1 research outputs found
Medium-Term Load Forecasting Of Covenant University Using The Regression Analysis Methods
Electric load forecasting is principal to the economic and efficient provision of electric power to meet various
load demands for a specified period of time. The focus of this paper is on the medium-term load forecast of
Covenant University, a Nigerian tertiary educational institution, using the methods of regression analysis. The
hourly load information collected from the University’s electric power substation is employed as the sample data
for the forecast. Three models based on the linear, compound-growth, and cubic methods of regression analysis
are developed, and the load forecast results obtained from these models are compared using the mean absolute
percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE) performance metrics. It is observed that, among
these three models, the linear model has the best error margin: 0.5792 and 41.34 for MAPE and RMSE,
respectively