19 research outputs found
Replicating financial market dynamics with a simple self-organized critical lattice model
We explore a simple lattice field model intended to describe statistical
properties of high frequency financial markets. The model is relevant in the
cross-disciplinary area of econophysics. Its signature feature is the emergence
of a self-organized critical state. This implies scale invariance of the model,
without tuning parameters. Prominent results of our simulation are time series
of gains, prices, volatility, and gains frequency distributions, which all
compare favorably to features of historical market data. Applying a standard
GARCH(1,1) fit to the lattice model gives results that are almost
indistinguishable from historical NASDAQ data.Comment: 20 pages, 33 figure
Physica A Replicating financial market dynamics with a simple self-organized critical lattice model
a b s t r a c t We explore a simple lattice field model intended to describe statistical properties of high-frequency financial markets. The model is relevant in the cross-disciplinary area of econophysics. Its signature feature is the emergence of a self-organized critical state. This implies scale invariance of the model, without tuning parameters. Prominent results of our simulation are time series of gains, prices, volatility, and gains frequency distributions, which all compare favorably to features of historical market data. Applying a standard GARCH(1,1) fit to the lattice model gives results that are almost indistinguishable from historical NASDAQ data. Published by Elsevier B.V
Arbitrage-free Self-organizing Markets with GARCH Properties: Generating them in the Lab with a Lattice Model
We extend our studies of a quantum field model defined on a lattice having the dilation group as a local gauge symmetry. The model is relevant in the cross-disciplinary area of econophysics. A corresponding proposal by Ilinski aimed at gauge modeling in non-equilibrium pricing is realized as a numerical simulation of the one-asset version. The gauge field background enforces minimal arbitrage, yet allows for statistical fluctuations. The new feature added to the model is an updating prescription for the simulation that drives the model market into a self-organized critical state. Taking advantage of some flexibility of the updating prescription, stylized features and dynamical behaviors of real-world markets are reproduced in some detail.
Replicating financial market dynamics with a simple self-organized critical lattice model
We explore a simple lattice field model intended to describe statistical properties of high frequency financial markets. The model is relevant in the cross-disciplinary area of econophysics. Its signature feature is the emergence of a self-organized critical state. This implies scale invariance of the model, without tuning parameters. Prominent results of our simulation are time series of gains, prices, volatility, and gains frequency distributions, which all compare favorably to features of historical market data. Applying a standard GARCH(1,1) fit to the lattice model gives results that are almost indistinguishable from historical NASDAQ data.