On the changing seasonal cycles and trends of ozone at Mace Head, Ireland

A seasonal-trend decomposition technique based on a locally-weighted regression smoothing (Loess) approach has been used to decompose monthly ozone concentrations at Mace Head (Ireland) into trend, seasonal and irregular components. The trend component shows a steady increase from 1990–2004, which is confirmed by statistical testing which shows that ozone concentrations at Mace Head have increased at the p=0.06 level by 0.18±0.04 ppb yr^−1. By considering different air mass origins using a trajectory analysis, it has been possible to separate air masses into 'polluted' and 'unpolluted' origins. The seasonal-trend decomposition technique confirms the different seasonal cycles of these air mass origins with unpolluted air mass maxima in April and polluted air mass maxima in July/August. A detailed consideration of the seasonal component reveals different behaviour depending on the air mass origin. For baseline unpolluted air arriving at Mace Head there has been a gradual increase in the seasonal amplitude, driven by a declining summertime component. The amplitude of the seasonal component of baseline air is controlled by a maximum in April and a minimum in July. For polluted air mass trajectories, there was a substantial reduction in the amplitude of the seasonal component from 1990–1997. However, post-1997 results indicate that the seasonal amplitude in polluted air masses arriving at Mace Head is increasing. Furthermore, there has been a shift in the months controlling the size of the seasonal amplitude in polluted air from a maximum in May and minimum in January in 1990 to a maximum in April and a minimum in July by 2001. This finding suggests that there has been a steadily decreasing influence of polluted air masses arriving from Europe. These air masses have therefore increasingly taken on the attributes of baseline air

Modelling trends in OH radical concentrations using generalized additive models

During the TORCH campaign a zero dimensional box model based on the Master Chemical Mechanism was used to model concentrations of OH radicals. The model provided a close overall fit to measured concentrations but with some significant deviations. In this research, an approach was established for applying Generalized Additive Models (GAM) to atmospheric concentration data. Two GAM models were fitted to OH radical concentrations using TORCH data, the first using measured OH data and the second using MCM model results. GAM models with five smooth functions provided a close fit to the data with 78% of the deviance explained for measured OH and 83% for modelled OH. The GAM model for measured OH produced substantially better predictions of OH concentrations than the original MCM model results. The diurnal profile of OH concentration was reproduced and the predicted mean diurnal OH concentration was only 0.2% less than the measured concentration compared to 16.3% over-estimation by the MCM model. Photolysis reactions were identified as most important in explaining concentrations of OH. The GAM models combined both primary and secondary pollutants and also anthropogenic and biogenic species to explain changes in OH concentrations. Differences identified in the dependencies of modelled and measured OH concentrations, particularly for aromatic and biogenic species, may help to understand why the MCM model predictions sometimes disagree with measurements of atmospheric species

Comment on Photothermal radiometry parametric identifiability theory for reliable and unique nondestructive coating thickness and thermophysical measurements, J. Appl. Phys. 121(9), 095101 (2017)

A recent paper [X. Guo, A. Mandelis, J. Tolev and K. Tang, J. Appl. Phys., 121, 095101 (2017)] intends to demonstrate that from the photothermal radiometry signal obtained on a coated opaque sample in 1D transfer, one should be able to identify separately the following three parameters of the coating: thermal diffusivity, thermal conductivity and thickness. In this comment, it is shown that the three parameters are correlated in the considered experimental arrangement, the identifiability criterion is in error and the thickness inferred therefrom is not trustable.Comment: 3 page

Quantum optomechanics of a multimode system coupled via photothermal and radiation pressure force

We provide a full quantum description of the optomechanical system formed by a Fabry-Perot cavity with a movable micro-mechanical mirror whose center-of-mass and internal elastic modes are coupled to the driven cavity mode by both radiation pressure and photothermal force. Adopting a quantum Langevin description, we investigate simultaneous cooling of the micromirror elastic and center-of-mass modes, and also the entanglement properties of the optomechanical multipartite system in its steady state.Comment: 11 pages, 7 figure

THE IMPORTANCE OF DIRECTLY EMITTED NITROGEN DIOXIDE FROM ROAD VEHICLES TO URBAN AIR QUALITY IN THE UK

ABSTRACT Recent analyses of comprehensive ambient air pollution measurements in London have quantified the proportion of nitrogen oxides (NO X ) in vehicle exhausts that is emitted as nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ). The analyses show that a greater proportion of NO X is emitted directly as NO 2 than previously thought. For the 43 monitoring sites considered, the mean primary NO 2 volume fraction was calculated to be 11.2 %. Emissions of primary NO 2 of this magnitude appear to explain approximately 21 % of measured NO 2 concentrations on average. However, at many congested locations with a high proportion of diesel vehicles, primary NO 2 emissions are thought to explain over 30 % of observed concentrations. For high percentile values of NO 2 , the primary NO 2 contribution can dominate ambient concentrations. These results have implications for the management of air quality in urban areas since it is likely that directly emitted NO 2 would respond differently to NO X control measures compared with that chemically produced in the atmosphere. In particular, the source apportionment of NO 2 concentrations can be very different to NO X close to roads in London. The results also have implications for dispersion modelling studies of NO 2 , where it is generally assumed that a fixed 5.0 % of the NO X emitted by vehicles is in the form of NO 2 . The implications of the increased use of particle traps on the London bus fleet that produce NO 2 to assist in the oxidation of particles is also assessed, together with the potential effects of the London Congestion Charging Scheme

Self-consistent theory of reversible ligand binding to a spherical cell

In this article, we study the kinetics of reversible ligand binding to receptors on a spherical cell surface using a self-consistent stochastic theory. Binding, dissociation, diffusion and rebinding of ligands are incorporated into the theory in a systematic manner. We derive explicitly the time evolution of the ligand-bound receptor fraction p(t) in various regimes . Contrary to the commonly accepted view, we find that the well-known Berg-Purcell scaling for the association rate is modified as a function of time. Specifically, the effective on-rate changes non-monotonically as a function of time and equals the intrinsic rate at very early as well as late times, while being approximately equal to the Berg-Purcell value at intermediate times. The effective dissociation rate, as it appears in the binding curve or measured in a dissociation experiment, is strongly modified by rebinding events and assumes the Berg-Purcell value except at very late times, where the decay is algebraic and not exponential. In equilibrium, the ligand concentration everywhere in the solution is the same and equals its spatial mean, thus ensuring that there is no depletion in the vicinity of the cell. Implications of our results for binding experiments and numerical simulations of ligand-receptor systems are also discussed.Comment: 23 pages with 4 figure

Constraining uncertainty in aerosol direct forcing

The uncertainty in present-day anthropogenic forcing is dominated by uncertainty in the strength of the contribution from aerosol. Much of the uncertainty in the direct aerosol forcing can be attributed to uncertainty in the anthropogenic fraction of aerosol in the present-day atmosphere, due to a lack of historical observations. Here we present a robust relationship between total present-day aerosol optical depth and the anthropogenic contribution across three multi-model ensembles and a large single-model perturbed parameter ensemble. Using observations of aerosol optical depth, we determine a reduced likely range of the anthropogenic component and hence a reduced uncertainty in the direct forcing of aerosol

Spatially resolved flux measurements of NOx from London suggest significantly higher emissions than predicted by inventories

To date, direct validation of city-wide emissions inventories for air pollutants has been difficult or impossible. However, recent technological innovations now allow direct measurement of pollutant fluxes from cities, for comparison with emissions inventories, which are themselves commonly used for prediction of current and future air quality and to help guide abatement strategies. Fluxes of NOx were measured using the eddy-covariance technique from an aircraft flying at low altitude over London. The highest fluxes were observed over central London, with lower fluxes measured in suburban areas. A footprint model was used to estimate the spatial area from which the measured emissions occurred. This allowed comparison of the flux measurements to the UK's National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory (NAEI) for NOx, with scaling factors used to account for the actual time of day, day of week and month of year of the measurement. The comparison suggests significant underestimation of NOx emissions in London by the NAEI, mainly due to its under-representation of real world road traffic emissions. A comparison was also carried out with an enhanced version of the inventory using real world driving emission factors and road measurement data taken from the London Atmospheric Emissions Inventory (LAEI). The measurement to inventory agreement was substantially improved using the enhanced version, showing the importance of fully accounting for road traffic, which is the dominant NOx emission source in London. In central London there was still an underestimation by the inventory of 30-40% compared with flux measurements, suggesting significant improvements are still required in the NOx emissions inventory

Uniform approximation for diffractive contributions to the trace formula in billiard systems

We derive contributions to the trace formula for the spectral density accounting for the role of diffractive orbits in two-dimensional billiard systems with corners. This is achieved by using the exact Sommerfeld solution for the Green function of a wedge. We obtain a uniformly valid formula which interpolates between formerly separate approaches (the geometrical theory of diffraction and Gutzwiller's trace formula). It yields excellent numerical agreement with exact quantum results, also in cases where other methods fail.Comment: LaTeX, 41 pages including 12 PostScript figures, submitted to Phys. Rev.