13 research outputs found

    ๆœชๆˆๅนด่€… ๅพŒ่ฆ‹ๅˆถๅบฆ์˜ ๅฏฆๆ…‹์™€ ๆ”นๅ–„ๆ–นๆกˆ

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    ํ•™์œ„๋…ผ๋ฌธ(์„์‚ฌ)--์„œ์šธ๋Œ€ํ•™๊ต ๋Œ€ํ•™์› :๋ฒ•ํ•™๊ณผ ๋ฒ•์‚ฌํšŒํ•™์ „๊ณต,2000.Maste

    ์‚ฐ์š•๊ธฐ ์‚ฐ๋ชจ์˜ ๊ฐ€์ •๊ฐ„ํ˜ธ ์š”๊ตฌ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ : ์ •์ƒ ๋ถ„๋ง ์‚ฐ๋ชจ๋ฅผ ๋Œ€์ƒ์œผ๋กœ

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    ํ•™์œ„๋…ผ๋ฌธ(์„์‚ฌ)--์„œ์šธ๋Œ€ํ•™๊ต ๋ณด๊ฑด๋Œ€ํ•™์› :๋ณด๊ฑดํ•™๊ณผ ๋ณด๊ฑด์ธ๊ตฌ์ „๊ณต,1998.Maste

    (An) setimate of virths and deaths in Seoul area by the dual record system

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    /์„์‚ฌ[ํ•œ๊ธ€]์ธ๊ตฌ๋™ํƒœํ†ต๊ณ„๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์ œ, ์‚ฌํšŒ, ํ›„์ƒ, ๊ต์œก๋“ฑ ๊ด‘๋ฒ”์œ„ํ•œ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€์ •์ฑ…์˜ ๊ธฐ์ดˆ์ž๋ฃŒ๋กœ์„œ ์ค‘์š”ํ•˜๋‹ค. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚˜๋ผ์˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋Š” 1925๋…„๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์‹ค์‹œ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋‚˜ ์ธ๊ตฌ๋™ํƒœํ†ต๊ณ„์˜ ์‹ ๋ขฐ์„ฑ์ด ๊ทนํžˆ ์ž‘์œผ๋ฏ€๋กœ ๋ณ„๋กœ ์ด์šฉ๊ฐ€์น˜๊ฐ€ ์—†๋Š” ์‹ค์ •์ด๋‹ค. ์ธ๊ตฌ ๋ณ€ํ™”๋ฅผ ์ถ”์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ํ•œ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์œผ๋กœ ์ค‘๋ณต์กฐ์‚ฌ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์€ ๋™์ผํ•œ ์ธ๊ตฌ์— ๋Œ€ํ•˜์—ฌ 2ํšŒ์˜ ๋…๋ฆฝ๋œ ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ์‹ค์‹œ ๊ทธ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ์„œ๋กœ ๋Œ€์กฐํ•จ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์ธ๊ตฌ๋™ํƒœ์น˜๋ฅผ ์ถ”์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์„ ๋งํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์—์„œ๋Š” ์—ฐ์„ธ๋Œ€ํ•™๊ต ์ธ๊ตฌ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€์กฑ๊ณ„ํš ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์†Œ์—์„œ ์ˆ˜์ง‘ํ•œ ์ž๋ฃŒ์ค‘ ์„œ์šธํŠน๋ณ„์‹œ์˜ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ์ด์šฉํ•˜์˜€์œผ๋ฉฐ 1978๋…„ 1979๋…„ ์–‘ ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋Œ€์กฐ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๋Š” ๋‹ค์Œ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™๋‹ค. ์„œ์šธํŠน๋ณ„์‹œ์˜ ์ดํ‘œ๋ณธ ๊ฐ€๊ตฌ์ˆ˜ 5,599๊ฐ€๊ตฌ(1979๋…„๋„)์ค‘ ์–‘ ์กฐ์‚ฌ์—์„œ ์„œ๋กœ ๋Œ€์กฐ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฐ€๊ตฌ์ˆ˜๋Š” 1,590๊ฐ€๊ตฌ๋กœ์„œ ๋Œ€์กฐ์œจ์€ 28.4 %์ด๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ์„œ์šธํŠน๋ณ„์‹œ์˜ ๋†’์€ ์ธ๊ตฌ ์ด๋™์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณธ๋‹ค. ๋Œ€์กฐ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ์— ์˜ํ•œ ์ถœ์ƒ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€์ž„์—ฌ์„ฑ ์กฐ์‚ฌ ๋ˆ„๋ฝ์œจ์€ 0.5%, 0.3%๋กœ ๋‚ฎ๊ฒŒ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ์œผ๋ฉฐ ์‚ฌ๋ง์กฐ์‚ฌ ๋ˆ„๋ฝ์œจ์€ 4.8%๋กœ์„œ ๋‹ค์†Œ ๋†’๊ฒŒ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๋‹ค. ์ถœ์ƒ ๋ฐ ์‚ฌ๋ง์กฐ์‚ฌ ๋‚ด์šฉ๋ณ„ ์–‘์กฐ์‚ฌ ์ผ์น˜์œจ์€ ๋น„๊ต์  ๋†’๊ฒŒ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ์œผ๋‚˜ ๊ฐ€์ž„์—ฌ์„ฑ ์กฐ์‚ฌ ๋‚ด์šฉ๋ณ„ ์ผ์น˜์œจ์€ ๊ฐ€์ž„์—ฌ์„ฑ์˜ ์ƒ๋…„์›”์ผ์ด 82.0%,๊ฐ€์žฅ ์ตœ๊ทผ ์ถœ์‚ฐ ๋…„์›”์ผ์ด 88.6 %๋กœ ๋‹ค์†Œ ๋‚ฎ๊ฒŒ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๊ณ , 4ํ•ญ๋ชฉ์ค‘ 4ํ•ญ๋ชฉ ๋˜๋Š” 3ํ•ญ๋ชฉ์ด ์ผ์น˜ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๊ฐ€ 95.4%๋กœ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๋‹ค. ์ฆ‰ 1ํ•ญ๋ชฉ์ด๋‚˜ 2ํ•ญ๋ชฉ๋งŒ ์ผ์น˜ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๊ฐ€ 4.5%๋กœ์„œ ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๋ฅผ ๋Œ€์กฐ๊ฑด์ˆ˜๋กœ ๋ณผ ๊ฒƒ์ธ์ง€์˜ ๋ฌธ์ œ๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ธฐํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๊ฐ€์ž„์—ฌ์„ฑ ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์ƒ์˜ ๊ฐœ์„ ์ด ์š”๊ตฌ๋œ๋‹ค. 1978๋…„ 1979๋…„ ์–‘์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ๋น„๊ตํ•˜์—ฌ ๋ณผ๋•Œ ๊ฐ€์ž„์—ฌ์„ฑ ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ˆ„๋ฝ์œจ์€ 3.2%์—์„œ 8.7%๋กœ 1979๋…„๋„์— ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ ์ถœ์ƒ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๋„ 5.1%์— ์„œ 10.2%๋กœ 1979๋…„๋„์— ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์–ด๋จธ๋‹ˆ์˜ ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ˆ„๋ฝ๊ณผ ์ถœ์ƒ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ˆ„๋ฝ๊ฐ„์˜ ๊ด€๊ณ„๋Š” ์–ด๋จธ๋‹ˆ์˜ ์กฐ์‚ฌ ๋ฐ ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ˆ„๋ฝ๊ฐ„์— ์ถœ์ƒ์กฐ์‚ฌ ๋ฐ ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ˆ„๋ฝ์— ์œ ์˜ํ•œ ์ฐจ์ด๊ฐ€ ์žˆ์Œ์„ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋ƒˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์—์„œ ๊ฐ€์ž„์—ฌ์„ฑ ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ˆ„๋ฝ๊ณผ ์˜์•„์‚ฌ๋ง ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ˆ„๋ฝ๊ฐ„์˜ ๊ด€๊ณ„๋Š” ๋‹ค๋ฃจ์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜์˜€๋‹ค. [์˜๋ฌธ]The dual record system provided estimates of vital events such as birth and death from two surveys that are carried out independently on a population. Applying the system to the two surveys of vital statistics improvement, conducted in 1978 and in 1979 in Seoul area, number of births and number of deaths were estimated. Matching a total number of 1,590 households out of 5,599 households surveyed gave the following findings. Variables selected for matching births were child's name, sex of the child, date of birth, mother's name and mother's date of birth and age at death were the matching variables. 1. About 0.5 per cent of births were estimated as missing from the two independent surveys. 2. About 4.8 per cent of deaths were estimated as missing from the two surveys. 3. Matching the women of child bearing ages from 15 to 49, only 0.3 per cent of the women were estimated as missing from the two surveys. 4. In 1978, the total number of women who had a live birth were estimated as 192 women of which 94.8 per cent or 182 women are identified by matching mother's variables with child's variables. The proportion in 1979 was decreased to 89.1 per cent or 171 women.prohibitio
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