Target price accuracy and the information content of stock recommendations on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

This paper examines target price accuracy conditional on whether the analyst’s report contains a precise valuation model with underlying assumptions, as well as investigates whether target price accuracy is related to the forecast accuracy of the variables used as inputs in the valuation models. The study is conducted based on the analysts’ stock recommendations issued in 2012 for companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. We find that approximately 67% of analysts’ price targets are achieved within a 12-month period following the release of a report. Only in the case of positive recommendations we can observe that analysts who provide precise valuation model within their reports issue significantly more accurate target prices. We also find that target price forecast error is, on average, lower for reports with more accurate forecasts of such variables used as inputs in the valuation models as revenue, EBIT and net profit but the results are not always statistically significant

Assessment of the dividend policy on the basis of cash flow statement - empirical research

Polskie spółki giełdowe coraz częściej świadomie wprowadzają zwyczaj regularnego wypłacania dywidend. Celem artykułu jest przeprowadzenie oceny polityki wypłaty dywidend na podstawie rachunku przepływów pieniężnych oraz identyfikacja źródeł finansowania wypłat dywidend. Autorzy przeprowadzili analizę finansową na podstawie przepływów pieniężnych 23 spółek notowanych na Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych w Warszawie, które regularnie, od co najmniej 5 lat wypłacały dywidendy w latach 2006-2010.Polish listed companies more often introduce the habit of paying regular dividends. The aim of the article is to assess the dividend policy on the basis of cash flow statement as well as to identify the sources of financing the dividends. The authors conducted the analysis on the basis of the cash flow of 23 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange which regularly paid dividends in the years of 2006-2010

Is the success of an issuer an investor success? Evidence from Polish IPOs

This article examines the factors that determine IPO success in raising equity capital, and how this success translates into investor success. The study is based on a sample of IPOs on the Warsaw Stock Exchange from 1998 to 2011. We find that pre-IPO profitability is a strong and positive signal for investors that translates into a higher offer price and therefore determines the success of the issuance. However, companies with high IPO success do not provide investors with better performance after going public, nor do they provide protection before the common phenomenon of long-term underperformance. A large-scale value migration between shareholders occurs in companies that achieve IPO success. The investor belief that pre-IPO profitability is a signal of the future earnings potential of an IPO firm indicates that they probably use simple heuristics and have a representativeness bias