Macroeconomic dynamics in low income economies

This thesis investigates the dynamic effects of two interrelated characteristics of low income economies: Commodity concentration of exports, and foreign exchange constraints on the behaviour of key macroeconomic variables. The literature defines the problem of export fluctuations with reference to commodity concentration of exports, the ability to forecast the fluctuations, and the availability of foreign reserves to meet the effects of fluctuations. When a country's exports are concentrated in a single commodity or a few commodities, price fluctuations may lead to low export earnings and low reserves. This has implications for the macroeconomic environment, since low levels of reserves may not adequately mitigate the effects of price fluctuations. Therefore, we first explore the macroeconomic effects of price fluctuations in low income economies with a high commodity concentration of exports. Specifically, we examine the dynamic response of selected macroeconomic variables to tobacco price shocks in Malawi, using quarterly time series data from 1980 to 2012. Using innovation accounting in a structural vector auto regressive (SVAR) model with short-run restrictions, we find that a positive tobacco price shock increases gross domestic product (GDP), reduces consumer prices, and induces an appreciation of the real exchange rate. These results are also robust to SVAR in differenced data and co-integrating vector autoregressive (CVAR) models. The CVAR confirms the existence of a long run-relationship among the variables, with causality running from tobacco prices to the three variables. Second, we provide an empirical analysis of the effect of shortage of foreign exchange in an import dependent, low income economy. It has become clear from the existing literature that low income economies tend to suffer from foreign exchange shortages exacerbated by their exports. Because of the concentration of their exports, these countries are susceptible to international price fluctuations which affect the level of foreign exchange. In addition, these countries tend to overvalue and fix their exchange rate, which worsens their terms of trade and leads to low levels of reserves. This causes foreign exchange shortages and leads to excess demand for foreign exchange by importers. We therefore investigate the implications of foreign exchange constraints on the dynamic behaviour of key macroeconomic variables in low income, import dependent economies

Contextual Factors Influencing Management Accounting Practices Adopted by Large Manufacturing Companies in Kenya

This study explores the contextual factors that influence management accounting practices adopted by large manufacturing companies located in Nairobi, Kenya. well. This paper reports on a descriptive survey design that was intended to establish the characteristics of the population in the context of the various factors that have potential influence on the adopted practices. The findings indicate that both traditional and advanced management accounting techniques are practiced by the surveyed organizations. Advanced management accounting techniques notably; customer satisfaction, quality and innovation and on time delivery have been adopted, while traditional management accounting techniques such as ; incremental budgeting, variable costing, standard costing and variance analysis, sales and return on investment are being maintained. The study suggests that increased global competition, organization strategy and organization structure as contextual variables that largely influence the practices adopted by the surveyed organizations. Keywords: Management accounting practices, Adoption, Contextual variables, Keny

Contribution de la géomatique à la gestion des territoires villageois des savanes d'Afrique centrale

International audienceLes savanes d'Afrique centrale ont connu depuis quelques décennies d'importantes mutations, tant sur le plan démographique, social, territorial l'environnemental. Ces mutations ont laissé leurs empreintes sur l'espace, posant dans la plupart des régions, le problème de gestion des territoires. L'objet de cet article est de montrer comment la géomatique permet d'analyser les dynamiques des territoires villageois dans une perspective de compréhension des processus et d'aide à la décision. Le concept de territoire a d'abord été défini avant d'être mis en oeuvre dans les recherches géographiques menées sur un ensemble de territoires villageois représentatifs des dynamiques savanicoles du Cameroun, de la RCA et du Tchad. Les données utilisées sont issues des cartes topographiques, des images satellitaires, des levés de terrains au GPS et d'enquêtes socio-économiques. Ces données géoréférencées ont été traitées avec un ensemble organisé de matériels et d'outils de la géomatique. Les résultats obtenus au double plan statistique et cartographique permettent non seulement un archivage des informations spatiotemporelles, une compréhension rétrospective de l'évolution du milieu, mais aussi des analyses prospectives utiles à des prises de décision. Toutefois, la géomatique est tributaire des ressources humaines et logistiques

Geospatial transmission hotspots of recent HIV infection — Malawi, October 2019–March 2020

What is already known about this topic? A novel HIV infection surveillance initiative was implemented in Malawi to collect data on recent HIV infections among new diagnoses to characterize the epidemic and guide the public health response. What is added by this report? Higher proportions of recent infections were identified among females, persons aged <30 years, and clients at maternal and child health and youth clinics. Spatial analysis identified three hotspots of health facilities with significantly higher rates of recent infection than expected across five districts. What are the implications for public health practice? Geospatial analysis of recent HIV infection surveillance data can identify potential transmission hotspots. This information could be used to tailor program activities to strengthen HIV testing, prevention, and treatment services and ultimately interrupt transmission

Do parent units benefit from reverse knowledge transfer?

Emerging market multinationals resort to knowledge acquisitions from their overseas subsidiaries to springboard and realise their global ambitions. Drawing from the knowledge-based view and social capital perspective, this study explores the effects of organisational collaboration and tacitness on multiple dimensions of reverse knowledge transfer (RKT). Data were collected through a survey, from senior and middle level managers of parent Indian multinationals, pertaining to RKT from their overseas subsidiaries. The hypotheses are analysed using PLS modelling. The results demonstrate positive effects between the extent and benefits of RKT. Collaboration was found to have a positive influence on both dimensions of RKT. Tacitness also has a positive impact on the benefits from RKT. The implications of the findings and the limitations of the study are discussed along with suggestions for future research

Reverse knowledge transfer in emerging market multinationals: The Indian context

This study examines knowledge acquisitions of Indian multinationals via overseas mergers and acquisitions. Specifically, the paper examines the effects of the perceived subsidiary capability, parent absorptive capacity, and the relevance of the target knowledge on reverse knowledge transfer. Using firm level data from a survey of Indian multinationals (with overseas acquisitions), we find that perceived subsidiary capability, knowledge relevance, and absorptive capacity positively influence reverse knowledge transfer. The results also highlight the moderating role of knowledge relevance and the mediating effects of absorptive capacity

The effect of institutions, organisational governance and managerial intentionality on the internationalisation of smaller Indian firms

Emerging economies and the behaviour of firms domiciled in these markets is beginning to develop as a research area; yet little empirical work exists (Bruton, Ahlstrom, & Obloj, 2008; Hoskisson, Eden, Lau, & Wright, 2000; Meyer & Peng, 2005; Peng, Wang, & Jiang, 2008; Wright, Filatotchev, Hoskisson, & Peng, 2005). An extensive and critical review of the literature revealed that there was limited research that focused on the internationalisation of emerging economy firms to other emerging and developed economies. In order to address this clear gap in our understanding, the broad research problem that this thesis sets out to investigate is ‘how do institutions, organisational governance and managerial intentionality effect the internationalisation of smaller Indian firms’? It is argued that in order for research in strategy to make a lasting contribution, there is a need to contemplate whether the theories and methodologies developed in primarily mature and developed economies are applicable to the emerging economy context (Wright et al., 2005). In addressing this concern, this study draws on institutional theory, transaction cost theory, the resource-based view and aspects of the organisational capabilities perspective in order to understand the internationalisation of smaller Indian firms. In particular, the aim of this research was to understand the effect of institutions (Research Question One), organisational governance (Research Question Two) and the moderating effect of managerial intentionality (Research Question Three) on the internationalisation of smaller Indian firms. India was chosen as the context for the study due to its rapid growth in recent years which places it among the four big emerging economies of the world (Wilson & Purushothaman, 2003). The relatively recent liberalisation of the Indian economy in 1991 provides an interesting context within which to study the internationalisation behaviour of firms. Prior to its liberalisation India adopted what was known as an inward-focused, socialist-style, economic framework (Wilson & Keim, 2006). The liberalisation of the Indian economy has increased the country’s trade linkages with other emerging and developed countries, yet little research has been conducted on the internationalisation of Indian firms (Peng et al., 2008; Wright et al., 2005). Further, India’s linguistic distance but geographic closeness to emerging markets, yet western Commonwealth past and geographic distance to developed markets makes it a unique context. The research methodology adopted in this study entailed a qualitative design conducted through multiple case studies. The case study firms comprised four smaller manufacturing and four smaller service firms. Cases for the study were selected theoretically (Eisenhardt, 1989) using intensity sampling, snowball sampling, criterion sampling and opportunistic sampling techniques (Patton, 1990). To determine the size of the firms, the definition proposed by the Government of India was used. One key growth region in India was chosen due to the institutional diversity in India. Bangalore was chosen as it is considered a high growth region of the country that is well reputed for its service sector, as well as a competitive manufacturing sector (Ahya, Xie, Roach, Sheth, & Yam, 2006). The adoption of a multiple case study design facilitated an aggregated cross-case analysis. The data was collected through in-depth, semi-structured interviews with senior management in the selected case study firms. In addition, documentary evidence was collected through newspaper articles, information from trade journals and information from the company websites. The interviews were guided by an interview protocol and a case study database was created for each firm in order to increase the reliability and validity of the data. The data was coded using NVivo (version 7) and analysed using the ‘template approach’ (Crabtree & Miller, 1999). To date, literature originating out of mature markets has regarded institutions as background information due to the stability and maturity of institutions in these markets (Ingram & Silverman, 2002). However, when studied in an emerging market context, the role of institutions is argued to be pushed to the forefront of strategy research due to its relative underdevelopment (Meyer & Peng, 2005). This study used Scott’s (1995) three institutional pillars (regulative, normative and cognitive) to gain an institution-based view of the business strategies pursued by the smaller Indian firms (Peng et al., 2008). The findings highlighted regulatory institutional influences at the home country, host country and trade policy levels. The findings from this study shed light on the notion of institutional entrepreneurship, thereby extending institutional theory to take into account the strategic behaviour of firms. The findings further emphasised the need to gain legitimacy in international markets as a means to gain access to resources and overcome the liabilities of foreignness and newness. In doing so, the findings from this study extended Mathews’ (2006) ‘linkage, leverage and learning’ strategy to a ‘linkage, leverage, learning and legitimising’ strategy. Next, the findings from Research Question One extended the U-Model of internationalisation to highlight the importance of domestic market experience when gained in an institutionally complex market such as India. Finally, the findings highlighted the interaction between the path-dependent experience of the founders and the various dimensions of their managerial intentionality in managing the institutional influences on the firm. In studying organisational governance decisions (Research Question Two), transaction cost theory was used as the key conceptual perspective. This study used Williamson’s (1975) governance continuum to understand the organisational governance decisions of smaller Indian firms. Interestingly, the findings emphasised a move away from the narrow comparative-efficiency framework developed by Williamson (1975), towards a more eclectic understanding of the effect of transaction costs. The findings highlighted the choice of governance modes not as discrete designs, but as those that overlap as a result of being influenced by institutions, the experience of the firm with a particular mode, the propensity to trust, the constraints on firm behaviour, the managerial intentionality of the founders and the need to gain local knowledge from network partners. In adopting this broader perspective, the findings addressed the call by Madhok (1997) to understand the choice of governance modes from more than a cost minimisation perspective. Hutzschenreuter, Pedersen and Volberda (2007) suggested that the role of managerial discretion to date is downplayed in existing IB literature and hence called for research to focus on the role of managerial intent in the strategies of established multinationals rather than on the process of ‘becoming a multinational’. Research Question Three highlighted the moderating effect of managerial intentionality in managing the institutional influences and governance decisions of the firm. This study extended Hutzschenreuter et al.’s (2007) conceptualisation of managerial intentionality by emphasising the resilience as well as the reluctance of the founders (due to past experiences) as important in the emerging economy context. This study has practical implications for the case study firms as well as for potential entrants into India. Firstly, for the case study firms it is important to develop clear internationalisation strategies (as opposed to a reactive approach) due to the increasing competition both locally and internationally. Second, for the manufacturing firms, it is important to move beyond their pure low cost advantage. Partnering with other companies to leverage their resources and capabilities in international markets is one possibility. Third, for these firms to remain globally competitive, the sourcing of international talent is likely to increase their legitimacy and reduce their liability of foreignness. Finally, the continued liberalisation of the Indian economy has made it an attractive destination for foreign firms. While the case study companies have recognised the opportunities overseas, they should not ignore their domestic market where they enjoy a ‘home court advantage’. For potential entrants into India, it is important to recognise the potential competitive advantage that local incumbents have with regard to the environment. Second, foreign firms entering India and competing with smaller players need to understand the subtleties of the market and tailor their strategies to meet local needs. Finally, while this study has made contributions to the field, the findings must be interpreted in light of the limitations of the study. First, this study focused on one key big emerging market; India. Further, within India only one key region was examined. The findings reflect the business strategies by firms domiciled in Bangalore. Hence future studies could extend this research to other emerging markets and other regions of India to gain a more detailed perspective. Second, given the qualitative nature of the study, only analytical generalisations can be made. However, these insights can provide a basis for future researchers to develop quantitative measures to test the inferences drawn. Finally, this study was cross sectional in nature. In order to gain a more detailed analysis on the effect of institutions, future researchers may consider a longitudinal design to capture the institutional transitions over time

Going global : institutional barriers to internationalisation for smaller Indian exporters

Athena Bangara and Susan Freemanhttp://trove.nla.gov.au/work/407074

Going global : Institutional barriers to internationalism for smaller Indian exporters

This exploratory study provides insight into the major institutional barriers to internationalisation for smaller firms from one of the two big emerging markets (BEMs) in the Asia Pacific rim: India, the other being China. Firms in transition economies face institutional barriers such as government interference, corruption and rapid environmental change due to the presence of underdeveloped institutions. In contrast, firms from developed markets operate in an institutional environment that can be described as more suitable to their growth and expansion. The current study extends knowledge by exploring the major institutional barriers to internationalisation for smaller exporting firms from a BEM perspective relying on institutional theory as a key theoretical underpinning. The study incorporates a qualitative research design based on 12 Indian exporters. Findings reveal that smaller Indian exporters face barriers to internationalisation in securing specific targeted information from institutions such as local chambers of commerce forcing firms to rely on network contacts in order to enter overseas markets. Restrictive government policies were also found to hinder the internationalisation of firms that sought to expand into the international market prior to the liberalisation of the Indian economy

Macroeconomic Effects of Commodity Price Shocks in a Low‐income Economy: The Case of Tobacco in Malawi

A major concern for developing economies is a dependence on commodities when their prices are volatile as a major change in the international commodity price can have important implications for economic growth. While some cross‐country studies exist, there is lack of country specific studies that take into account the different characteristics of low‐income economies. This paper contributes to the growing literature by considering the case of Malawi and the macroeconomic impact of price shocks in its major export crop of tobacco. Using a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) approach on quarterly Malawian data from 1980:1 to 2012:4, the paper establishes that a positive tobacco price shock has a significant positive impact on the country's gross domestic product, decreasing consumer prices and inducing real exchange rate appreciation. The results are robust to alternative specifications of a SVAR on difference stationary data and cointegrating VAR. The cointegrating VAR confirms the existence of a long run‐relationship among the variables and causality that runs from tobacco prices