A cyclic time-dependent Markov process to model daily patterns in wind turbine power production

Wind energy is becoming a top contributor to the renewable energy mix, which raises potential reliability issues for the grid due to the fluctuating nature of its source. To achieve adequate reserve commitment and to promote market participation, it is necessary to provide models that can capture daily patterns in wind power production. This paper presents a cyclic inhomogeneous Markov process, which is based on a three-dimensional state-space (wind power, speed and direction). Each time-dependent transition probability is expressed as a Bernstein polynomial. The model parameters are estimated by solving a constrained optimization problem: The objective function combines two maximum likelihood estimators, one to ensure that the Markov process long-term behavior reproduces the data accurately and another to capture daily fluctuations. A convex formulation for the overall optimization problem is presented and its applicability demonstrated through the analysis of a case-study. The proposed model is capable of reproducing the diurnal patterns of a three-year dataset collected from a wind turbine located in a mountainous region in Portugal. In addition, it is shown how to compute persistence statistics directly from the Markov process transition matrices. Based on the case-study, the power production persistence through the daily cycle is analysed and discussed

Multi-View Face Recognition From Single RGBD Models of the Faces

This work takes important steps towards solving the following problem of current interest: Assuming that each individual in a population can be modeled by a single frontal RGBD face image, is it possible to carry out face recognition for such a population using multiple 2D images captured from arbitrary viewpoints? Although the general problem as stated above is extremely challenging, it encompasses subproblems that can be addressed today. The subproblems addressed in this work relate to: (1) Generating a large set of viewpoint dependent face images from a single RGBD frontal image for each individual; (2) using hierarchical approaches based on view-partitioned subspaces to represent the training data; and (3) based on these hierarchical approaches, using a weighted voting algorithm to integrate the evidence collected from multiple images of the same face as recorded from different viewpoints. We evaluate our methods on three datasets: a dataset of 10 people that we created and two publicly available datasets which include a total of 48 people. In addition to providing important insights into the nature of this problem, our results show that we are able to successfully recognize faces with accuracies of 95% or higher, outperforming existing state-of-the-art face recognition approaches based on deep convolutional neural networks

Mechanism Deduction from Noisy Chemical Reaction Networks

We introduce KiNetX, a fully automated meta-algorithm for the kinetic analysis of complex chemical reaction networks derived from semi-accurate but efficient electronic structure calculations. It is designed to (i) accelerate the automated exploration of such networks, and (ii) cope with model-inherent errors in electronic structure calculations on elementary reaction steps. We developed and implemented KiNetX to possess three features. First, KiNetX evaluates the kinetic relevance of every species in a (yet incomplete) reaction network to confine the search for new elementary reaction steps only to those species that are considered possibly relevant. Second, KiNetX identifies and eliminates all kinetically irrelevant species and elementary reactions to reduce a complex network graph to a comprehensible mechanism. Third, KiNetX estimates the sensitivity of species concentrations toward changes in individual rate constants (derived from relative free energies), which allows us to systematically select the most efficient electronic structure model for each elementary reaction given a predefined accuracy. The novelty of KiNetX consists in the rigorous propagation of correlated free-energy uncertainty through all steps of our kinetic analyis. To examine the performance of KiNetX, we developed AutoNetGen. It semirandomly generates chemistry-mimicking reaction networks by encoding chemical logic into their underlying graph structure. AutoNetGen allows us to consider a vast number of distinct chemistry-like scenarios and, hence, to discuss assess the importance of rigorous uncertainty propagation in a statistical context. Our results reveal that KiNetX reliably supports the deduction of product ratios, dominant reaction pathways, and possibly other network properties from semi-accurate electronic structure data.Comment: 36 pages, 4 figures, 2 table

Intersubject Regularity in the Intrinsic Shape of Human V1

Previous studies have reported considerable intersubject variability in the three-dimensional geometry of the human primary visual cortex (V1). Here we demonstrate that much of this variability is due to extrinsic geometric features of the cortical folds, and that the intrinsic shape of V1 is similar across individuals. V1 was imaged in ten ex vivo human hemispheres using high-resolution (200 μm) structural magnetic resonance imaging at high field strength (7 T). Manual tracings of the stria of Gennari were used to construct a surface representation, which was computationally flattened into the plane with minimal metric distortion. The instrinsic shape of V1 was determined from the boundary of the planar representation of the stria. An ellipse provided a simple parametric shape model that was a good approximation to the boundary of flattened V1. The aspect ration of the best-fitting ellipse was found to be consistent across subject, with a mean of 1.85 and standard deviation of 0.12. Optimal rigid alignment of size-normalized V1 produced greater overlap than that achieved by previous studies using different registration methods. A shape analysis of published macaque data indicated that the intrinsic shape of macaque V1 is also stereotyped, and similar to the human V1 shape. Previoud measurements of the functional boundary of V1 in human and macaque are in close agreement with these results

Seizure-onset mapping based on time-variant multivariate functional connectivity analysis of high-dimensional intracranial EEG : a Kalman filter approach

The visual interpretation of intracranial EEG (iEEG) is the standard method used in complex epilepsy surgery cases to map the regions of seizure onset targeted for resection. Still, visual iEEG analysis is labor-intensive and biased due to interpreter dependency. Multivariate parametric functional connectivity measures using adaptive autoregressive (AR) modeling of the iEEG signals based on the Kalman filter algorithm have been used successfully to localize the electrographic seizure onsets. Due to their high computational cost, these methods have been applied to a limited number of iEEG time-series (< 60). The aim of this study was to test two Kalman filter implementations, a well-known multivariate adaptive AR model (Arnold et al. 1998) and a simplified, computationally efficient derivation of it, for their potential application to connectivity analysis of high-dimensional (up to 192 channels) iEEG data. When used on simulated seizures together with a multivariate connectivity estimator, the partial directed coherence, the two AR models were compared for their ability to reconstitute the designed seizure signal connections from noisy data. Next, focal seizures from iEEG recordings (73-113 channels) in three patients rendered seizure-free after surgery were mapped with the outdegree, a graph-theory index of outward directed connectivity. Simulation results indicated high levels of mapping accuracy for the two models in the presence of low-to-moderate noise cross-correlation. Accordingly, both AR models correctly mapped the real seizure onset to the resection volume. This study supports the possibility of conducting fully data-driven multivariate connectivity estimations on high-dimensional iEEG datasets using the Kalman filter approach

Developing numerical libraries in Java

The rapid and widespread adoption of Java has created a demand for reliable and reusable mathematical software components to support the growing number of compute-intensive applications now under development, particularly in science and engineering. In this paper we address practical issues of the Java language and environment which have an effect on numerical library design and development. Benchmarks which illustrate the current levels of performance of key numerical kernels on a variety of Java platforms are presented. Finally, a strategy for the development of a fundamental numerical toolkit for Java is proposed and its current status is described.Comment: 11 pages. Revised version of paper presented to the 1998 ACM Conference on Java for High Performance Network Computing. To appear in Concurrency: Practice and Experienc

Development of a research methodology and analysis of the stress state of a parting under the joint and downward mining of coal seams

Purpose. The investigation of the stress-strain state (SSS) of a parting under the joint and downward mining of coal seams. Methods. The studies have been carried out on the basis of a computational experiment by means of the finite elements method, mining observations of rock pressure manifestations and their comparative analysis. Findings. A research methodology has been developed of the parting rocks state under the joint and downward mining of coal seams. Originality. The patterns of the stress-strain state change of the parting rocks have been determined in the process of joint mining of two coal seams by the descending order. Practical implications. The conducted researches will make possible to improve stability of mine workings and their repeated use.Мета. Дослідження напружено-деформованого стану міжпластя при сумісному та нисхідному відпрацюванні вугільних пластів. Методика. Дослідження виконані на основі обчислювального експерименту методом скінченних елементів, шахтних спостережень за проявами гірського тиску та їх порівняльного аналізу. Результати. Розроблено методику дослідження стану порід міжпластя при сумісному і нисхідному відпрацюванні вугільних пластів. Наукова новизна. Визначено закономірності зміни напружено-деформованого стану порід міжпластя у процесі спільного відпрацювання двох вугільних пластів у нисхідному порядку. Практична значимість. Проведені дослідження дозволять підвищити стійкість виробок і забезпечити можливість їх повторного використання.Цель. Исследование напряженно-деформированного состояния междупластья при совместной и нисходящей отработке угольных пластов. Методика. Исследования выполнены на основе вычислительного эксперимента методом конечных элементов, шахтных наблюдений за проявлениями горного давления и их сравнительного анализа. Результаты. Разработана методика исследования состояния пород междупластья при совместной и нисходящей отработке угольных пластов. Научная новизна. Определены закономерности изменения напряженно-деформированного состояния пород междупластья в процессе совместной отработки двух угольных пластов в нисходящем порядке. Практическая значимость. Проведенные исследования позволят повысить устойчивость выработок и обеспечить возможность их повторного использования.The authors of the article express particular gratitude to Serhii Voronin, General Director of PJSC “DTEK Pavlohradvuhillia” for the assistance in its preparation