86,970 research outputs found
On statistical approaches to generate Level 3 products from satellite remote sensing retrievals
Satellite remote sensing of trace gases such as carbon dioxide (CO) has
increased our ability to observe and understand Earth's climate. However, these
remote sensing data, specifically~Level 2 retrievals, tend to be irregular in
space and time, and hence, spatio-temporal prediction is required to infer
values at any location and time point. Such inferences are not only required to
answer important questions about our climate, but they are also needed for
validating the satellite instrument, since Level 2 retrievals are generally not
co-located with ground-based remote sensing instruments. Here, we discuss
statistical approaches to construct Level 3 products from Level 2 retrievals,
placing particular emphasis on the strengths and potential pitfalls when using
statistical prediction in this context. Following this discussion, we use a
spatio-temporal statistical modelling framework known as fixed rank kriging
(FRK) to obtain global predictions and prediction standard errors of
column-averaged carbon dioxide based on Version 7r and Version 8r retrievals
from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) satellite. The FRK predictions
allow us to validate statistically the Level 2 retrievals globally even though
the data are at locations and at time points that do not coincide with
validation data. Importantly, the validation takes into account the prediction
uncertainty, which is dependent both on the temporally-varying density of
observations around the ground-based measurement sites and on the
spatio-temporal high-frequency components of the trace gas field that are not
explicitly modelled. Here, for validation of remotely-sensed CO data, we
use observations from the Total Carbon Column Observing Network. We demonstrate
that the resulting FRK product based on Version 8r compares better with TCCON
data than that based on Version 7r.Comment: 28 pages, 10 figures, 4 table
Importance Sampling and its Optimality for Stochastic Simulation Models
We consider the problem of estimating an expected outcome from a stochastic
simulation model. Our goal is to develop a theoretical framework on importance
sampling for such estimation. By investigating the variance of an importance
sampling estimator, we propose a two-stage procedure that involves a regression
stage and a sampling stage to construct the final estimator. We introduce a
parametric and a nonparametric regression estimator in the first stage and
study how the allocation between the two stages affects the performance of the
final estimator. We analyze the variance reduction rates and derive oracle
properties of both methods. We evaluate the empirical performances of the
methods using two numerical examples and a case study on wind turbine
reliability evaluation.Comment: 37 pages, 6 figures, 2 tables. Accepted to the Electronic Journal of
Statistic
- β¦