31 research outputs found

    COVID-19 Models for Hospital Surge Capacity Planning: A Systematic Review

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    Objective: Health system preparedness for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) includes projecting the number and timing of cases requiring various types of treatment. Several tools were developed to assist in this planning process. This review highlights models that project both caseload and hospital capacity requirements over time. Methods: We systematically reviewed the medical and engineering literature according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. We completed searches using PubMed, EMBASE, ISI Web of Science, Google Scholar, and the Google search engine. Results: The search strategy identified 690 articles. For a detailed review, we selected 6 models that met our predefined criteria. Half of the models did not include age-stratified parameters, and only 1 included the option to represent a second wave. Hospital patient flow was simplified in all models; however, some considered more complex patient pathways. One model included fatality ratios with length of stay (LOS) adjustments for survivors versus those who die, and accommodated different LOS for critical care patients with or without a ventilator. Conclusion: The results of our study provide information to physicians, hospital administrators, emergency response personnel, and governmental agencies on available models for preparing scenario-based plans for responding to the COVID-19 or similar type of outbreak

    Exact Analysis of a Lost Sales Model under Stuttering Poisson Demand

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    We investigate the (S-1,S) inventory policy under stuttering Poisson demand and generally distributed lead time when the excess demand is lost. We correct results presented in Feeney and Sherbrooke's seminal paper (1966). We also prove that the distribution of ?ordered unit delivery times? becomes increasingly concentrated as the variance-to-mean ratio of demand increases

    Analysis and algorithms for service parts supply chains

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    Services requiring parts has become a $1.5 trillion business annually worldwide, creating a tremendous incentive to manage the logistics of these parts efficiently by making planning and operational decisions in a rational and rigorous manner. This book provides a broad overview of modeling approaches and solution methodologies for addressing service parts inventory problems found in high-powered technology and aerospace applications. The focus in this work is on the management of high cost, low demand rate service parts found in multi-echelon settings. This unique book, with its breadth of topics and mathematical treatment, begins by first demonstrating the optimality of an order-up-to policy [or (s-1,s)] in certain environments. This policy is used in the real world and studied throughout the text. The fundamental mathematical building blocks for modeling and solving applications of stochastic process and optimization techniques to service parts management problems are summarized extensively. A wide range of exact and approximate mathematical models of multi-echelon systems is developed and used in practice to estimate future inventory investment and part repair requirements. The text may be used in a variety of courses for first-year graduate students or senior undergraduates, as well as for practitioners, requiring only a background in stochastic processes and optimization. It will serve as an excellent reference for key mathematical concepts and a guide to modeling a variety of multi-echelon service parts planning and operational problems

    A Model for a Multi-Item, Multi-Echelon, Multi-Indenture Inventory System

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    The purpose of this paper is to describe a mathematical model, called MOD-METRIC, for the control of a multi-item, multi-echelon, multi-indenture inventory-system for recoverable items, that is, items subject to repair when they fail. Discussion is limited to two-echelon multi-item systems in which an item may be demanded at any one of several locations called bases; in turn, these bases receive inventory from a central location called a depot. The objectives of the model are to describe the logistics relationship between an assembly and its subassemblies, and to compute spare stock levels for both echelons for the assembly and subassemblies with explicit consideration of this logistics relationship. In particular, the model is used to determine the base and depot spare stock levels which minimize total expected base backorders for the assembly subject to a system investment constraint. An example is given showing how the model can be used to calculate spare engine and engine module stock levels. MOD-METRIC has been implemented by the Air Force as the method for computing recoverable spare stock levels for the F-15 weapon system.

    Principles of Inventory Management: When You Are Down to Four, Order More

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    Analytic Methods for Estimating Labor Requirements at a Parts Distribution Center

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    Picking and put-away operations must be executed quickly and efficiently in warehouses within multi-echelon supply chains. The ability to perform these picking and put-away tasks in a timely fashion is a function of the distance the workers must travel within the warehouse. Two analytic methods for estimating the labor requirements associated with these activities are presented. The first method is a stochastic model in which demand at each location is described by a random variable. The second method is based on the assumption that demand is always equal to its expected value. 1 Introduction Multi-echelon inventory systems exist to provide excellent customer service in a timely manner without requiring each retailer or other stocking location to hold high levels of inventory. In one such environment, automotive service parts are produced, packaged, stocked, and distributed. In this instance there are four echelons in the system. At the lowest level, car dealers stock parts to ..

    Note--Comments on "Single Cycle Continuous Review Policies for Arborescent Production/Inventory Systems"

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    In the paper by Graves and Schwarz [Graves, Stephen C., Leroy B. Schwarz. 1977. Single cycle continuous review policies for arborescent production/inventory systems. Management Sci. 23 (5, January) 529-540.], we observed an error in their discussion of optimal policies for the one warehouse-m retailer system. Specifically, Theorem 1, which states that the optimal stationary policy is a single-cycle policy, is incorrect.inventory/production, inventory/production: deterministic models

    The Effects of Load Smoothing on Inventory Levels in a Capacitated Production and Inventory System

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    In most inventory-focused research, system control is achieved through controlling inventories while permitting production levels to vary substantially each period. However, in many firms, fluctuations in production levels may be very costly; in some firms it is impossible to vary production levels substantially through time due to the physical constraints found in the processes. We examine a system in which the production level is constrained between a maximum and minimum level each period, and in which inventory levels are allowed to vary accordingly. We explore the effects of production smoothing on several system performance metrics.

    Muckstadt , “A decomposition approach for a class of capacitated serial systems,” working paper

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    Abstract We study a class of two echelon, serial systems with identical ordering capacities or limits for both echelons. The lead times are initially deterministic. For the case where the lead time to the upstream echelon is one period, the optimality of state-dependent, modified echelon basestock policies is proved using a decomposition approach. For the case where the upstream lead time is two periods, we introduce a new class of policies called "two-tier, base-stock policies," and prove their optimality. Some insight about the inventory control problem in N echelon, serial systems with identical capacities at all physical stages and stochastic, non-crossing, lead times everywhere is also provided. We argue that a generalization of two-tier, base-stock policies, which we call "multi-tier, base-stock policies" are optimal for these systems. Additional structural results about serial systems with infinite capacities at downstream stages are also presented
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