Effects of the Boxing Day tsunami on the world capital markets

The effects of the Boxing Day tsunami on the world equity markets are investigated in this paper. In particular, this paper examines how the risks and returns of industry and market portfolios are altered as a result of the tsunami. The analysis includes countries that were directly or indirectly exposed to this catastrophe. Both parametric and non-parametric tests are employed to explore the relationship between equity stock returns and the tsunami, and the CAPM is utilised to assess the variation in systematic risks. Given that the literature in this area is at its earliest stage, we draw on economic theories of flooding. In this way, our results are consistent with that of the flooding literature, which would predict that the Boxing Day tsunami would have minimal effects on the risks and returns of equity markets. This paper documents that the tsunami was associated with few abnormal return changes and a general increase in the long-term systematic risk of the equity portfolios in the study

The impact of international terrorist attacks on the risk and return of Malaysian equity portfolios

How are the risks and returns of industrial and market portfolios altered as a result of terrorist events? This paper investigates the effects of five international terrorist attacks on equities listed on the Malaysian Stock Exchange. It uses an event study methodology to explore the relationship between equity stock returns, terrorist attacks and asset pricing models to assess whether systematic risks change after these events. The evidence demonstrates that strategies such as closing down an exchange during a crisis are ineffective. Furthermore, after the September 11, 2001 attacks, Malaysian equity markets were insensitive to subsequent terrorist attacks in other countries

Global terrorism and adaptive expectations in financial markets: Evidence from Japanese equity market

The adaptive expectations model posits that economic agents' expectations adjust by constant proportion of previous discrepancy and the forecast for the following period is the same for all the subsequent future periods, if the expectation is a permanent. We apply this hypothesis and event study methodology to examine the impact of five terrorist attacks (New York World Trade Centre, Bali, Madrid, London, and Mumbai) on Japanese industries. Being a watershed event, the negative impact of the attacks in the U.S. was apparent. Our evidence suggests an initial step-change in risk incorporated into expectations after the U.S., Bali and Madrid bombings. The two subsequent attacks had no effect on the market implying no the forecast error in risk expectation in Japan after the initial terrorist attacks

The impact of domestic and international terrorism on equity markets: evidence from Indonesia

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to show that the consequences of terrorist attacks are beyond what is reported in the media. Equity investors can be adversely affected by these incidents. The authors' work justifies the war on terror. Design/methodology/approach - Using event study methodology, the authors test how abnormal returns have changed for industrial portfolios in Indonesia following the recent terrorist attacks in the USA, the UK, Spain, India and even Indonesia. The authors adjust the CAPM to test whether systematic risks are altered around these events. Findings - The findings show that equity portfolios were adversely affected by the September 11 attacks and Bali bombings. The domestic terrorist attack generated the worst outcomes. It appears that systematic risk has increased by the amount of terrorist risk. Other attacks in London, Madrid and Mumbai were minimal. Originality/value - This study shows how domestic and international terrorist events affect the risk and return in an Asian capital market

The influence of systematic risk factors and econometric adjustments in catastrophic event studies

Event study methodology is a well-accepted technique in finance. Although its application is popular, there have not been many critical assessments of this practice. For instance, in the estimation process, the researcher has to make a choice in terms of which asset pricing model to adopt when calculating expected returns. Different expected return models and financial econometrics adjustments may give rise to different results. This study explores seven commonly employed approaches. Using terrorist attacks and the subprime crisis as events, we calculate abnormal returns with different expected return techniques and then assess if there is a change in the result. Our evidence shows that the results vary according to the choice of the technique in estimating an expected return

Inefficiency of the Australian stock market

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Tournament behaviour in Asian managed funds

The structure of the Asian managed funds market presents a unique setting to examine the risk-shifting behavior of fund managers. We use Taylor's (2003) extension of the tournament model of Brown et al. (1996) to examine the risk-taking behavior of Asian fund managers. Taylor's model shows that using an exogenous (endogenous) benchmark induces losing (winning) managers to gamble, which presents two competing testable hypotheses. We use a sample of Asian funds covering the period 1982-2011 and apply the nonparametric cross-product ratio methodology to determine whether there is evidence for tournament behavior

The profitability of high-frequency trading: Is it for real

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The Birth of Environmental Finance

(Abstract not available

How does the stock market react to the announcement of green policies?

We investigate the impact of 19 announcements of environmental regulation on the equities listed on the Australian Stock Exchange over the period 2005-2011. Using a well-established event study methodology, we assess whether these announcements are value constructive or destructive for equity investors. Additionally, we estimate the change in systematic risk following the announcements. Our results show that the Australian market was particularly sensitive to the carbon pollution reduction scheme (CPRS) announcement. A cumulative abnormal return of -31% was recorded in the alternative energy sector after Australia submitted its target range to the Copenhagen Accord. We observe that a move towards a greener nation has a mixed effect on abnormal returns with apparent sector-by-sector differences. Green policies appear to affect the long-term systematic risk of industries, leading to the diamond risk phenomenon