Resurvey of site stability quadrilaterals, Otay Mountain and Quincy, California

Trilateration quadrilaterals established across two faults near the San Andreas Fault Experiment laser/satellite ranging sites were resurveyed after four years. No evidence of significant tectonic motion was found

Surface deformation and elasticity studies in the Virgin Islands

The report consists of four sections. The first section describes tilt and leveling measurements on Anegada, the most northerly of the British Virgin Islands; the second section contains a discussion of sea-level measurements that were initiated in the region and which played a significant role in the development of a network of sea-level monitors now telemetered via satellite from the Alaskan Shumagin Islands. The third part of the report is a brief description of surface deformation measurements in Iceland using equipment and techniques developed by the subject grant. The final part of the report describes the predicted effects of block surface fragmentation in tectonic areas on the measurement of tilt and strain

Theory of time-dependent rupture in the Earth

Fracture mechanics is used to develop a theory of earthquake mechanism which includes the phenomenon of subcritical crack growth. The following phenomena are predicted: slow earthquakes, multiple events, delayed multiple events (doublets), postseismic rupture growth and afterslip, foreshocks, and aftershocks. The theory predicts a nucleation stage prior to an earthquake, and suggests a physical mechanism by which one earthquake may 'trigger' another

Strain buildup and release, earthquake prediction and selection of VLB sites for the margins of the North Pacific

Projects studying different aspects of crustal deformation are discussed. The rifting process at the plate boundary in northern Iceland was investigated using combined seismic, tilt, and displacement measurements. Stresses acting on the Alpine fault, New Zealand, were modeled based on observations of regional variation in metamorphism and argon loss. The relationship between the stress pattern shown by intraplate seismicity and possible stresses on plates arising from litohspheric motion over the asthenosphere was investigated. Small earthquakes in Southern California were studied to determine if subregions of uniform strain release exist and if interaction occurs between faults

Metamorphism, argon depletion, heat flow and stress on the Alpine fault

The Alpine fault of New Zealand is a major continental transform fault which was uplifted on its southeast side 4 to 11 km within the last 5 m.y. This uplift has exposed the Haast schists, which were metamorphosed from the adjacent Torlesse graywackes. The Haast schists increase in metamorphic grade from prehnite-pumpellyite facies 9-12 km from the fault through the chlorite and biotite zones of the greenschist facies to the garnet-oligoclase zone amphibolite facies within 4 km of the fault. These metamorphic zone boundaries are subparallel to the fault for 350 km along the strike. The K-Ar and Rb-Sr ages of the schists increase with distance from the fault: from 4 m.y. within 3 km of the fault to approximately 110 m.y. 20 km from the fault. Field relations show that the source of heat that produced the argon depletion aureole was the fault itself

On the stress dependence of the earthquake b value

Laboratory experiments have shown that the b value in the size distribution of acoustic emission events decreases linearly with differential stress. There have been a number of observations that indicate that this relation may also hold for earthquakes. Here using a simple frictional strength model for stresses in the continental lithosphere combined with earthquake b values measured as a function of depth in a wide variety of tectonic regions, we verify and calibrate that relation, finding b = 1.23 ± 0.06 − (0.0012 ± 0.0003)(σ1 − σ3), where the stress difference (σ1 − σ3) is in megapascal. For subduction zones, we find that b value correlates linearly with the slab pull force and with the net reduction of plate interface normal force, both of which also indicate a negative linear relation between b value and differential stress

Microfractures, aftershocks, and seismicity

Laboratory investigation of microfracturing in brittle rock has revealed that microfracturing events can be detected after brittle fracture of rock in compression, provided the specimen remains intact. If the sample is isolated after fracture, microfracturing activity decays hyperbolically in a manner similar to typical earthquake aftershock sequences. If reloaded, the sequence is disturbed and a cumulative aftershock pattern develops which is similar to that described by Benioff as strain release due to shear creep. These two types of sequences are discussed with respect to a Markovian model of time dependent fracture in an inhomogeneous brittle medium. This model is then expanded to apply to earthquake aftershock sequences. According to this theory aftershocks are produced by creep rupture due to stress corrosion in the regions of stress concentration following the main shock. The conclusions from laboratory investigations of microfracturing are summarized with respect to the implications regarding the sequence of earthquakes

On the Predictability of Talk Attendance at Academic Conferences

This paper focuses on the prediction of real-world talk attendances at academic conferences with respect to different influence factors. We study the predictability of talk attendances using real-world tracked face-to-face contacts. Furthermore, we investigate and discuss the predictive power of user interests extracted from the users' previous publications. We apply Hybrid Rooted PageRank, a state-of-the-art unsupervised machine learning method that combines information from different sources. Using this method, we analyze and discuss the predictive power of contact and interest networks separately and in combination. We find that contact and similarity networks achieve comparable results, and that combinations of different networks can only to a limited extend help to improve the prediction quality. For our experiments, we analyze the predictability of talk attendance at the ACM Conference on Hypertext and Hypermedia 2011 collected using the conference management system Conferator

Lysophosphatidylcholine activates caspase-1 in microglia via a novel pathway involving two inflammasomes.

Inflammasomes regulate microglial caspase-1 activation and subsequent neuroinflammatory processes in brain pathology. In the present study, we have identified inflammasomes causing caspase-1 activation following stimulation of microglia with lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC), a proinflammatory lipid generated under pathological conditions in the brain. LPC-induced caspase-1 activation in microglia was found to depend on LPS prestimulation, inflammasome NLRP3 and adaptor molecule ASC. Furthermore, knockdown of inflammasome NLRC4 inhibited LPC-stimulated caspase-1 activity in microglia, suggesting the requirement of two inflammasomes for optimal caspase-1 activity

Periodicity and criticality in the Olami-Feder-Christensen model of earthquakes

Characteristic versus critical features of earthquakes are studied on the basis of the Olami-Feder-Christensen model. It is found that the local recurrence-time distribution exhibits a sharp $\delta$-function-like peak corresponding to rhythmic recurrence of events with a fixed ``period'' uniquely determined by the transmission parameter of the model, together with a power-law-like tail corresponding to scale-free recurrence of events. The model exhibits phenomena closely resembling the asperity known in seismology