Automating global landslide detection with heterogeneous ensemble deep-learning classification

With changing climatic conditions, we are already seeing an increase in extreme weather events and their secondary consequences, including landslides. Landslides threaten infrastructure, including roads, railways, buildings, and human life. Hazard-based spatial planning and early warning systems are cost-effective strategies to reduce the risk to society from landslides. However, these both rely on data from previous landslide events, which is often scarce. Many deep learning (DL) models have recently been applied for landside mapping using medium- to high-resolution satellite images as input. However, they often suffer from sensitivity problems, overfitting, and low mapping accuracy. This study addresses some of these limitations by using a diverse global landslide dataset, using different segmentation models, such as Unet, Linknet, PSP-Net, PAN, and DeepLab and based on their performances, building an ensemble model. The ensemble model achieved the highest F1-score (0.69) when combining both Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 bands, with the highest average improvement of 6.87 % when the ensemble size was 20. On the other hand, Sentinel-2 bands only performed very well, with an F1 score of 0.61 when the ensemble size is 20 with an improvement of 14.59 % when the ensemble size is 20. This result shows considerable potential in building a robust and reliable monitoring system based on changes in vegetation index dNDVI only.Comment: Author 1 and Author 2 contributed equally to this wor

NAM-NMM Temperature Downscaling Using Personal Weather Stations to Study Urban Heat Hazards

Rising temperatures worldwide pose an existential threat to people, properties, and the environment. Urban areas are particularly vulnerable to temperature increases due to the heat island effect, which amplifies local heating. Throughout the world, several megacities experience summer temperatures that stress human survival. Generating very high-resolution temperature forecasts is a fundamental problem to mitigate the effects of urban warming. This paper uses the Analog Ensemble technique to downscale existing temperature forecast from a low resolution to a much higher resolution using private weather stations. A new downscaling approach, based on the reuse of the Analog Ensemble (AnEn) indices, resulted by the combination of days and Forecast Lead Time (FLT)s, is proposed. Specifically, temperature forecasts from the NAM-NMM Numerical Weather Prediction model at 12 km are downscaled using 83 Private Weather Stations data over Manhattan, New York City, New York. Forecasts for 84 h are generated, hourly for the first 36 h, and every three hours thereafter. The results are dense forecasts that capture the spatial variability of ambient conditions. The uncertainty associated with using non-vetted data is addressed

Using a GIS to support the spatial reorganization of outpatient care services delivery in Italy

Studying and measuring accessibility to care services has become a major concern for health care management, particularly since the global financial collapse. This study focuses on Tuscany, an Italian region, which is re-organizing its inpatient and outpatient systems in line with new government regulations. The principal aim of the paper is to illustrate the application of GIS methods with real-world scenarios to provide support to evidence-based planning and resource allocation in healthcare

Proximity and waiting times in choice models for outpatient cardiological visits in Italy.

We apply mixed logit regression to investigate patients' choice of non-emergency outpatient cardiovascular specialists in Tuscany, Italy. We focused on the effects of travel time and waiting time. Results reveal that patients prefer clinics nearby and with shorter waiting times. Differences in patient choice depend on age and socioeconomic conditions, thus confirming equity concerns in the access of non-acute services. Our results could be used to optimize the allocation of resources, reduce inequities and increase the efficiency and responsiveness of outpatient systems considering patient preferences

Robust Variable Selection with Optimality Guarantees for High-Dimensional Logistic Regression

High-dimensional classification studies have become widespread across various domains. The large dimensionality, coupled with the possible presence of data contamination, motivates the use of robust, sparse estimation methods to improve model interpretability and ensure the majority of observations agree with the underlying parametric model. In this study, we propose a robust and sparse estimator for logistic regression models, which simultaneously tackles the presence of outliers and/or irrelevant features. Specifically, we propose the use of L0-constraints and mixed-integer conic programming techniques to solve the underlying double combinatorial problem in a framework that allows one to pursue optimality guarantees. We use our proposal to investigate the main drivers of honey bee (Apis mellifera) loss through the annual winter loss survey data collected by the Pennsylvania State Beekeepers Association. Previous studies mainly focused on predictive performance, however our approach produces a more interpretable classification model and provides evidence for several outlying observations within the survey data. We compare our proposal with existing heuristic methods and non-robust procedures, demonstrating its effectiveness. In addition to the application to honey bee loss, we present a simulation study where our proposal outperforms other methods across most performance measures and settings

Where are the outcrops? Automatic delineation of bedrock from sediments using Deep-Learning techniques

The delineating of bedrock from sediment is one of the most important phases in the fundamental process of regional bedrock identification and mapping, and it is usually manually performed using high-resolution optical remote-sensing images or Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data. This task, although straightforward, is time consuming and requires extensive and specialized labor. We contribute to this line of research by proposing an automated approach that uses cloud computing, deep learning, fully convolutional neural networks, and a U-Net model applied in Google Collaboratory (Colab). Specifically, we tested this method on a site in southwestern Norway using both a set of explanatory variables generated from a 10 m resolution digital elevation model (DEM) and, for comparison, cloud-based Landsat 8 data. Results show an automatic delineation performance measured by an F1 score between 77% and 84% for DEM terrain derivatives against a manually-mapped ground truth. Overall, our automated bedrock identification model reveals very promising results within its constraints

Honey bee colony loss linked to parasites, pesticides and extreme weather across the United States

Abstract Honey bee (Apis mellifera) colony loss is a widespread phenomenon with important economic and biological implications, whose drivers are still an open matter of investigation. We contribute to this line of research through a large-scale, multi-variable study combining multiple publicly accessible data sources. Specifically, we analyzed quarterly data covering the contiguous United States for the years 2015-2021, and combined open data on honey bee colony status and stressors, weather data, and land use. The different spatio-temporal resolutions of these data are addressed through an up-scaling approach that generates additional statistical features which capture more complex distributional characteristics and significantly improve modeling performance. Treating this expanded feature set with state-of-the-art feature selection methods, we obtained findings that, nation-wide, are in line with the current knowledge on the aggravating roles of Varroa destructor and pesticides in colony loss. Moreover, we found that extreme temperature and precipitation events, even when controlling for other factors, significantly impact colony loss. Overall, our results reveal the complexity of biotic and abiotic factors affecting managed honey bee colonies across the United States