Cost-effectiveness of procalcitonin for detection of serious bacterial infections in children presenting with fever without source

Introduction Procalcitonin (PCT) offers better specificity than C-reactive protein (CRP) to detect SBI. However, their cost limited their use and routine application. The objective of this work is to determine the cost-effectiveness of PCT against CPR or Rochester scale in infants between 1 and 3 months from the perspective of the third payer in Colombia. Methods A Monte Carlo simulation was performed with a hypothetical cohort of 10,000 patients with fever without focus (FWS) between 1 to 3 months, to estimate the number of cases correctly diagnosed for each test and the associated costs with each test. Results The test with the highest number of correctly diagnosed cases was PCT 79%, followed by C-reactive protein 75%, and the Rochester scale 68%. The test with the lowest cost per patient was PCT $645 (95$646-US$645) followed by C-reactive protein U$ 653 (95% CI US$655-$645) and Rochester scale US$804 (95$807-US$804). This position of dominance of PCT eliminated the need to calculate an incremental cost effectiveness ratio. Conclusions PCT is the most cost-effective strategy for the detection of IBS in infants with FWS. These results should be interpreted within the clinical context of the patient and not as a single method for therapeutic decision-making

Impact of the updating of clinical guidelines for RSV bronchiolitis on the use of diagnostic testing and medications in tertiary hospitals in Colombia

Introduction: the incidence of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) infection and their variability in the clinical management, make this disease a candidate for monitoring adequate use of resources. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of the updating of clinical guidelines for RSV bronchiolitis on the use of diagnostic testing and medications in tertiary hospitals in Colombia. Methods: we performed a cross-sectional study, evaluating the frequencies of drug prescription and medical tests, before (January-December 2016) and after (January to December 2019) of updating and dissemination of a new protocol for the treatment of RSV bronchiolitis in two tertiary hospitals in Colombia. Results: a total of 108 patients with RSV bronchiolitis were included. The demographic characteristics and clinical manifestations were similar in both groups. The length of hospital stays was similar in both groups. We did not find statistically significant differences in the frequency of medical tests. There was a decrease in the use of salbutamol (67.3% pre-protocol vs 51.8% post-protocol; P < .01). There were also significant reductions in the use of nebulized hypertonic saline solution (91.6% vs 82.6% P = 0.004). Conclusion: our results demonstrate that the updating of clinical guidelines for RSV bronchiolitis was effective, as it achieved decreases in the use of bronchodilators and nebulized hypertonic saline solution. It is necessary to continue developing new strategies targeted to increase adherence to guidelines and evaluate the impact on the use of resources

Cost-utility of as-needed ICS-formoterol versus to maintenance ICS in mild to moderate persistent asthma

Background: Recent asthma guidelines, such as the Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA), recommend in adult patients as-needed inhaled corticosteroids (ICS)-formoterol as an alternative to maintenance ICS in mild to moderate persistent asthma. The introduction of these recommendations concerns whether using as-needed budesonide-formoterol would be more cost-effective than to maintenance ICS. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of as-needed combination low-dose budesonide-formoterol compared to short-acting β2-agonist (SABA) reliever therapy in patients with mild asthma. Methods: A probabilistic Markov model was created to estimate the cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of patients with mild asthma in Colombia. Total costs and QALYs of low-dose budesonide-formoterol compared to short-acting β2-agonist (SABA) were calculated over a lifetime horizon. Multiple sensitivity analyses were conducted. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated at a willingness-to-pay value of USD19,000. Results: The model suggests a potential gain of 0.37 QALYs and per patient per year on as-needed ICS-formoterol and a reduction in the discounted cost per person-year, of as-needed ICS-formoterol to maintenance ICS, of USD40. This position of dominance of as-needed ICS-formoterol negates the need to calculate an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. In the deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis, our base‐case results were robust to variations in all assumptions and parameters. Conclusion: Low-dose budesonide-formoterol as a reliever was cost-effective when added to usual care in patients with mild asthma. Our study provides evidence that should be used by decision-makers to improve clinical practice guidelines and should be replicated to validate their results in other middle-income countries

A predictive model of inappropriate use of medical tests and medications in bronchiolitis

Few studies have identified predictors of inappropriate use of medications and medical tests in bronchiolitis. This study aimed to look for potential factors associated with the inappropriate use of medications and tests in bronchiolitis. A retrospective study that included all infants under two years of age in tertiary center admitted due to bronchiolitis from January 2015 to December 2018. We defined a composite score as the main outcome variable. 1930 patients were included. The most prescribed medications were nebulized hypertonic saline in 1789 patients (92.6%), albuterol (56%), and β-lactam antibiotics (26.4%). The medical tests more commonly ordered were hemogram (95.9%), chest X-rays (92.2%) and C-reactive protein (79.8%). After controlling for potential confounders, it was found that the length of hospital stay increases the risk of the inappropriate use of medications and tests (OR 1.29; CI 95% 1.01-1.65), whereas fever (OR 0.22; CI 95% 0.06-0.71) and leukocytosis (> 15,000/μL) (OR 0.09; CI 95% 0.03-0.32) at admission decrease the risk of the inappropriate use of medications and tests. Inappropriate use of diagnostic tests and drugs for bronchiolitis was a highly prevalent outcome in our population. Patients with longer hospitalizations, absence of fever and a normal white blood cell count at admission, were at increased risk of inappropriate use of medications and medical tests

Cost-utility of triple versus dual inhaler therapy in moderate to severe asthma

Background: An important proportion of asthma patients remain uncontrolled despite using inhaled corticosteroids and long-acting beta-agonists. Clinical guidelines recommend, in these patients, using add-on long-acting muscarinic antagonists (triple therapy) to treatment with high doses of inhaled corticosteroids-long-acting beta2-agonist (dual therapy). The purpose of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of triple therapy versus dual therapy for patients with severe asthma. Methods: A probabilistic Markov model was created to estimate the cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of patients with severe asthma in Colombia. Total costs and QALYS of dual and triple therapy were calculated over a lifetime horizon. Multiple sensitivity analyses were conducted. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated at a willingness-to-pay value of USD19,000. Results: The model suggests a potential gain of 1.55 QALYs per patient per year on triple therapy with respect to dual therapy. We observed a difference of USD304 in discounted cost per person-year on triple therapy with respect to dual therapy. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was USD196 in the probabilistic model. In the sensitivity analysis, our base‐case results were robust to variations in all assumptions and parameters. Conclusion: In conclusion, triple therapy in patients with moderate-severe asthma was cost-effective. Using triple therapy emerges with our results as an alternative before using oral corticosteroids or biologics, especially in resource-limited settings

Analysis of the budget impact of fractional exhaled nitric oxide monitoring in the management of childhood asthma: the Colombian National Health System perspective

Background: Fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) testing is a simple, noninvasive approach to assessing airway inflammation with minimal discomfort that provides results within a few minutes. For policy makers, the economic impact of this technology is the main concern, especially in developing countries. We evaluated the budget impact of asthma management using FeNO monitoring in patients aged between 4 and 18 years in Colombia. Methods: A budget impact analysis was performed to evaluate the potential cost of FeNO monitoring. The analysis was based on a 5-year time horizon and performed from the perspective of the Colombian National Health System. The incremental budget impact was calculated by subtracting the cost of the new treatment, in which FeNO is reimbursed, from the cost of conventional treatment without FeNO (management based on clinical symptoms [with or without spirometry/peak flow] or asthma guidelines [or both] for asthma-related cases). Univariate 1-way sensitivity analyses were performed. Results: In the base case analysis the 5-year costs associated with FeNO and non-FeNO were estimated to be €469 904 130 and €480 485 149, respectively, indicating savings for the Colombian National Health System of €10 581 019 if FeNO is adopted for the routine management of patients with persistent asthma. This result proved to be robust in the univariate 1-way sensitivity analysis. Conclusion: FeNO monitoring generated cost savings in emergency settings for infants with persistent asthma. This evidence can be used by decision makers in Colombia to improve clinical practice guidelines and should be replicated to validate the results in other middle-income countries

Disability-adjusted life years for acute bronchiolitis in infants in Colombia

Introduction: acute bronchiolitis is the leading cause of hospitalization in infants worldwide. However, little is known about the real impact of on society in terms of years of life lost due to this condition. The objective of the present study is to determine the Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) for acute bronchiolitis in infants in Colombia. Methods: data from the national epidemiological surveillance system were used to estimate DALYs, calculated from the sum of years of life lost and years lived with disability due to acute bronchiolitis in Colombia. A bootstrapped method with 10,000 iterations was used to estimate each statistical parameter using the package DALYs calculator in R. Results: in 2019, 447,434 years of life (confidence interval 95% 397,647- 512,759) were lost due to acute bronchiolitis in Colombian infants. The estimated rate was 34 DALYs/1000 person-year (95% confidence interval 30-39). Conclusion: our paper shows the high burden of disease associated with bronchiolitis in Colombia. Prevention strategies, such as acute bronchiolitis vaccination, to reduce morbidity associated with acute bronchiolitis should be encouraged in our country

Usefulness of C-reactive protein and clinical characteristics in identifying severe bacterial infection in children with fever without source

Objective: Fever continues to be the most frequent cause of care in the pediatric population. The uses of invasive and unnecessary tests result in discomfort to the patients. Local epidemiological data could help to refine screening strategies, especially in low resources settings. The present study aims to describe the prevalence of serious bacterial infections in infants with fever without source and to evaluate the usefulness of clinical and laboratory parameters in the identification of serious bacterial infections. Materials and Methods: We included all children aged 0-36 months presenting with fever without source between January 2015 and December 2017. Demographic and clinical characteristics, investigations, and management procedures were recorded at the time of inclusion. Potential predictors of serious bacterial infections were compared between patients with and without serious bacterial infections. Results: In total, 137 patients were included. Serious bacterial infections were diagnosed in 41 patients (29.9%; 95% CI, 22%-38%). The most frequent diagnosis in serious bacterial infection patients was urinary tract infection (78%). Serum C-reactive protein levels greater than 80 mg/L (odds ratio, 2.79 [1.14,6.86]) and total days with fever (odds ratio, 2.56 [1.81,3.62]) showed a significant association to predict serious bacterial infections. Conclusion: Most infants with fever without source presented self-limited febrile syndromes without evidence of severe bacterial infection. C-reactive protein levels greater than 80 mg/L and the number of previous days with fever were variables associated with the presence of serious bacterial infections. Our results need to be validated in other tropical countries

TLR4 gene polymorphisms interaction with Ascaris infection in severe RSV bronchiolitis

Introduction: The identification of gene-environment interactions allows the recognition of groups with higher risk of morbidity. This study evaluated the interaction between the presence of TLR4 gene polymorphisms and Ascaris infection with severe bronchiolitis in a tropical Colombian region. Methods: We included all infants younger than 24 months hospitalized due to bronchiolitis in Hospital centers in the county of Rionegro, Colombia. To identify interaction between severe bronchiolitis and presence of TLR4 polymorphisms and Ascaris infection, we used log-binomial regression. Results: Four hundred and seventeen infants were hospitalized due to bronchiolitis, of which 115 (27%) had severe bronchiolitis. In infants with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) acute infection and positive anti-Ascaris IgE, TLR4 Asp299Gly was associated to low risk of severe bronchiolitis (OR 0.09, CI 95% 0.01–0.48). Conversely, in infants RSV negative with negative anti-Ascaris IgE, TLR4 Asp299Gly was associated with an increased risk of severe bronchiolitis (OR 14.5, CI 95% 2.2–96). Conclusion: In our population there is an interaction between the presence of severe bronchiolitis, TLR4 Asp299Gly and Ile399Thr polymorphisms, anti-Ascaris IgE levels and RSV. This association should be evaluated in other populations to elucidate its role in the pathogenesis of severe bronchiolitis

Podotimod in pediatric recurrent respiratory tract infections: a cost-utility analysis

Introduction Despite the growing evidence on efficacy, few economic evaluations have evaluated the cost-utility of Pidotimod (PDT) supplementation to decrease the probability of recurrent respiratory tract infections in children. This study aimed to determine the cost-utility of PDT to reduce the incidence rate of recurrent respiratory tract infections in children. Methods A decision tree model was used to estimate the cost and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of PDT in a patient aged 1–6 with a history of recurrent respiratory tract infections. Multiple sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate the robustness of the model. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) value of US$5180. Results The base-case analysis showed that compared with placebo, PDT was associated with lower costs and higher QALYs. The expected annual cost per patient with PDT was US$797 (CI 95% US$794- US$801) and with placebo was US$1175 (CI 95$1169- US$1181). The QALYs per person estimated with PDT was 0.95 (CI 95$ 4121 (CI 95% 4114–4127) and with placebo was US$ 3710 (CI 95% 3700–3720). This position of absolute dominance (PDT has lower costs and higher QALYs than placebo) of PDT it is unnecessary to estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Conclusion In conclusion our study shows that PDT is a cost-effective strategy to reduce the incidence rate of recurrent respiratory tract infections in children. Our study provides evidence that should be used by decision-makers to improve clinical practice guidelines