The Department commissioned LGBT Ireland to undertake this report. The project was managed by Collette O'Regan and Mariem Ben Chattouh of LGBT Ireland and the research team consists of Dr Chris Noone, Dr Noemi Magugliani and Rory Sugrue.The report is an important input into the Department's objective of introducing measures to ensure that LGBTI+ people in the asylum process are supported and treated sensitively

A rapid response to the COVID-19 outbreak: the meta-evidence project

Early in the pandemic, as scientific reports and preliminary research on both clinical and public health aspectsof COVID-19 were rapidly generated, we recognised the need for a dynamic, interactive tool that could captureand collate emerging evidence sources to inform research and decision-making efforts. In particular, we observed that numerous similar research efforts across the globe were happening in parallel - prompting an urgent need to connect research teams with each other and maximize research efficiency. Our colleagues in China provided daily translations of emerging evidence to aid networking between research groups working across the world. Here we describe how the meta-evidence project met daily and ongoing challenges and what was learned as a result. We describe the benefit of finding ways to instead work with better resourced teams and promote collective and open efforts to synthesise the evidence, which in the end, outweighed the considerable costs

Studying Behaviour Change Mechanisms under Complexity

Understanding the mechanisms underlying the effects of behaviour change interventions is vital for accumulating valid scientific evidence, and useful to informing practice and policy-making across multiple domains. Traditional approaches to such evaluations have applied study designs and statistical models, which implicitly assume that change is linear, constant and caused by independent influences on behaviour (such as behaviour change techniques). This article illustrates limitations of these standard tools, and considers the benefits of adopting a complex adaptive systems approach to behaviour change research. It (1) outlines the complexity of behaviours and behaviour change interventions; (2) introduces readers to some key features of complex systems and how these relate to human behaviour change; and (3) provides suggestions for how researchers can better account for implications of complexity in analysing change mechanisms. We focus on three common features of complex systems (i.e., interconnectedness, non-ergodicity and non-linearity), and introduce Recurrence Analysis, a method for non-linear time series analysis which is able to quantify complex dynamics. The supplemental website provides exemplifying code and data for practical analysis applications. The complex adaptive systems approach can complement traditional investigations by opening up novel avenues for understanding and theorising about the dynamics of behaviour change.Peer reviewe

LGBTI+ people living in International Protection Accommodation Services (IPAS) accommodation: Best practices & lived experiences

The Department of Children, Equality, Disability, Integration and Youth commissioned this report to develop recommendations in order to improve the support of international protection applicants who are members of the LGBTI+ community. The Department commissioned LGBT Ireland to undertake this report. The project was managed by Collette O'Regan and Mariem Ben Chattouh of LGBT Ireland and the research team consists of Dr Chris Noone, Dr Noemi Magugliani and Rory Sugrue. The report is an important input into the Department's objective of introducing measures to ensure that LGBTI+ people in the asylum process are supported and treated sensitively

The dilemma of diabetes in chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy

AbstractPurposeWe reviewed the literature on chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP) in diabetes mellitus (DM) and explored real-world data on the prevalence and treatment of CIDP within DM.MethodsA literature search of Scopus was performed for the terms chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy, chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy, CIDP, and prevalence, incidence, epidemiology, or diabetes; peripheral neuropathy and prevalence or diabetes. We also searched through the reference lists of the resulting publications for additional findings that may have been missed. Additional publications on guidelines for the diagnosis of CIDP and diabetic neuropathy were also included. A descriptive analysis of the 2009–2013 PharMetrics Plus™ Database was performed to estimate the prevalence and treatment of CIDP within the DM population.ResultsThere is an increasing body of literature suggesting that the prevalence of CIDP tends to be higher in diabetic patients, especially in those of older age. Our real-world data seem to support published findings from the literature. For the total cohort (N=101,321,694), the percent prevalence of CIDP (n=8,173) was 0.008%; DM (n=4,026,740) was 4%. The percent prevalence of CIDP without DM (n=5,986) was 0.006%; CIDP with DM (n=2,187) was 9-fold higher at 0.054%. For patients >50years old, there was a significantly higher percentage of CIDP with DM than CIDP without DM. Approximately 50% of CIDP patients were treated with IVIg, 23%–24% with steroids, 1%–2% with PE, and 20%–23% received no treatment.ConclusionsIn addition to the growing evidence of higher prevalence of CIDP in DM, our findings reinforce the need for heightened awareness of the association of CIDP and DM

Algorithmic governance: Developing a research agenda through the power of collective intelligence

We are living in an algorithmic age where mathematics and computer science are coming together in powerful new ways to influence, shape and guide our behaviour and the governance of our societies. As these algorithmic governance structures proliferate, it is vital that we ensure their effectiveness and legitimacy. That is, we need to ensure that they are an effective means for achieving a legitimate policy goal that are also procedurally fair, open and unbiased. But how can we ensure that algorithmic governance structures are both? This article shares the results of a collective intelligence workshop that addressed exactly this question. The workshop brought together a multidisciplinary group of scholars to consider (a) barriers to legitimate and effective algorithmic governance and (b) the research methods needed to address the nature and impact of specific barriers. An interactive management workshop technique was used to harness the collective intelligence of this multidisciplinary group. This method enabled participants to produce a framework and research agenda for those who are concerned about algorithmic governance. We outline this research agenda below, providing a detailed map of key research themes, questions and methods that our workshop felt ought to be pursued. This builds upon existing work on research agendas for critical algorithm studies in a unique way through the method of collective intelligence

The Grizzly, February 15, 2001

Deadly Earthquake Affects Students a World Away • First Annual Freshman Dance a Smashing Success • Borough Council Votes to Remove Local Dam • Pledging at Ursinus now Known as New Member Education • Is UC Housing in Danger of Overpopulation? • Opinions: No Spot for You; Should the Government Give Money to Faith-based Charities?; Students Should Choose Socks Wisely • Men\u27s Basketball Hopes to Finish Atop East Conference • Indoor Track Positive About Season • Coach Leads Gymnastics to big win • Wrestling Squad Finds Success on the mat in Weekend Tri-match • Women\u27s Swimming Falls in Battle with Bryn Mawr • Lady Bears\u27 Hussey Sets School Record in big win Over Conference Foe • Staying Healthy with Help from Wismerhttps://digitalcommons.ursinus.edu/grizzlynews/1483/thumbnail.jp

The Grizzly, October 19, 1999

Homecoming 1999 Hit Ursinus This Past Weekend • Handicap Accessibility On Ursinus College Campus • Adding to the Arts Program? • Reimert: A Suite Housing Experience • Baked to Perfection at Brew Moon • Opinion: Don\u27t They Have Anything Better to do?; Letters to the Editors; Guns Don\u27t Kill People, People Kill People • Modernized Version of Antigone High in Energy, Mediocre in Quality • Bears Fight off Gettysburg Bullets Gridiron • Hockey Battles with Holy Cross and Davis & Elkins; A Close Call and a Win • Two Near Misses for Men\u27s Soccer • Bishop Takes Top Honors at Moravianhttps://digitalcommons.ursinus.edu/grizzlynews/1449/thumbnail.jp

Potential alcohol use disorder among MSM in Ireland - Findings from the European MSM internet survey (EMIS 2017)

Background Alcohol consumption is a major public health concern in Ireland. Alcohol use disorder (AUD) disproportionately affects men who have sex with men (MSM). However, little is known about the prevalence of AUD in this group in Ireland specifically, and the characteristics of MSM who may struggle with this. Methods The European MSM Internet Survey 2017 was an online, self-completed, anonymous questionnaire among MSM in Ireland. Standardised questions were used to explore a variety of topics. The validated CAGE-4 questionnaire was used to screen for potential AUD, defined as a CAGE-4 score of ≥2 out of 4. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with potential AUD. Results In total, 1793 MSM met inclusion criteria. 31 % screened positive for AUD. We observed higher odds of possible AUD among MSM who were bisexual (vs. gay/homosexual) (aOR 1.48 95 %CI 1.01-2.18), native to Ireland (vs. non-native) (aOR 1.49 95 %CI 1.12-1.96), unemployed (vs. employed) (aOR 1.80 95 %CI 1.02-3.16), had used illicit drugs in the previous year (vs. none) (cannabis only, aOR 1.74 95 %CI 1.14-2.63) (other illicit drugs, aOR 2.28 95 %CI 1.67-3.09), reported anxiety/depression (vs. none) (aOR 1.73 95 %CI 1.12-2.66), and MSM who experienced homophobic abuse (vs. never) (aOR 1.55 95 %CI 1.09-2.22). Student MSM were less likely to screen positive for AUD (vs. employed) (aOR 0.65 95 %CI 0.46-0.93). Conclusions The prevalence of AUD appears to be higher in the MSM population compared to the general male population in Ireland. Targeted interventions may be warranted to reduce the burden of AUD among MSM