Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Romanian Price Indices: A VAR Approach

This paper investigates the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices, producer prices and several different measures of consumer prices indices for Romanian economy. In order to determine the size, describe the dynamics and identify the asymmetries in ERPT the paper employs an array of econometric methods belonging to the VAR family. The methods range from RVARS (on different price indices and/or on a rolling window), Sign-restriction VARs (also using different consumer inflation measures), MS-VAR, TAR and SETAR, the last three methods being naturally equipped to capture various types of asymmetries. The results point to an almost complete passthrough into import prices and incomplete pass-through into producer and consumer prices. In all cases except import prices the ERPT displays a decline in magnitude over the analysed time interval. The paper also finds important asymmetries with respect to sign and size of the exchange rate, size of inflation and time period.exchange rate, pass-through, import prices, producer prices, consumer prices, vector autoregression, sign-restriction

Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Romanian Price Indices. Avar Approach.

This paper investigates the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices, producer prices and several different measures of consumer price indices for the Romanian economy. In order to determine the size and describe the dynamics in ERPT, the paper employs an array of econometric methods belonging to the VAR family. The methods employed are RVARs (on different price indices and/or on a rolling window) and Sign-restriction VARs (also using different consumer inflation measures). The results point to an almost complete pass-through into import prices and incomplete pass-through into producer and consumer prices. In all cases except import prices the ERPT displays a decline in magnitude over the analysed time interval.exchange rate, pass-through, import prices, producer prices, consumer prices, vector autoregression, sign-restriction

Currency substitution in Romania

The aim of this paper is to investigate the currency substitution phenomenon in Romania. We present the evolution of the DI (Dollarization Index) as it is defined by the IMF, the situation on the liabilities side and that of the banking sector. We assess the way in which the traditional functions of money have been affected by currency substitution. In the final part of this paper a demand for money function is estimated for Romania for a period between 1997:06—2003:03. This demand for money clearly demonstrates the existence of currency substitution between the domestic and foreign currencies. Also we test the stability of the model and conclude that despite a turbulent economic medium the demand for money function is stable.currency substitution, money demand, cointegration, error-correction model, Romania

Operational Risk Modelling and Capital Adequacy – are There any Rewards in Greater Complexity?

The paper applies the methodologies proposed by Basel Committee on Banking Supervision for assessing the capital requirements in the context of operational risk to a Romanian commercial bank. The basic indicator, standard and internal measurement approaches (IMA) have been used to asses the capital requirement levels needed to cover the operational risk. The IMA is implemented using the loss distribution methodology (LDA). The capital at risk is computed from the loss distribution that aggregates, using Monte-Carlo simulations, the frequency and loss size distributions, fitted to the empirical data, for each business line and event type pair. Even though IMA is more costly and difficult to implement, it has, in some circumstances, considerable rewards in terms of capital requirements.operational risk, basic indicator approach, standardized approach, internal measurement approach, loss distribution methodology, Monte-Carlo simulation

Currency substitution in Romania

The aim of this paper is to investigate the currency substitution phenomenon in Romania. We present the evolution of the DI (Dollarization Index) as it is defined by the IMF, the situation on the liabilities side and that of the banking sector. We assess the way in which the traditional functions of money have been affected by currency substitution. In the final part of this paper a demand for money function is estimated for Romania for a period between 1997:06—2003:03. This demand for money clearly demonstrates the existence of currency substitution between the domestic and foreign currencies. Also we test the stability of the model and conclude that despite a turbulent economic medium the demand for money function is stable