177 research outputs found
Decision-Making with Belief Functions: a Review
Approaches to decision-making under uncertainty in the belief function
framework are reviewed. Most methods are shown to blend criteria for decision
under ignorance with the maximum expected utility principle of Bayesian
decision theory. A distinction is made between methods that construct a
complete preference relation among acts, and those that allow incomparability
of some acts due to lack of information. Methods developed in the imprecise
probability framework are applicable in the Dempster-Shafer context and are
also reviewed. Shafer's constructive decision theory, which substitutes the
notion of goal for that of utility, is described and contrasted with other
approaches. The paper ends by pointing out the need to carry out deeper
investigation of fundamental issues related to decision-making with belief
functions and to assess the descriptive, normative and prescriptive values of
the different approaches
The Combination of Paradoxical, Uncertain, and Imprecise Sources of Information based on DSmT and Neutro-Fuzzy Inference
The management and combination of uncertain, imprecise, fuzzy and even
paradoxical or high conflicting sources of information has always been, and
still remains today, of primal importance for the development of reliable
modern information systems involving artificial reasoning. In this chapter, we
present a survey of our recent theory of plausible and paradoxical reasoning,
known as Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) in the literature, developed for
dealing with imprecise, uncertain and paradoxical sources of information. We
focus our presentation here rather on the foundations of DSmT, and on the two
important new rules of combination, than on browsing specific applications of
DSmT available in literature. Several simple examples are given throughout the
presentation to show the efficiency and the generality of this new approach.
The last part of this chapter concerns the presentation of the neutrosophic
logic, the neutro-fuzzy inference and its connection with DSmT. Fuzzy logic and
neutrosophic logic are useful tools in decision making after fusioning the
information using the DSm hybrid rule of combination of masses.Comment: 20 page
Generalized Evidence Theory
Conflict management is still an open issue in the application of Dempster
Shafer evidence theory. A lot of works have been presented to address this
issue. In this paper, a new theory, called as generalized evidence theory
(GET), is proposed. Compared with existing methods, GET assumes that the
general situation is in open world due to the uncertainty and incomplete
knowledge. The conflicting evidence is handled under the framework of GET. It
is shown that the new theory can explain and deal with the conflicting evidence
in a more reasonable way.Comment: 39 pages, 5 figure
An introduction to DSmT
The management and combination of uncertain, imprecise, fuzzy and even
paradoxical or high conflicting sources of information has always been, and
still remains today, of primal importance for the development of reliable
modern information systems involving artificial reasoning. In this
introduction, we present a survey of our recent theory of plausible and
paradoxical reasoning, known as Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT), developed for
dealing with imprecise, uncertain and conflicting sources of information. We
focus our presentation on the foundations of DSmT and on its most important
rules of combination, rather than on browsing specific applications of DSmT
available in literature. Several simple examples are given throughout this
presentation to show the efficiency and the generality of this new approach
Hybridization of Bayesian networks and belief functions to assess risk. Application to aircraft deconstruction
This paper aims to present a study on knowledge management for the disassembly of end-of-life aircraft. We propose a model using Bayesian networks to assess risk and present three approaches to integrate the belief functions standing for the representation of fuzzy and uncertain knowledge
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