Riding the Yield Curve: Diversification of Strategies

Riding the yield curve, the fixed-income strategy of purchasing a longer-dated security and selling before maturity, has long been a popular means to achieve excess returns compared to buying-and-holding, despite its implicit violations of market efficiency and the pure expectations hypothesis of the term structure. This paper looks at the historic excess returns of different strategies across three countries and proposes several statistical and macro-based trading rules which seem to enhance returns even more. While riding based on the Taylor Rule works well even for longer investment horizons, our empirical results indicate that, using expectations implied by Fed funds futures, excess returns can only be increased over short horizons. Furthermore, we demonstrate that duration-neutral strategies are superior to standard riding on a risk- adjusted basis. Overall, our evidence stands in contrast to the pure expectations hypothesis and points to the existence of risk premia which may be exploited consistently.Term Structure, Interest Rates, Market Efficiency, Taylor Rule

Essays in economic geography and finance

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics, 1995.Includes bibliographical references (p. 121-126).by Ludwig Boris Chincarini.Ph.D

Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management: An Active Approach to Portfolio Construction and Management

Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management is a comprehensive guide to the entire process of constructing and managing a high-yield quantitative equity portfolio. This detailed handbook begins with the basic principles of quantitative active management and then clearly outlines how to build an equity portfolio using those powerful concepts. Financial experts Ludwig Chincarini and Daehwan Kim provide clear explanations of topics ranging from basic models, factors and factor choice, and stock screening and ranking…to fundamental factor models, economic factor models, and forecasting factor premiums and exposures. Readers will also find step-by-step coverage of portfolio weights… rebalancing and transaction costs…tax management…leverage…market neutral…Bayesian _…performance measurement and attribution…the back testing process…and portfolio performance. Filled with proven investment strategies and tools for developing new ones, Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management features: A complete, easy-to-apply methodology for creating an equity portfolio that maximizes returns and minimizes risks The latest techniques for building optimization into a professionally managed portfolio An accompanying CD with a wide range of practical exercises and solutions using actual historical stock data An excellent melding of financial theory with real-world practice A wealth of down-to-earth financial examples and case studies Each chapter of this all-in-one portfolio management resource contains an appendix with valuable figures, tables, equations, mathematical solutions, and formulas. In addition, the book as a whole has appendices covering a brief history of financial theory, fundamental models of stock returns, a basic review of mathematical and statistical concepts, an entertaining explanation and quantitative approach to the casino game of craps, and other on-target supplemental materials. An essential reference for professional money managers and students taking advanced investment courses, Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management offers a full array of methods for effectively developing high-performance equity portfolios that deliver lucrative returns for clients.https://repository.usfca.edu/read_books/1051/thumbnail.jp