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Analysis of group evolution prediction in complex networks
In the world, in which acceptance and the identification with social
communities are highly desired, the ability to predict evolution of groups over
time appears to be a vital but very complex research problem. Therefore, we
propose a new, adaptable, generic and mutli-stage method for Group Evolution
Prediction (GEP) in complex networks, that facilitates reasoning about the
future states of the recently discovered groups. The precise GEP modularity
enabled us to carry out extensive and versatile empirical studies on many
real-world complex / social networks to analyze the impact of numerous setups
and parameters like time window type and size, group detection method,
evolution chain length, prediction models, etc. Additionally, many new
predictive features reflecting the group state at a given time have been
identified and tested. Some other research problems like enriching learning
evolution chains with external data have been analyzed as well
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